02W生成 - 颱風討論

Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2023-05-28T09:21

Table of Contents

JTWC第33報
颱風瑪娃
世界協調時間 5月28號 00:00
位置:北緯17.3 度 東經128.7 度
中心氣壓:947 百帕
中心付近最大風速:110 KTS

JTWC預測路徑：
https://i.imgur.com/FL7Q3PB.gif

EC 27 18Z 144小時系集:
https://i.imgur.com/Ij1DzxE.png

GFS 27 18Z 系集:
https://i.imgur.com/UnKoRTQ.png

OHC圖:(待更新)
https://i.imgur.com/X9TR7cc.gif

瑪娃的星座命盤：
https://i.imgur.com/ASByxTK.png

瑪娃的IG自拍:
https://i.imgur.com/OD5263g.gif

JMA預測路徑：
https://i.imgur.com/1z4x2i8.jpg

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2023-05-30T03:48
衰退蠻快的又即將吃冷水
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2023-05-31T22:14
看來離台灣有點遠
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2023-06-02T16:41
還是東北轉了，長期累積的數據就擺在那邊
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2023-06-04T11:07
兩邊18z一起東修
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2023-06-06T05:34
衰退快高壓就可以壓得住
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2023-06-08T00:00
有最新一報嗎 有邊東還是偏西?
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2023-06-09T18:27
偏東
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2023-06-11T12:54
短期變動不影響大方向
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2023-06-13T07:20
C軍節節敗退
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2023-06-15T01:47
東南邊如果今天轉得起來 不見得高壓壓得住
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2023-06-14T01:22
CI不到6了 強度降得很厲害 置換要快
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2023-06-15T19:49
hwrf預測東部近海打轉北上還真有趣
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2023-06-14T01:22
垂直北轉到東部外海後，要等4-5天才會有明顯的轉向
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2023-06-15T19:49
這麼慢的北上速度，距離遠點是好事，不然會災情慘
重
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這樣南部會補到水嗎??
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2023-06-15T19:49
MAWA東南方確實有系統在發展
而且有切離MAWA的趨勢
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
至少目前副高還沒被突破，看突破前能走多西了
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
大概在140E 10N的位置 絕妙卡點XD
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2023-06-14T01:22
急速衰敗
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
不過斷開後西環對她不會有導引能力嗎QQ
華南那個副高中心看來滿穩固的
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2023-06-11T23:28
廣闊外圍也是蠻壯觀的
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2023-06-13T17:54
副高穩固會有什麼影響呢？
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2023-06-15T12:21
減弱後高壓應該能撐住吧
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2023-06-14T01:22
有導引能力啊 但西邊一個高壓 右邊也一個高壓
卡在兩個高壓中間就是卡鞍場 只會很緩慢的北北西
右邊>東邊
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2023-06-15T19:49
瞭解，看來只能祈禱晚點斷開了
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2023-06-14T01:22
按照GFS的預測 高壓應該是明天下午會斷開
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2023-06-15T19:49
所以兩個高壓如果都沒有太明顯的減退，之後可能會
滯留
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2023-06-14T01:22
請問下禮拜四五六日去澎湖天氣會有影響嗎？
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2023-06-15T19:49
然後就跟著一路開始正北緩慢移動 換句話說
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
只要晚於明天下午兩點前開始轉北
對台灣的影響就會一直增加
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2023-06-15T19:49
比擦邊還擦邊
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2023-06-14T01:22
速度開始放慢，看來高壓確在減弱中
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
差一天，不然就會在臺灣上空緩慢北漂
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2023-06-14T01:22
瑪娃:努力加餐勿念妾，錦水湯湯，與風迷長訣 (大誤)
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2023-06-15T19:49
現在速度放慢，是西邊的高壓減退，還是副高？
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2023-06-14T01:22
未看先猜今天有人被長浪捲走
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
應該是東邊的中心
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2023-06-14T01:22
台灣下沈吃好吃滿 嘉南二階稻作穩了
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2023-06-15T19:49
禮拜一看高壓型態應該就有結論了
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2023-06-14T01:22
所以如果副高先減退，瑪娃就會比較往東偏嗎？
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2023-06-15T19:49
東南側沒有順利發展起來，高壓準備滑下去了，但應
該還會修來修去
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2023-06-14T01:22
最後還是高壓搞事 又被突破了
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2023-06-15T19:49
要走快走，不要讓台灣吃下沉
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
高壓滑下去會怎樣呢？
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2023-06-15T19:49
加上瑪華衰落速度比想像的快Y
高壓滑下去就是台灣室外機吃到飽啊
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-06-14T01:22
宜蘭南方澳有一女被捲走了，今天早上。
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2023-06-15T19:49
我認為東南方系統還是會發展起來
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2023-06-14T01:22
北部應該還好，外圍環流應該打的到，風也不會小，
不至於沉降
