1510 蓮花颱風 形成 - 颱風討論

Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2015-07-02T21:29

Table of Contents

台風第10号 (リンファ)
平成27年07月02日22時25分 発表

<02日21時の実況>
大きさ -
強さ -
存在地域 フィリピンの東
中心位置 北緯 15度25分(15.4度)
東経 128度50分(128.8度)
進行方向、速さ 北北西 15km/h(9kt)
中心気圧 998hPa
中心付近の最大風速 18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速 25m/s(50kt)
15m/s以上の強風域 全域 170km(90NM)

http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/typh/images/zoomc/1510-00.png


預報三天後擦過呂宋東北角~

--
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°Ο。。○。°oΟ。° ο゚○ Ο○ ο○。゚゚○ο°。°οo°οΟ。○。
o Ο ○ο○Ο゚。○ °οo°Ο○。゚。ΟοΟ○Ο。。○。Οοo。。○。Οοo
°。°○ο °ο°οΟ。。○。o°○ο°。°οo°οΟ。○。○° οo
oΟ ○ Ο。。○。 ο ○Ο゚。○° οo°Ο ○。゚。Οο○Οo○。 ο ○Ο゚

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2015-07-03T10:11
終於形成了。目前似乎強度普普
George avatar
By George
at 2015-07-03T22:52
EC 00Z 系集~http://i.minus.com/iQrKno3c5YnKF.png
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2015-07-04T11:33
http://goo.gl/Mvss0n 老J最新一報 準備要藤原囉
中心在巴士海峽待三天以上
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2015-07-05T00:15
久違的花名颱風...
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2015-07-05T12:56
很多花名颱風在歷史上都對台灣有重大影響
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2015-07-06T01:37
點開那個EC系集...我笑惹orz
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2015-07-06T14:19
各種躲開台灣@@
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2015-07-07T03:00
家人5號飛日本,9號回, 回程很有機會受影響...
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2015-07-07T15:41
CWB的轉向點比其他家還東,連海警都不會發
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2015-07-08T04:23
連系集都長的跟花朵一樣,不過不是西北颱就不要來
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2015-07-08T17:04
9號飛日本 囧...
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2015-07-09T05:45
天女散花XD
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2015-07-09T18:27
我也5號飛日本,9號飛回...
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2015-07-10T07:08
防護罩開還很大
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2015-07-10T19:49
和阿鴻藤原效應情形將決定蓮花動向,要密切注意
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2015-07-11T08:31
借這裡問一下,若發生藤原蓮花被阿鴻牽走,是不是不
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2015-07-11T21:12
會影響到台日航班?
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2015-07-12T09:53
就算被牽,牽到日本的機會還是很高
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2015-07-12T22:35
http://goo.gl/H4sJUq
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2015-07-13T11:16
旅行延誤險/旅行不便險趕快找一家適合的保
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2015-07-13T23:58
感覺昌鴻雖然吃得很很廣,但需要重整一下;而蓮花受到
John avatar
By John
at 2015-07-14T12:39
昌鴻的牽制,雲團也聚不太起來...
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2015-07-15T01:20
感覺就像新婚夫婦,可是卻各玩各的...
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2015-07-15T14:02
系集一團亂XD
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2015-07-16T02:43
就算藤原 只要蓮花有一定強度 昌鴻不見得會強勢帶走
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2015-07-16T15:24
請問屏東的朋友們有下雨嗎?這幾天
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2015-07-17T04:06
在台灣外海互繞的變數相當大
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2015-07-17T16:47
蓮花慢到可能7號 8號才會開始影響台灣?
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2015-07-18T05:28
話說移動這麼慢的原因是?
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2015-07-18T18:10
1.整合 2.距離高壓脊線太遠導引不明顯
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2015-07-19T06:51
蓮花發展速度比想像中快很多耶,最近幾小時瘋狂出現
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2015-07-19T19:32
輻散針狀雲,是說它北方有冷低還是TUTT嗎?
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2015-07-20T08:14
以目前變態的OHC加上強烈的輻散,大膽猜測24小時後
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2015-07-20T20:55
高層開眼了XD(純屬個人猜測有被打臉可能)
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2015-07-21T09:36
蓮花還沒穿上衣服
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2015-07-21T22:18
阿花在等阿鴻帶她一起走吧XD
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2015-07-22T10:59
看能不能把強度拉到跟昌鴻一樣 這樣藤原才有戲XD
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2015-07-22T23:40
變強ㄧ點,才有肛台灣的能力
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2015-07-23T12:22
EC對小環流系統常低估強度,例如去年雷神XD
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2015-07-24T01:03
這隻沒有多中心問題應該不會像去年鳳凰一樣
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2015-07-24T13:45
要好看的藤原 10W要比09W強才行 形態、位置差異太多
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2015-07-25T02:26
