201920 Neoguri（浣熊）誕生 - 颱風討論

By Emily
at 2019-10-18T03:28

Table of Contents

WTPQ20 RJTD 171800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1920 NEOGURI (1920) UPGRADED FROM TD

ANALYSIS
PSTN 171800UTC 19.7N 129.5E FAIR
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM

FORECAST

24HF 181800UTC 20.1N 127.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT

48HF 191800UTC 20.7N 126.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT

72HF 201800UTC 21.4N 125.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

--
◥◣◥◣ 歡迎搭乘西北太平洋第六世代環狀線捷運系統！　　　　　　　　　》》》◤
◢◤◢◤ Welcome to take Generation Ⅵ Circular Line of W.Pacific Metro! ◤

本側開門　哈吉貝 → 浣熊　 →　博羅依
← ▍ ︽ ▍→ ——○—————●—————○——→
Exit side Hagibis 1;31;5mNeoguri → Bualoi

--

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

By Tracy
at 2019-10-22T17:33

天啊浣熊竟然被雜魚搶走了XD

By Leila
at 2019-10-27T07:38

對了，下一個是新名稱，原意是椰奶圓仔湯

By Eartha
at 2019-10-31T21:43

小浣熊我der

By Lily
at 2019-11-05T11:48

報轉向囉 https://i.imgur.com/fSnDrFj.gif

By Olivia
at 2019-11-10T01:52

才差一報路徑差真多

By Edwina
at 2019-11-14T15:57

博羅依的前身是？

By Frederic
at 2019-11-19T06:02

雷馬遜上一世把海南島打爆而畢業

By Lauren
at 2019-11-23T20:07

這誤差圈還真的不是普通大

By Gilbert
at 2019-11-28T10:12

底層有眼耶果然小系統數值都會報弱

By Suhail Hany
at 2019-12-03T00:17

機構和數值真慘連短期路徑都抓不準有抓到浣熊過

By Kristin
at 2019-12-07T14:21

去半天以來都移速慢到接近滯留嗎

By Thomas
at 2019-12-12T04:26

例如CWB 18Z預測下午會走到19.8N 128.3E
現在還卡在129.5E 幾乎不太想動

By Rosalind
at 2019-12-16T18:31

難怪原本的轉西南西撞菲律賓派的預測幾乎快全投降了

By Ida
at 2019-12-21T08:36

現在變成轉向派佔上風了移速完全抓不準

By Lauren
at 2019-12-25T22:41

想請問如果是這樣轉向的話還會有類共伴的降雨嗎?

By Christine
at 2019-12-30T12:46

東邊北上頂多加強冷空氣南下程度

By Caroline
at 2020-01-04T02:50

會那個嗎

By Oscar
at 2020-01-08T16:55

這隻範圍不大還會加強冷空氣嗎

By Tracy
at 2020-01-13T07:00

上一代浣熊記得很強

By Ula
at 2020-01-17T21:05

這是又要去日本嗎

By Aaliyah
at 2020-01-22T11:10

可能短命颱風，前面環境太差了，共伴條件也不足

By Annie
at 2020-01-27T01:15

因為前方會碰上冷空氣很快會GG，但多少會有水氣被送
進來

By Lydia
at 2020-01-31T15:19

https://i.imgur.com/S0zms7m.gif
JTWC繼續稍微上調強度及強度預測

By Charlotte
at 2020-02-05T05:24

應該不會貓起來吧

By Puput
at 2020-02-09T19:29

依這個路徑搞不好連季風輻合降雨都減少不少

By Olive
at 2020-02-14T09:34

拜託不要去日本

By Tracy
at 2020-02-18T23:39

泡麵颱風

By Ida
at 2020-02-23T13:44

小浣熊會乾掉,下隻泰式圓仔湯好像比較有戲.