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-06-15T19:49
飛機不知道6/1能不能飛得出去
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2023-06-14T01:22
以目前各家路徑來看，西軍看來又要落敗了
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2023-06-15T19:49
看來中部吃下沈先去田澆水不收了
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2023-06-14T01:22
恭喜曾文6.2%撐一整個夏天
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2023-06-15T19:49
型態變好難看xd
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2023-06-14T01:22
吃沉降超級熱，騙人下海。海警未發前，長浪先至。
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2023-06-15T19:49
減弱的關係吧
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
再來要開大眼 變醜正常 XD
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2023-06-15T19:49
美麗的巔峰期過去了
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
HWRF那雨是要下多久...
6/2還在宜蘭外海 嚇死
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-06-15T19:49
看新聞真的有人被捲走
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2023-06-14T01:22
不知道這週末去爬玉山的外國老師還好嗎
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2023-06-15T19:49
所以距離遠一點好，雖然南部稍微缺水，但這種近海
龜速北上，北部東部真的會被雨重創，最好不要過125
E
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2023-06-14T01:22
HWRF還是堅持登陸？
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2023-06-15T19:49
HWRF 18Z是沒有登陸 但是速度超級慢
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/he36pNE.jpg
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2023-06-15T19:49
那一大坨長起來就有趣了
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2023-06-14T01:22
假如在台灣附近走很慢會把自己冷死吧
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2023-06-15T19:49
HWRF 這報跟06Z類似 是說那張圖其他家去哪了
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2023-06-14T01:22
S大用心良苦，只PO大家想看的
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2023-06-15T19:49
還沒收斂 看來還有得瞧！
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2023-06-14T01:22
從27四日00Z開始NCEP的圖好像就只剩HWRF
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2023-06-15T19:49
只PO大家想看的 XDDDD
笑死
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-06-14T01:22
S大大這個路線很糟糕啊
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2023-06-15T19:49
noaa 好像從26號之後就只剩自己家數值了
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2023-06-14T01:22
HWRF那張應該是東南方那陀長得比預期快吧
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-06-15T19:49
What is HWRF?
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2023-06-14T01:22
對啊 突然就只剩HWRF 其他家都不知道怎麼沒出現xd
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2023-06-15T19:49
掰掰 慢走不送
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2023-06-14T01:22
也就是說 只要今天東南方有窩度，HWRF這個路徑就有
可能發生
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
不過話說區域模式到底怎麼算？
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2023-06-14T01:22
總之就是看東南方那坨
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2023-06-15T19:49
為什麼其他家都認為東南方那坨長不起來
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2023-06-14T01:22
希望海警發了之後，大氣版不要太熱鬧才好
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2023-06-15T19:49
應該說不看好長起來?然後就塞在誤差圈裡面
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2023-06-14T01:22
型態上看起來沒有昨天那樣準備發展起來的態勢，目
前看來就沒有東西要發展的樣子，後續怎樣再觀察
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2023-06-15T19:49
來台灣半徑會剩多少?
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2023-06-14T01:22
GFS腦抽過度對擾動訊號就算了 EC也之前一樣腦抽….
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2023-06-15T19:49
沒用的東西
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2023-06-14T01:22
應該還會再東修
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
是誰說未看先猜今天會被長浪沖走的，真的有人被沖
走了...
今天有人會被*
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2023-06-14T01:22
6月2號出國,抖
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
我6/1出國
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-06-14T01:22
我沒要出國
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-06-15T19:49
我…………對不起
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2023-06-14T01:22
調成51/63了，下午就要變重度了吧
*中度
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2023-06-15T19:49
暴風圈 縮圈 搆不到陸地
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
預言家XD
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2023-06-15T19:49
東南方那坨看起來要消失了！
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2023-06-14T01:22
我要出門
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2023-06-15T19:49
6/2出國拜託走快點QWQ
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
GG了==還沒下雨，虧爛
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-06-15T19:49
颱風真的把梅雨水氣吸走了 南部二階稻作穩了
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2023-06-14T01:22
暴風圈機動式調整
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2023-06-15T19:49
西軍敗退 GFS都放棄了
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2023-06-14T01:22