像EC預報那樣阿花被阿鴻帶去日本真的有可能發生嗎
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2015-07-25T15:07
情況1是強度相當發生藤原 颱風在台灣東南方往東南
走 而另一隻則往西南走靠近琉球
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2015-07-26T03:49
不用比09W強啦,到天秤跟布拉萬的差距就有看頭了
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2015-07-26T16:30
情況二是另一隻強度比蓮花強 把蓮花往東北吸走 是這
樣嗎?
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2015-07-27T05:11
我是想看看10W能不能把09W往南拉XDD
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2015-07-27T17:53
連續11個月有颱風生成
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2015-07-28T06:34
10W環流小09W不少,有點難度
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2015-07-28T19:15
各數值都不太看好蓮花颱風的強度=_= 甚至認為未來會
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2015-07-29T07:57
持續減弱,但主流機構還是認為有較穩定增強的機會
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2015-07-29T20:38
另外,也可以觀察昌鴻接下來會不會如各家預期有偏北
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2015-07-30T09:19
的角度出現
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2015-07-30T22:01
EC最新連載:10W到巴海後受09W影響減弱,之後以西北
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2015-07-31T10:42
行TD強度從台灣南部登陸,出海到台海後往西南緩慢移
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2015-07-31T23:23
動,直到7/11都仍在南海北部徘徊
09W和97W路徑沒有太大變動,數值對小環流一直都有低
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2015-08-01T12:05
估的現象,所以實際強度還是看機構主觀預報較準確
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2015-08-02T00:46
CWB西調路徑,若依此路徑發海警機率高
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2015-08-02T13:27
蓮花捅菊花!
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2015-08-03T02:09
EC 12Z 09W 10W系集~
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2015-08-03T14:50
http://i.minus.com/iKgSFs5alO5K0.png
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2015-08-04T03:32
http://i.minus.com/iR7LzrQDoYl1U.png
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2015-08-04T16:13
昌鴻東方雲系似乎也轉起來了?渦度也有些加深,昌鴻
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2015-08-05T04:54
目前仍然以偏西的角度行進,看連續雲圖,甚至感覺有
往西南偏移的現象
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2015-08-05T17:36
應該是受風切影響,有偏西的情況
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2015-08-06T06:17
CWB過去移動路徑確實有點往南
James avatar
By James
at 2015-08-06T18:58
JMA調降昌鴻強度
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2015-08-07T07:40
JMA預估登陸菲律賓
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2015-08-07T20:21
,然後走S路線
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2015-08-08T09:02
阿鴻:接下來教大家如何料理蓮花,蓮花:快逃阿!!
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2015-08-08T21:44
鋒面似乎快要壓到北台灣了!
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2015-08-09T10:25
對啊。台北今天陰天
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2015-08-09T23:06
94W似乎復活了,受惠冷渦的良好流出,渦度再次加深
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2015-08-10T11:48
97w. GW
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2015-08-11T00:29
昌鴻現在中心東北方那個該不會是原來的94W吧
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2015-08-11T13:10
那整併還沒成功阿 變兩個裸奔中心XD
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2015-08-12T01:52
阿鴻:94W這道料理真難處理 都要食用了還會動
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2015-08-12T14:33
昌鴻定位開始出現分歧,CWB:10.2N 147.2E
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2015-08-13T03:14
JMA則重新定位10.4N 148.3E,也就是可見光中可看到
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2015-08-13T15:56
的LLCC,若以此中心為基點,西側有個環流持續往西偏
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2015-08-14T04:37
CWB定位應該有問題
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2015-08-14T17:19
JTWC 預測中心會輕輕掃過恆春 預測最高強度調降
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2015-08-15T06:00
移,東側則有個環流也逐漸發展起來(94W被拉過去?)
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2015-08-15T18:41
該不會吞不下去還要吐出來吧XD
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2015-08-16T07:23
94w復活?現在看根本兩團啊XD
George avatar
By George
at 2015-08-16T20:04
10w,97w快強勢崛起 讓情況更複雜一點
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2015-08-17T08:45
這些至少來1、2顆登陸台灣瞧瞧
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2015-08-17T21:27
新北西部外海已經轉陰了..希望降點雨...
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2015-08-18T10:08
蓮花預計擦過呂宋東北角。到台灣應該強度不強了吧
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2015-08-18T22:49
阿蓮越來越慢 等到台灣可能只有部份縣市會有感覺
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2015-08-19T11:31