By Quintina
at 2020-02-28T03:48

https://i.imgur.com/MvERDNB.png
JMA最新一報壽命延長

By Vanessa
at 2020-03-03T17:53

EC和GFS對遠洋擾動的發展一直沒有共識
一下認為會發展一下認為不會，每報都在變動

By Sierra Rose
at 2020-03-08T07:58

原因很簡單:

By James
at 2020-03-12T22:03

https://imgur.com/FCyeVkJ.jpg

By Heather
at 2020-03-17T12:08

未來10天內南海到菲東一帶都乾巴巴的要生出來真的

By Anthony
at 2020-03-22T02:13

不容易連遠洋換日線以西都偏乾...

By Ida
at 2020-03-26T16:17

然後更驚悚希望不要成真的預測來了

By Anthony
at 2020-03-31T06:22

https://imgur.com/PDi2IcX.jpg
https://imgur.com/1mFA8a7.jpg

By Kristin
at 2020-04-04T20:27

阻塞脊阻塞高壓全都攻陷到極區內把極渦全擠向北歐
東歐去...海冰繼續QQ了...

By Ophelia
at 2020-04-09T10:32

西太乾巴巴可能跟印度洋東西耦極態相關

By Doris
at 2020-04-14T00:37

赤道印度洋東偏冷西偏暖類似反聖嬰配置

By Dora
at 2020-04-18T14:42

海洋大陸偏乾下沉西印度洋偏溼赤道印度洋為東風距平

By Ophelia
at 2020-04-23T04:46

赤道西太為西風距平不僅導致過去季內振盪在相位8-1

By Bennie
at 2020-04-27T18:51

停留連暖池暖水團都推出去中太平洋聖嬰有死灰復燃
的可能

By Hedy
at 2020-05-02T08:56

尼瑪，現在北極漩渦感覺快被打死了

By Emily
at 2020-05-06T23:01

浣熊的高空輻散還真是優秀，迷你的CDO真的是小巧可
愛...

By Edwina
at 2020-05-11T13:06

東太也有一隻雜魚Octave，而且也小巧可愛

By Thomas
at 2020-05-16T03:11

https://i.imgur.com/mt4qEQI.gif

By Valerie
at 2020-05-20T17:15

最近兩天發展的都一直比數值預測的還要快

By Edward Lewis
at 2020-05-25T07:20

也且速度也一直比預期慢數值和機構真的慘

By Liam
at 2020-05-29T21:25

連極短期走勢和強度也抓不太準

By Ivy
at 2020-06-03T11:30

這週也不如想像中濕涼雨不多

By Lydia
at 2020-06-08T01:35

https://i.imgur.com/Ip2WRpj.png

By Thomas
at 2020-06-12T15:40

JMA上望25M/S 不知道有無機會老J評級貓1貓起來

By Sierra Rose
at 2020-06-17T05:44

北極渦漩今年也太爛

By Gary
at 2020-06-21T19:49

浣熊小顆歸小顆至少還看得出是颱風哪像某幽靈超
XDDDDD

By Callum
at 2020-06-26T09:54

想起了以前有隻東部外海的小渦旋，好像是背風低壓生
成的

By Damian
at 2020-06-30T23:59

查到了，是2016年8月的94W

By Irma
at 2020-07-05T14:04

https://imgur.com/EV0Qpgy

By Edwina
at 2020-07-10T04:09

那天莫名其妙被吵醒陽台的植物東倒西歪

By Erin
at 2020-07-14T18:13

背風低壓撿到衣服發展記得花蓮浮標有平均風六級

By Odelette
at 2020-07-19T08:18

還有眼睛呢

By Ina
at 2020-07-23T22:23

台北晚上雨反而大起來了 cwb報多雲到晴耶

By Charlotte
at 2020-07-28T12:28

阿拉伊桑

By Linda
at 2020-08-02T02:33

阿萊伊桑XD

By Enid
at 2020-08-06T16:38

EC: 10/25～10/27東北風再度增強

By Ophelia
at 2020-08-11T06:42

JMA最新一報上望28M/S

By Damian
at 2020-08-15T20:47

JTWC則上望60KTS 快要貓起來了

By Hazel
at 2020-08-20T10:52

氣象局昨天降雨機率都有20%以上.....