有新的圖嗎？
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
6/3要去日本..
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2023-06-14T01:22
瑪華縮小自己 保全實力 大喊「日本我來了」
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2023-06-15T19:49
快來呀！好熱
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-06-14T01:22
6/2出國QQ
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/RMO67Gb.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/WtlGNIU.jpg
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2023-06-14T01:22
日本:淋北淡你 瑪娃
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
氣象局預報是有暴風圈的，預報一直到1號早上都是28
0km，直到2號減弱為輕颱才減為250km
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
因為靠近台灣時實際的暴風圈反而會變大
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2023-06-15T19:49
k大才講完不到一小時真有人被捲走
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2023-06-14T01:22
吃下沉東部天氣超晴朗，別被騙往海邊跑
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
有些新聞是年復一年的。就像因為颱風還沒來就去海邊
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
平安夜不平安，小年夜家人爭吵，大
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2023-06-15T19:49
大豹溪溺水還是畢業生畢業後玩水溺斃
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2023-06-14T01:22
我是只怕兩個星期後日本會被影響
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2023-06-15T19:49
不會
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2023-06-14T01:22
看起來颱風都只會在海上，不會太靠近日本
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS 00z 又東起來了
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2023-06-14T01:22
應該要全面東起來了
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2023-06-15T19:49
有GFS的圖嗎？
David avatar
By David
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/r4sPbWU.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/rleliJj.jpg
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2023-06-15T19:49
http://i.imgur.com/Hs31sAt.jpg
最新的
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2023-06-14T01:22
高壓連起來了？
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2023-06-15T19:49
台灣東北方到琉球一帶海域逐漸有高壓弱點出現
未來瑪娃颱風就會趨向這個高壓弱點區移動
因此方向上普遍認為會有一個大轉彎的過程
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2023-06-14T01:22
轉彎後可能趨向北北東到東北，往琉球石垣島、宮古島
一帶移動，但是進入高壓弱點這個鞍型場後
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2023-06-15T19:49
瑪娃的引導力量減弱，速度也將大幅度放慢
等於一個頗大的環流在台灣以東海域緩慢北上的過程
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2023-06-14T01:22
高壓的黃線是用小畫家畫的?
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
看來住離島跟討海人的夥伴要QQ了？
（部份長居東岸的親友已經樂觀到無畏惹
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2023-06-14T01:22
以上擷取自天氣職人-吳聖宇的fb
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2023-06-15T19:49
竟在大氣板發現甄嬛傳的台詞，開始走文青風？ww
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
高壓好嫩
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2023-06-15T19:49
你轉身　雨季就來臨　有什麼　洗不乾淨~
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2023-06-14T01:22
石垣島和與那國島其實在路徑上也沒有差多遠 如果颱
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2023-06-15T19:49
風偏一點跑去與那國島 台灣東部北部發陸警很有機會
吧?
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2023-06-14T01:22
趁現在　友好的分開　總是好的
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
如果走與那國，那應該會發陸警
但颱風最後應該是會走宮古島以東海域
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2023-06-14T01:22
不夠西啊
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/6iO9TgN.jpg
George avatar
By George
at 2023-06-14T01:22
西軍再度潰不成軍
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/ZxeyhI3.jpg
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這樣的走勢還會帶來雨量嗎
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
會不會下就看看氣象局的兩日雨量分布，可供參考。
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2023-06-14T01:22
看來要等到6/2、3之後瑪娃才會移動了
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/cBsfbuO.jpg
William avatar
By William
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/yhvIkoL.jpg
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2023-06-15T19:49
西軍站出來
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2023-06-14T01:22
西軍都在廁所裡了
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2023-06-15T19:49
西～～～
John avatar
By John
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/810AplG.jpg
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/LDKKQna.jpg
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2023-06-14T01:22
在台灣海峽糾結或登陸福建 似乎還蠻駭人的(?
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
走到東部這速度北部會下爛吧
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
現在風場整個變很大隻，之前模式可能是因為對颱風風
場掌握的不佳所以預報一直跳動，但隨著時間拉近模式
初始場也終於開始有抓到這一點，所以逐漸東修。最終
路徑應該還是從石垣-宮古之間穿過，雖然不直接侵襲
但廣闊的外圍環流還是能令中部以北地區有明顯的風雨
感受~
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
這次再次印證了在進行颱風路徑預報時颱風Size才是最
關鍵的