雖然94W撤編,不過它的LLCC一直都沒被阿鴻吃
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2015-08-20T00:12
仍然一直在阿鴻身邊轉,另外阿鴻和97W之間除了94殘
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2015-08-20T12:53
餘還有另一個LLCC,這些可能都會跟阿鴻繼續互動影響
其強度與路徑
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2015-08-21T01:35
10W所在地方風切較強是機構不看好它強度的主要原因
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2015-08-21T14:16
EC那個是什麼鬼啦 XDDDDD
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2015-08-22T02:57
要盡快解決裸奔問題才能有明顯的爆發增強
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2015-08-22T15:39
97W GW
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2015-08-23T04:20
南卡今天或明天有機會形成
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2015-08-23T17:01
OAO
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2015-08-24T05:43
好多喔
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2015-08-24T18:24
不要再生成了啊~~八月份的額度要被用掉了啦!
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2015-08-25T07:06
完蛋了 下禮拜的小琉球 88了
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2015-08-25T19:47
7月氣候平均值為3.6個,若要繼續維持月月都多於平均
還要再生成1個喔XD
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2015-08-26T08:28
我要10個
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2015-08-26T21:10
整篇討論串充滿了歡樂..XD
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2015-08-27T09:51
氣象局改鋒面接近 該不會最後變鋒面通過XD
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2015-08-27T22:32
我覺得機構好像太低估了蓮花的強度發展
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2015-08-28T11:14
七月目前只有一個蓮花 加上 "準"南卡 還需要兩個(?
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2015-08-28T23:55
因為蓮花現在根本沒有增強的條件
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2015-08-29T12:36
蓮花唯一問題就是風切太強,只要這問題解決發展可能
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2015-08-30T01:18
還比昌鴻還好,但是按預測路徑蓮花接下來都會處在風
切很高的地方,想解決裸奔只能靠自己...
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2015-08-30T13:59
上次鋒面7月南下台灣是1988年(77年)7月27日 記得
那晚北部超級大雷雨超驚人
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2015-08-31T02:40
目前看起來蓮花是有在嘗試把衣服穿起來
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2015-08-31T15:22
根據風場掃描 09W JMA調強至23m/s
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2015-09-01T04:03
JMA: #10近乎停滯中
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2015-09-01T16:44
昌鴻疑似還在跟94w整合 這總吃下又跑出來的整合最後
真整合成功印象會變大眼睛
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2015-09-02T05:26
好期代睽違近30年(2015-1988=27年)的夏季鋒面通過
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2015-09-02T18:07
西南氣流的強度是決定蓮花會不會被昌鴻吃掉的關鍵
Una avatar
By Una
at 2015-09-03T06:48
風切退了,就知道哪個颱風沒穿褲子(咦
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2015-09-03T19:30
都沒有人覺得蓮花最後會比昌鴻強嗎? XD
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2015-09-04T08:11
上次同名蓮花颱風,已經是2009年的事,還可以取一
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2015-09-04T20:53
看了一下蓮花附近環境 還是請他好好把褲子穿好吧(?
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2015-09-05T09:34
鴻哥還再想辦法處理94W 要再等(?
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2015-09-05T22:15
復活的94W剛被編成98W
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2015-09-06T10:57
居然還有face-off這招
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2015-09-06T23:38
蓮花搞不好登菲就散了,強度實在太弱,風切太強
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2015-09-07T12:19
風切會隨著高壓移動而改變,不見得一直這麼強
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2015-09-08T01:01
南海的水氣可是源源不絕的供給蓮花呢
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2015-09-08T13:42
蓮花日本給23/s台灣只給18m/s. 昌鴻日本給28m/s台灣
給33。好怪
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2015-09-09T02:23
蓮花是小J11點才看風場調升的,CWB可能14點跟進
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2015-09-09T15:05
昌鴻是小J一早看到他裸了才從TY降到STS
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2015-09-10T03:46
蓮花帶點雨來也是好事
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2015-09-10T16:27
現在阿鴻衣服穿得比蓮花少XD
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2015-09-11T05:09
如果蓮花能閃過呂宋島,那可能對臺灣造成威脅
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2015-09-11T17:50
這對不穿衣服的情侶真害羞XD
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2015-09-12T06:31
EC最新預報阿花菲律賓東北角登陸後,往東北方遠離台
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2015-09-12T19:13
灣本島
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2015-09-13T07:54
基本上進入機構五日預測範圍時已經懶得鳥模式了…
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2015-09-13T20:35
