99W TCFA - 颱風討論

Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2014-04-27T19:41

Table of Contents

WTPN21 PGTW 270230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.8N 146.6E TO 13.7N 146.1E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 270000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 11.2N 146.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.3N
145.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 146.2E, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT WHILE A
DEFINED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED TO THE SOUTH. A 262240Z
SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE ADDITIONALLY SHOWS THE LLCC IS POORLY DEFINED
WHILE THE DEEP CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE SOUTH. UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (05 TO 10
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE CONDUCIVE (29 TO
30 DEGREES CELSIUS) FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
280230Z.//
NNNN

目前在關島附近往北偏西移動
看起來會往關島走

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Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2014-05-01T15:58
這個全大寫的傳統是哪裡來?
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2014-05-05T12:16
太平洋颱風趕在四月底生出一個?
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2014-05-09T08:34
一樓要問JTWC喔 他的文字版就是全大寫
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2014-05-13T04:52
可能是順便發航海用電報?
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2014-05-17T01:10
是電報沒錯~

繞極衛星

Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2014-04-27T17:31
觀測大氣運動的衛星有同步衛星和繞極衛星, 同步衛星可全天監視特定區域,繞極衛星可提高解 析度,但問題來了,兩種不同的衛星,為何繞極衛 星解析刺度較同步衛星高? - ...

明天鋒面掠過,注意較大雨勢~2014/04/26

Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2014-04-26T22:32
為了參加馬拉松所以禮拜四就下來恆春,目前人還在南灣, 先來簡單聊一下明後天的天氣, 這兩天南北之間的天氣差異真的很大, 雖然綜觀鋒面系統的確如預期從週四起緩慢北抬, 週五以及今天週六鋒面位置在華南北部, 但是鋒面前方的大氣狀態比先前預期的要來得不穩定許多, 週四晚間以及週五晚間都有鋒前的中小尺度對 ...

下星期三拍婚紗(台北)

Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2014-04-26T21:06
想請問板上各位大大, 我們預計下星期三(4/30)拍婚紗, 從上禮拜就一直看中央氣象局的天氣預報 從可能會有太陽出現的機率, 今天又變成溫度越來越低的雨天, 因為會到陽明山的大屯公園,以及淡水海邊拍照, 想請大家給我建議,到底該不該延期呢? 如果要延期,是否可以從衛星雲圖之類的氣象圖看出, 哪 ...

天氣小觀:擔心今年梅雨季可能會遲到了

Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2014-04-26T13:30
天氣小觀:擔心今年梅雨季可能會遲到了 (一樣白話說明) 下週末時序就進入五月,對台灣來說就是進入梅雨季節, 但是看到模式預報一週後的東亞環境,一整個怪, 怎麼說呢? 這樣說好了:如果以今日天氣小觀的正確標題來說,應該是 and#34;一週後,大陸冷高壓南下,接近台灣中,影響待觀察。and#34; 對,沒 ...

印象最深的颱風是哪一個

Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2014-04-24T00:51
※ 引述《DanasYuri (星夕)》之銘言: : ※ 引述《ss8930 (sool)》之銘言: : : 作者: ss8930 (sool) 看板: Gossiping : : 標題: Re: [問卦] 印象最深的颱風是哪一個 : : 時間: Sun Sep 1 09:13:17 2013 : : 納莉 ...