135kts是CAT4還是CAT5? JTWC的回信 - 颱風討論
By Susan
at 2008-05-13T11:13
at 2008-05-13T11:13
Table of Contents
但是依照文字及數學的觀點來看,SS scale用 >155
Category Four Hurricane: Winds 131-155 mph 各包含131及155
Category Five Hurricane: Winds greater than 155 mph
greater than指的應該是大於(超過)155mph,也就是不包含155mph
除非它用的是大於等於的符號,否則不含該數值
所以其實也不會有進位的問題,依每人定義解讀反而有點怪
數據跟分級應該還蠻嚴謹的
※ 引述《web2312 (Typhoon vs. Hurricane)》之銘言:
: 以下是我詢問JTWC的結果
: "Barlow, Stephen J CIV NMFC_JTWC" <[email protected]>
: Eric, I would say that it's open for interpretation.
: The NHC site states that a Cat 5 is > 155 mph "> 135 knots".
: This Saffir-Simpson paper states the same threshold.
: http://ams.allenpress.com/archive/1520-0477/88/11/pdf/i1520-0477-88-11-1799.pdf
: According to the NHC site:
: Category Four Hurricane: Winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt or 210-249 km/hr).
: Category Five Hurricane: Winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 km/hr).
: The problem is in the conversion (knots * 1.15) = 155.36 mph.
: This is obviously greater than 155.0 mph but equal if you round so can be
: interpreted differently as in Unisys and typhoon2007 sites.
: JTWC doesn't use the Saffir-Simpson categories to classify NWPAC
: tropical cyclones.
: Regards,
: Steve Barlow, TDO
: 以上的內容有幾個重點
: 1.關於135kts究竟是CAT4還是CAT5是可以自由定義的,並沒有一定的說法.
: 2.依照NHC,CAT5是>155mph的颱風,但是問題就出在這了,155mph轉換成
: knots的時候約是134.78kts(我反過來算),那麼很明顯地135kts>134.78kts,所以135kts
: 應該是CAT5,但是如果將134.78kts四捨五入就變成了135kts(兩者只差0.22kts左右)
: 那麼此時就不是大於而是等於了,有些網站會自動進位,那麼就顯示為CAT4,如果不
: 進位,那就是CAT5.事實上135kts正好就在CAT4和CAT5的交界處,CAT4的最上限,CAT5
: 的最底限,因此到底是CAT4還是5就看個人以哪種方式分類.
: 3.JTWC並不使用Saffair-Simpson的分級(CAT1.2.3...)來對西太的颱風作評價.
: 所以囉,135kts要說是CAT4或CAT5都可以,總之它介於CAT4及5之間,看每個人的定義方式
: 有所不同.
: 而JTWC並沒有採用此分級法(CAT1.2.3...),因此沒有"以JTWC為準"這樣的說法...
: 抱歉...我之前說錯了...沒有一定是CAT4...
: 以上是本人對JTWC的回覆做的解讀,如有錯誤敬請指教^^...
--
Category Four Hurricane: Winds 131-155 mph 各包含131及155
Category Five Hurricane: Winds greater than 155 mph
greater than指的應該是大於(超過)155mph,也就是不包含155mph
除非它用的是大於等於的符號,否則不含該數值
所以其實也不會有進位的問題,依每人定義解讀反而有點怪
數據跟分級應該還蠻嚴謹的
※ 引述《web2312 (Typhoon vs. Hurricane)》之銘言:
: 以下是我詢問JTWC的結果
: "Barlow, Stephen J CIV NMFC_JTWC" <[email protected]>
: Eric, I would say that it's open for interpretation.
: The NHC site states that a Cat 5 is > 155 mph "> 135 knots".
: This Saffir-Simpson paper states the same threshold.
: http://ams.allenpress.com/archive/1520-0477/88/11/pdf/i1520-0477-88-11-1799.pdf
: According to the NHC site:
: Category Four Hurricane: Winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt or 210-249 km/hr).
: Category Five Hurricane: Winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 km/hr).
: The problem is in the conversion (knots * 1.15) = 155.36 mph.
: This is obviously greater than 155.0 mph but equal if you round so can be
: interpreted differently as in Unisys and typhoon2007 sites.
: JTWC doesn't use the Saffir-Simpson categories to classify NWPAC
: tropical cyclones.
: Regards,
: Steve Barlow, TDO
: 以上的內容有幾個重點
: 1.關於135kts究竟是CAT4還是CAT5是可以自由定義的,並沒有一定的說法.
: 2.依照NHC,CAT5是>155mph的颱風,但是問題就出在這了,155mph轉換成
: knots的時候約是134.78kts(我反過來算),那麼很明顯地135kts>134.78kts,所以135kts
: 應該是CAT5,但是如果將134.78kts四捨五入就變成了135kts(兩者只差0.22kts左右)
: 那麼此時就不是大於而是等於了,有些網站會自動進位,那麼就顯示為CAT4,如果不
: 進位,那就是CAT5.事實上135kts正好就在CAT4和CAT5的交界處,CAT4的最上限,CAT5
: 的最底限,因此到底是CAT4還是5就看個人以哪種方式分類.
: 3.JTWC並不使用Saffair-Simpson的分級(CAT1.2.3...)來對西太的颱風作評價.
: 所以囉,135kts要說是CAT4或CAT5都可以,總之它介於CAT4及5之間,看每個人的定義方式
: 有所不同.
: 而JTWC並沒有採用此分級法(CAT1.2.3...),因此沒有"以JTWC為準"這樣的說法...
: 抱歉...我之前說錯了...沒有一定是CAT4...
: 以上是本人對JTWC的回覆做的解讀,如有錯誤敬請指教^^...
--
Tags:
颱風
All Comments
By Elizabeth
at 2008-05-15T09:18
at 2008-05-15T09:18
By Isabella
at 2008-05-17T07:23
at 2008-05-17T07:23
By Ethan
at 2008-05-19T05:28
at 2008-05-19T05:28
By Mia
at 2008-05-21T03:33
at 2008-05-21T03:33
By James
at 2008-05-23T01:38
at 2008-05-23T01:38
By Kyle
at 2008-05-24T23:43
at 2008-05-24T23:43
By Andrew
at 2008-05-26T21:47
at 2008-05-26T21:47
By Steve
at 2008-05-28T19:52
at 2008-05-28T19:52
By Isla
at 2008-05-30T17:57
at 2008-05-30T17:57
By Wallis
at 2008-06-01T16:02
at 2008-06-01T16:02
By Aaliyah
at 2008-06-03T14:07
at 2008-06-03T14:07
By Oliver
at 2008-06-05T12:12
at 2008-06-05T12:12
Related Posts
四川大地震的發生原因?
By Zora
at 2008-05-12T23:38
at 2008-05-12T23:38
135kts是CAT4還是CAT5? JTWC的回信
By Jacob
at 2008-05-12T21:44
at 2008-05-12T21:44
不可思議的地震
By Emma
at 2008-05-12T21:19
at 2008-05-12T21:19
四川大地震的發生原因?
By Rae
at 2008-05-12T21:12
at 2008-05-12T21:12
幾個氣象學的問題?
By Lily
at 2008-05-12T20:08
at 2008-05-12T20:08