EC這報直接無視.....太豪小
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2015-09-14T09:17
其實蠻有趣的 當初的數值全部要作廢 沒人估到昌鴻這
麼弱
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2015-09-14T21:58
JMA現在不想給5日預報
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2015-09-15T10:40
JMA看到變化這麼快, 開始龜縮了
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2015-09-15T23:21
JMA五日預報大約在該颱風三日預報發佈的半小時後出
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2015-09-16T12:02
另外JMA認為現在昌鴻和蓮花一樣強【持續調降昌鴻強
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2015-09-17T00:44
好像不一定耶, 這一報, 昌鴻5日預測很早就出來
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2015-09-17T13:25
度】
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2015-09-18T02:06
蓮花5日預報就龜比較久
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2015-09-18T14:48
各位觀眾,黃金叉燒出現了!
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2015-09-19T03:29
如果說的是12點那報,五日預報通常只是複製貼上
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2015-09-19T16:10
蓮花成為爆菊颱的機率好像還在
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2015-09-20T04:52
現在有5日預報了 好嗨
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2015-09-20T17:33
JMA五日預報XDD
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2015-09-21T06:14
這路徑就是期待恆春實測,其他除了蘭嶼基本不期不待
XD
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2015-09-21T18:56
CWB也出來了,和小J差不多只是沒那麼歪七扭八XD
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2015-09-22T07:37
早上的小J還跑出Z字型出來XD
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2015-09-22T20:18
小J這路徑真的要直接從尾巴給他暴毆XD
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2015-09-23T09:00
1999的夏天不是一週一鋒面南下嗎?記得那兩個月常常
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2015-09-23T21:41
老J最新一報把昌鴻大砍到只剩45kts
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2015-09-24T10:22
該不會又是一個鳳凰颱風?應該不會走路徑九吧?
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2015-09-24T23:04
老J蓮花路徑南調並不再上望C1
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2015-09-25T11:45
老J路徑直接撞下去阿 那強度不看好正常
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2015-09-26T00:27
O'AO
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2015-09-26T13:08
切到南海邊緣剛好吃西南雲系呀, 可以再長大
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2015-09-27T01:49
蓮花穿上衣服囉~中心開始爆發對流,觀察看看否能持續
William avatar
By William
at 2015-09-27T14:31
早上起床到現在感覺阿花都沒移動過
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2015-09-28T03:12
忙著再附近找衣服穿(?)
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2015-09-28T15:53
CWB的一週預測圖好像怪怪的(昌鴻蓮花乾坤大挪移?)
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2015-09-29T04:35
應該是昌鴻的名字標錯地方XD 那裡的L應該是蓮花減弱
David avatar
By David
at 2015-09-29T17:16
李主播剛剛舉了一個很可怕的例子-賽洛瑪…
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2015-09-30T05:57
1977年南賽洛瑪 北薇拉 1996年南葛樂禮 北賀伯
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2015-09-30T18:39
最近三報EC 10W決定性預測~
http://i.minus.com/itNK3CKYYTW10.png
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2015-10-01T07:20
有在構建CDO的趨勢
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2015-10-01T20:01
(數值模式預測路徑僅供參考,決策請以氣象局為準)
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2015-10-02T08:43
剛剛看似乎又裸了
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2015-10-02T21:24
EC 00Z 10W系集~
http://i.minus.com/iNckO2eQCtW8W.png
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2015-10-03T10:05
有滿多條路徑登陸北台灣的耶
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2015-10-03T22:47
50個成員裡面有8條到華南 20條到台灣 22條其它
繼續觀察~
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2015-10-04T11:28
從雲圖來看 蓮花現在還比昌鴻好@@"
Una avatar
By Una
at 2015-10-05T00:09
昌鴻那麼破。搞不好還被蓮花牽制
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2015-10-05T12:51
EC 00Z 09W系集~
http://i1.minus.com/iB7MknoMgeOv.png
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2015-10-06T01:32
JMA把昌鴻降為23m/s了@[email protected],晚上無可見光,明早再來
看昌鴻穿上衣服了沒=_=
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2015-10-06T14:14
鴻哥怎麼料理個94W把自己搞得那麼慘= =
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2015-10-07T02:55
不過JMA對於昌鴻前景依然看好,現在慘只是暫時
如果再繼續慘下去,到時候會變成他被蓮花玩...
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2015-10-07T15:36
97W升格為11W了
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2015-10-08T04:18
JMA最新五日預測報出蓮花6~8號在巴士海峽滯留北飄..
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2015-10-08T16:59
耶..不是說高壓東退 為啥蓮花還會被預測停車在那= =
