2016 BOB06 Vardah（瓦妲）誕生 - 颱風討論

http://i.imgur.com/vZIMIQL.png

THE DEEP DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED FURTHER NORTHWARDS
DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, INTENSIFY INTO CYCLONIC STOME, (VARDAH) AND LAY
CENTRED AT 0530 HOURS IST OD TODAY, THE 8TH DECEMBER, 2016 OVER SOUTHEAST BAY
OF BEENGAL NEAR LATITUDE 11.20N AND LONGITUDE 90.50E, ABOUT 1060 KM SOUTHEAST
OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, 1150 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MACHILIPATNAM, 340 KM NORTHWEST
OF CAR NICOBAR AND 240KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PORTBLAIR. THE SYSTEM IS VERY LIKE
TO MOVE NEARLY NORTHWARDS FOR NEXT 06 HRS AND THEN NORTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS
ANDHRA PRADESH COAST DURING SUBSEQUENT 4 DAYS.

THE TROUGH AT MEAN SEA LEVEL FROM LAKSHADWEEP AREA TO SOUTH KONKAN COAST
PERSISTS.

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瓦妲（Vardah），烏爾都語「玫瑰」之意。

發展明顯慢於預期，環流比想像中的也要大不少，結構較差，
目前強度預測仍上望SCS（強烈氣旋風暴）上限，並研判將侵襲安得拉邦一帶，
不過EC、GFS仍是認為增強強度還有很大的空間，週日（11日）將是觀察重點。

希望不要造成太大災情比較好......

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