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2023-06-14T01:22
瑪華為了自救縮風圈耶
尼馬 EC可以給個痛快好嗎
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/heTqWAc.jpg
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-06-14T01:22
gfs都明顯收束了，EC還在散
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2023-06-15T19:49
XDDDD
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
其實EC這幾報的決定性預報都差不多 只是系集一直開
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
花 反倒是GFS這兩報有蠻明顯的收斂
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這兩家的共識是互相顛倒嗎w
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2023-06-15T19:49
這種大SIZE一被擠上去大概都沒啥意外
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2023-06-14T01:22
昨天預測可以阻擋高壓從南邊往上推的系統 GFS也認為
沒甚麼意外發展
EC難不成是要撐到最後要北轉那一刻才會收束嗎 GFS都
收了XD
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2023-06-15T19:49
EC神奇的是前幾天對直接北轉其實蠻有信心
只差在極西點在哪 結果這兩天北轉後反而越跑越散
David avatar
By David
at 2023-06-14T01:22
EC兩天前還比GFS還收束，真的越跑越散
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/goBiEFS.jpg
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/TgSSqaz.jpg
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/q0ovMRw.jpg
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2023-06-14T01:22
慢走不送
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
下沉吃到飽
Una avatar
By Una
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這樣台東會焚風嗎？
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2023-06-15T19:49
中部以北吃外圍降雨還是吃沉降
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2023-06-14T01:22
還是要看颱風最後到底靠得多近北上
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2023-06-15T19:49
北部東部應該有雨 中部山區要看還能不能更偏西
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2023-06-14T01:22
EC把北東的降雨拉長到6/4號，下一整個禮拜..
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2023-06-15T19:49
不知道5/31南迴鐵路會不會停駛？
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
因為速度太慢了 到6/4號瑪娃才會遠離阿
除非瑪娃未來速度明顯偏快才會提早
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2023-06-15T19:49
北東一定有雨，除非像前幾天那樣大角度東北轉
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
梅雨颱風展望軍站起來
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2023-06-15T19:49
3號淡水那一帶不知道會不會有風雨
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2023-06-14T01:22
永和起風了
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2023-06-15T19:49
還好這幾天北部雖然白天熱，但是下午晚上有風還蠻
舒服
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2023-06-14T01:22
石門翡翠高機率解渴
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
宜蘭記得要關水門
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2023-06-14T01:22
ex大那個還是有西修吧？125以西就不錯了？
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
希望瑪娃北轉之後，在沒有島嶼的海上走慢一點
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2023-06-14T01:22
西半部要連吃3天的下沉了
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2023-06-15T19:49
颱風第二象限整個乾了…
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2023-06-14T01:22
頭痛 會熱死
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
Jma最新一報有稍微偏西在北上
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2023-06-14T01:22
會不會在北轉的過程中，就變成輕颱了呢？
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2023-06-15T19:49
現在應該就是海警機率大 陸警看東部了
David avatar
By David
at 2023-06-14T01:22
台中週二週三溫度預測已經出現體感43度了……
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2023-06-15T19:49
我是覺得西半部到週一起會連刮3～4天強風，不致太熱
John avatar
By John
at 2023-06-14T01:22
風場那麼大 東部海面北上 西部其實會有強風
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2023-06-15T19:49
台中估到37度有可能是吹起焚風了
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2023-06-14T01:22
颱風不來+越來越弱 風迷大崩潰
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2023-06-15T19:49
大大大崩潰 颱風大戰爭六週年 大大大崩潰
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這樣6/1台北還會有雨嗎？
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2023-06-15T19:49
臺北會喔
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2023-06-14T01:22
瑪娃是不是有再轉起來？感覺型態有變好一點
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2023-06-15T19:49
看起來是有比較好點 她整體好像變大了xd
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2023-06-14T01:22
變大眼妹了
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2023-06-15T19:49
變好也沒用了，即將吃冷水
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2023-06-14T01:22
EC 28 06Z https://i.imgur.com/nMVkt8D.gif
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2023-06-15T19:49
EC現在又是哪招
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2023-06-14T01:22
中心下半處有較高OHC（平均100）可以維持強度，但上
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2023-06-15T19:49
半部就只有30～70之間；開始轉彎後都不到50。
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-06-14T01:22
越過宮古石垣一線後OHC就歸零了，只是這怪物的中心
把經過的洋面OHC耗到近乎歸零…。
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2023-06-15T19:49
EC就是想要讓台灣發警報的招式xd