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2015-10-09T05:40
這路線要肛不肛的, 癢癢
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2015-10-09T18:22
可以問一下蓮花的導引氣流什麼時候會出現呢?
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2015-10-10T07:03
沒有人知道
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2015-10-10T19:44
比五日預報還長的預報就是數值了,問題是現在數值
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2015-10-11T08:26
一日數變參考價值很低
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2015-10-11T21:07
那影響臺灣的時間又要延後了…,感謝k大
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2015-10-12T09:48
蓮花那條綠色路徑是要環島一圈嗎~~~
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2015-10-12T22:30
對流萎了,被打臉了QQ
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2015-10-13T11:11
蓮花現在又變醜了@@
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2015-10-13T23:52
有時後低壓太多會互相干擾跟破壞 最後反而都發展
不如預期 歷史也不是沒有這種例子
加上這種互相干擾下去 最後全部都離台而去也是有過
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2015-10-14T12:34
所以平常心就好 太期待容易受傷害!!
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2015-10-15T01:15
阿蓮附近風切也不弱 不用急XD
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2015-10-15T13:56
另外 老J的誤差圈酷斃了XD
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2015-10-16T02:38
風切40真的能上TY嗎XD
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2015-10-16T15:19
晚間風場掃描~
09W~ http://i.minus.com/ib0RuPZtNniGOr.png
10W~ http://i.minus.com/ib1xh58a76xlvP.png
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2015-10-17T04:01
高壓東退+阿鴻頂住 但範圍又不夠大導致牽不到阿蓮
David avatar
By David
at 2015-10-17T16:42
單從風場掃描來看,目前近中心強度10W比09W強
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2015-10-18T05:23
導致阿蓮在台灣南部外海飄?
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2015-10-18T18:05
阿蓮現在感覺比較強啊~ 阿鴻我看底層掃瞄很散
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2015-10-19T06:46
不過就整體環境而言 阿鴻感覺好一點 怎麼整合這麼慢
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2015-10-19T19:27
後面的阿南感覺又比前面這兩隻更好 不會追上來吧XD
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2015-10-20T08:09
11W誕生!
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2015-10-20T20:50
所以沒事別亂吃低壓...看看阿鴻,好慘
George avatar
By George
at 2015-10-21T09:31
機構預測整合完又會是一條活龍,讓我們繼續看下去
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2015-10-21T22:13
蓮花又解體了XDDD
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2015-10-22T10:54
我有一個問題 如果阿鴻沒預期強 把高壓頂上去
那蓮花怎麼辦?
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2015-10-22T23:35
走奇比路線?
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2015-10-23T12:17
高壓會先被那個洋中冷渦搞垮
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2015-10-24T00:58
其實我很好奇就算沒有阿鴻,副高受到槽線和冷低打擊
大幅東退是不是也會讓蓮花東偏?
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2015-10-24T13:39
昌鴻入夜後似乎也沒增強的跡象
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2015-10-25T02:21
等靠近台灣變強再進來
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2015-10-25T15:02
蓮花越來越殘破XD
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2015-10-26T03:43
鋒面壓的到北部嗎?
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2015-10-26T16:25
記得前幾年不是有一個颱風從東部外海北上引進西南
氣流讓南台灣淹大水 這次看起來不也有可能這樣嗎?
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2015-10-27T05:06
康芮?
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2015-10-27T17:48
應該是敏督利,不過敏督利是東部近海北上後有登陸
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2015-10-28T06:29
我剛剛去翻了一下 是康芮! http://i.imgur.com/jfY
KkZe.jpg
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2015-10-29T07:52
原來是康芮,會提敏督利是因為時間點一致,都在七
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2015-10-29T20:33
凌晨最新EC 蓮花北上到花蓮外海被昌鴻牽住滯留
之後再隨昌鴻北上
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2015-10-30T09:14
走快點,別影響到下星期日
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2015-10-30T21:56
目前蓮花雲圖結構大為好轉
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2015-10-31T10:37
蓮花會登陸呂宋島,對臺灣影響大降,不用太擔心了
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2015-10-31T23:18
對啊。會被陸地破壞
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2015-11-01T12:00
莫忘莫拉克
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2015-11-02T00:41
大小J預測登陸菲律賓的點有一些差
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2015-11-02T13:22
其實未來怎麼走還不明朗,現在就說對台影響大為減輕
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2015-11-03T02:04
?
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2015-11-03T14:45
確實是影響大降 不用擔心
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2015-11-04T03:26
希望別影響到考試!!拜託!!