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2023-06-14T01:22
EC又往西偏了！！傻眼
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2023-06-15T19:49
搞錯了，是TC Heat Potential的數值量，但概念不變
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2023-06-14T01:22
http://i.imgur.com/X5mxJ64.jpg
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2023-06-15T19:49
下午兩點的
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2023-06-14T01:22
大眼妹子我也能接受，快來吧baby
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
按照往年 最後一刻東修把西軍一網打盡
James avatar
By James
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/InyS3DH.jpg
168小時
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2023-06-15T19:49
才5月，OHC一下就補回來了
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
現在西，下報又調回來
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2023-06-15T19:49
GFS也在東部外海滯留太久了吧
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2023-06-14T01:22
7天，超久
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2023-06-15T19:49
決定性預報還在東西搖擺 不確定性仍大
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
不過高壓弱點還是在那邊
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2023-06-15T19:49
高壓就看那弱點能撐多久了
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2023-06-14T01:22
問題是北上速度真的太慢了
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2023-06-15T19:49
給我西起來
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/UueRxCz.png
我覺得結構還行 不會換完了吧？
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2023-06-15T19:49
北上速度太慢後期就還有變動性
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2023-06-14T01:22
其實也不一定真的會走這麼慢
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2023-06-15T19:49
EC這報看看就好了XD
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2023-06-14T01:22
能走到宮古石垣之間應該就很西了
最後應該會走更東邊
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2023-06-15T19:49
北上弱點各家大概信心蠻高的 除非有其他系統突然出
來干擾不然路徑大概不會有甚麼大變動
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/8JpSrq4.jpg
日本這一報，會從宮古跟石垣島中間經過
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/RjR6V9r.png
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2023-06-14T01:22
感覺會更東+1 被燦樹欺騙過感情 現在都不敢信了
日本的警戒圈怎麼又變大了
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2023-06-15T19:49
沒意外看起來就是宮古石垣間通過了
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
現在看起來颱風東南方短時間不會有系統出現來阻擋高
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2023-06-15T19:49
壓得南伸
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/kzQ1dN0.jpg
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2023-06-15T19:49
恩?CWB的圖怎麼感覺...?
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2023-06-14T01:22
海警還有機會嗎
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
CWB那圖看起來跟下午差不多吧
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2023-06-14T01:22
八成會發吧，6小時後暴風圈又預報為300km
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2023-06-15T19:49
台灣跟日本的預測，有可能發布海警？
Una avatar
By Una
at 2023-06-14T01:22
海警機率高阿
主要是陸警會看多近有沒有機會而已
Una avatar
By Una
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/Yj7dUpz.png
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2023-06-14T01:22
這個海警不發說不過去吧
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2023-06-15T19:49
海警鐵定要發吧
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2023-06-14T01:22
CWB目前預報強度比JMA樂觀不少，應該是打算要發，
不過事實上要再觀察瑪娃的耐寒度了...
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2023-06-15T19:49
快到冷水坑，然後如果又龜速，應該會減弱的蠻快的
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2023-06-14T01:22
颱風靠近一點的話雪山山脈的累積雨量可能會蠻可觀的
目前發海警的機率很高 再偏西一點陸警也有機會
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2023-06-15T19:49
有沒有可能在東部外海直接上演減弱降格
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2023-06-14T01:22
我覺得降格成熱低機率比直接劃上鋒面的機率還小。
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2023-06-15T19:49
陸警不可能吧？
除非西到與那國以西才有可能發？
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2023-06-14T01:22
但目前看來頂多西到宮古島附近而已
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2023-06-15T19:49
海警應該發定了
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2023-06-14T01:22
石垣、宮古：又我們？QQ
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2023-06-15T19:49
其實宮古石垣早就已經習以為常了XD
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2023-06-14T01:22
就很臺灣人已經習以為常一樣
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2023-06-15T19:49
好痛的一句話XDD
跟花東人對地震習以為常一樣
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2023-06-14T01:22
至少綠島和蘭嶼應該是躲不掉暴風圈的侵襲吧
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2023-06-15T19:49
hwrf也東了XD
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2023-06-14T01:22
東軍又双大獲全勝
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/eN61xMj.jpg
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/pxRKgKi.jpg