天氣小觀:驚奇再起@看梅雨、看颱風、看共伴效應

Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2015-07-02T10:34
天氣小觀:驚奇再起atat看梅雨、看颱風、看共伴效應 (以下快速說明) 最近東亞到西太平洋大氣上演超級大戲, 誇張到令人無法置信。 上一篇發文後有推文問共伴效應, 想說一周後期的東北風畢竟不如東北季風來的強悍, 模式預報也看不出颱風和東北風有共伴。所以應該不會有。 但是今早一看,模式又變了,預報跑出共 ...

10號颱風預警

Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2015-07-02T06:46
http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/typh/ 準10號 蓮花 菲東滿靠近台灣的 熱帯低気圧 平成27年07月02日07時05分 発表 andlt;02日06時の実況andgt; 大きさ - 強さ - 熱帯低気圧 存在地域 フィリピンの東 中心位置 北緯 ...

96W TCFA GW

Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2015-07-02T02:17
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp9615.gif http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp9615web.txt WTPN21 PGTW 01173 ...

白海豚颱風顛峰強度威力彩開獎與問題

Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2015-07-01T21:38
一、開獎號碼 JMA:100kts,CWB:102kts,JTWC:140kts,2報 二、累計獎金(所有獎勵均為稅前,若有小數點則四捨五入) 由於白海豚是史上最早第7號颱風,因此本次威力彩所有獎金無條件*1.7 頭獎獎金為(100+102+140)*2*1.7=1163P幣,貳獎獎金為684*2/3* ...

6月各測站氣象資訊

Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2015-07-01T16:57
http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V7/climate/monthlyData/mD.htm http://i.imgur.com/m0Ji4OJ.png 6月的月均溫果然驚人 5個測站andgt;=30度 9個測站在29~30度 台北跟嘉義打破2013年6月的最高月均溫記錄 應該也有其 ...