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/aAoyWCz.jpg
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2023-06-14T01:22
AT filed全開
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2023-06-15T19:49
走GFS預測的路徑+減弱，搞不好有機會避開海警？
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2023-06-14T01:22
88惹
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2023-06-15T19:49
慢走不送
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2023-06-14T01:22
終究要走的 浮木也垮了
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2023-06-15T19:49
爛 到時又要熱死
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2023-06-14T01:22
愛我別走　如果妳說　妳不愛我
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2023-06-15T19:49
心情涼到不行 天氣熱到不行
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/rQNSEcL.jpg
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2023-06-15T19:49
CWB預報路徑差不多就是距離本島400公里，如果有往東
向量或減弱暴風圈縮小，應該就沒構成海警要素了！
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2023-06-14T01:22
cwb應該會發海警 連半徑從280回升300公里了
這種態勢大概就是要發海警
陸警機率就不大了
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/6M52DZQ.jpg
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2023-06-14T01:22
強度減弱風圈擴大，的確就是想發才會這樣XD
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2023-06-15T19:49
https://i.imgur.com/m2mDE5x.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/ufXaROY.jpg
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2023-06-14T01:22
最近2-3個小時，是不是已經有點龜速的呀？
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2023-06-15T19:49
颱風季結束了 不知明年是不是也這樣
John avatar
By John
at 2023-06-14T01:22
走怎麼慢 這下沉也吃多久 快熱死了
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2023-06-15T19:49
蛤 颱風季結束了？
才5月欸
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2023-06-14T01:22
你哪個世界線的颱風季結束到底w
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2023-06-15T19:49
梅雨季都還沒結束，哪來的颱風季結束，哈哈
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2023-06-14T01:22
台東行週三四五確定要延期到下週一二三了
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2023-06-15T19:49
我印象中國民基本教育有教台灣颱風季落在什麼時候
耶
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2023-06-14T01:22
http://i.imgur.com/IJvFget.jpg
高壓還在努力撐
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2023-06-15T19:49
想請問大大們淡水禮拜五之後的狀況可能會是如何
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2023-06-14T01:22
標準答案是789月
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2023-06-15T19:49
現在好像也沒辦法準確知道下週二6／6台東卑南的天氣
William avatar
By William
at 2023-06-14T01:22
準確?問老天吧
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2023-06-15T19:49
高壓撐也沒用 颱風只會轉更大彎
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2023-06-14T01:22
颱風學會柿子挑軟的吃，走最輕鬆的道路
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2023-06-15T19:49
從哪邊看得出來颱風會更大幅度轉彎？
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2023-06-14T01:22
真的無語問蒼天
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2023-06-15T19:49
颱風季結束XDD 甚至還沒開始
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2023-06-14T01:22
請問這顆下禮拜飛到東京的機率大嗎
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2023-06-15T19:49
現在才5月就喊颱風季結束了是在反串嗎...
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2023-06-14T01:22
現在放棄 颱風季就結束了
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2023-06-15T19:49
這禮拜天計畫飛大阪 請問影響機率大嗎?
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2023-06-14T01:22
ec這決定性預報 等等系集該收束了吧
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2023-06-15T19:49
瑪娃大概6/5-6就會在海上就變成溫帶氣旋了
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/UqabAk8.jpg
David avatar
By David
at 2023-06-15T19:49
AT FIELD全開
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2023-06-14T01:22
EC新的這報往東邊調了，對東部的影響會小很多
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2023-06-15T19:49
東調
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2023-06-14T01:22
不開一篇新的嗎
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2023-06-15T19:49
東調更慘…繼續下沉…連北部都沒什麼雨，然後梅雨
也都沒有
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2023-06-14T01:22
來看台南高雄什麼時候要停水
再這樣下去六月穩停的吧
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2023-06-15T19:49
開新一個吧
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2023-06-14T01:22
什麼都沒了
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2023-06-15T19:49
不 不想這麼熱...
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2023-06-14T01:22
拜託靠近一點點 下點雨好嗎？ 這樣一直沉降難受想
哭
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2023-06-15T19:49
掰囉 只有風沒有雨XD
David avatar
By David
at 2023-06-14T01:22
好.....好熱
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2023-06-15T19:49
趁台北難得沒雨洗了衣服被單，之後好天氣不多啦
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2023-06-14T01:22
https://i.imgur.com/YzUfaS7.jpg

梅雨季結束了！專家：鋒面被颱風強大拉力

Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2023-05-26T23:14
※ 引述《kbty245 (35怎麼能這麼可愛andgt;andlt;)》之銘言： : 這是2012年6月3日18時世界時，也就是一週後的地面天氣圖 : https://i.imgur.com/xgb5pDI.jpg : 可以看到在台灣東方有一個瑪娃颱風。對沒錯，跟現在的瑪娃同名XDD : 而且你還可以看到 ...

02W生成

Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2023-05-26T21:23
JTWC第29報 超級颱風瑪娃 世界協調時間 5月27號 00:00 位置:北緯16.4 度 東經133.3 度 中心氣壓:922 百帕 中心付近最大風速:135 KTS JTWC預測路徑： https://i.imgur.com/KOYq0Lq.gif EC 26 18Z 144小時系集: http ...

梅雨季結束了！專家：鋒面被颱風強大拉力

Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2023-05-26T16:43
※ 引述《w510048 (黨的恩情比山高)》之銘言： : (一)新聞標題 : 梅雨季結束了！專家：鋒面被颱風強大拉力拆散 : (二)新聞內容 : 16:09 2023/05/24 中時新聞網 莊楚雯 : https://images.chinatimes.com/newsphoto/2023-05-24/1 ...

颱風轉向與太平洋高壓強度的增減

Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2023-05-26T12:48
小時候颱風季常見的有3種情況 (本人今年26離30不遠了 小時候的定義是18以前 也就是2015之前) 第一種是近幾年幾乎是最常見的 副高減弱東退引導颱風北轉遠離 第二種近年偶爾還會看到 副高很硬壓著颱風從南邊走 但比例跟北轉相比明顯較少 第三種是副高增強西伸 讓颱風跟著引導氣流接近台灣 可能從近海掠過 ...

颱風轉向與中國持續沙漠化？

Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2023-05-26T12:10
一直有個疑問，近幾年的颱風路徑跟多以提早北轉為主 這跟中國持續性的沙漠化，有無直接性的關聯，往後會不會影響更嚴重？ ----- Sent from JPTT on my iPhone - ...