By Lucy
at 2020-08-25T00:57

好像有點加強北風

By Gary
at 2020-08-29T15:02

JMA CI3.5 六小時[email protected]@

By Jack
at 2020-09-03T05:07

遠洋的餅也快形成了

By Daniel
at 2020-09-07T19:11

97W→22W

By Emma
at 2020-09-12T09:16

早上一看新聞說雷馬遜快形成傻眼XD

By Rachel
at 2020-09-16T23:21

https://i.imgur.com/ZPVzdCk.jpg

By Robert
at 2020-09-21T13:26

小J發GW了

By Joseph
at 2020-09-26T03:31

跌破眼鏡啦，JMA升STS還上看60節，搞不好下午就TY

By Michael
at 2020-09-30T17:36

Google「21號雷馬遜」笑死人了

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2020-10-05T07:40

不是博羅依嗎？

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2020-10-09T21:45

記者可能就自己Google找到舊的命名表，殊不知已經換
過名字了XDDDD

By Brianna
at 2020-10-14T11:50

現在都拿一條路徑來報就對了

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2020-10-19T01:55

21W最剛開始可是連成颱都沒人看好
就這樣默默地增強

By Bethany
at 2020-10-23T16:00

老J給55KTS了看看這隻有無機會貓起來

By Edith
at 2020-10-28T06:05

雷馬遜XDDDDDDDDDDD

By Andrew
at 2020-11-01T20:09

而且還抄來抄去，一大票媒體一起傻了

By Faithe
at 2020-11-06T10:14

https://i.imgur.com/FRhvh2c.png
有旗子了啦

By Cara
at 2020-11-11T00:19

這暴風半徑大概只有50km吧XD

By Eartha
at 2020-11-15T14:24

這隻還有增強空間要是最後跑出高層眼來就大驚奇了

By Christine
at 2020-11-20T04:29

要變小鋼炮了嗎

By Michael
at 2020-11-24T18:34

不過即使到現在還是有少部分數值預測後期轉西南
最後消散在海上

By Isla
at 2020-11-29T08:38

小巧玲瓏颱

By Isabella
at 2020-12-03T22:43

不過今天到目前為止似乎速度比預期偏快還略偏西一些
看看有無機會摸到125E線

By Rachel
at 2020-12-08T12:48

https://i.imgur.com/x6trn9L.gif

By Agnes
at 2020-12-13T02:53

看起來下週的歐洲有機會一夜入冬XD

By Xanthe
at 2020-12-17T16:58

下星期日本會受影響嗎？要去日本說～

By Belly
at 2020-12-22T07:03

21W cat.1

By Skylar Davis
at 2020-12-26T21:07

老J: 浣熊貓了!

By Elvira
at 2020-12-31T11:12

http://i.imgur.com/zbooHHK.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/O7tqbyr.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/4p3oAbS.jpg
是眼啊！！！

By Ida
at 2021-01-05T01:17

台北下雨，昨天預報20%，感覺最近降雨機率很不準XD

By Victoria
at 2021-01-09T15:22

迷你鋼砲XD

By Emily
at 2021-01-14T05:27

貓起來了

By Olive
at 2021-01-18T19:32

貓起來

By Madame
at 2021-01-23T09:36

台灣:你過不來!你過不來!

By Rosalind
at 2021-01-27T23:41

豆型貓，浣熊

By Emma
at 2021-02-01T13:46

台灣附近現在才真的是有環境力場，只可惜夏天喊來

By Hedda
at 2021-02-06T03:51

喊去的力場派現在都沒出現了

By George
at 2021-02-10T17:56

澎湖今天時陰時晴的

By Erin
at 2021-02-15T08:01

https://imgur.com/kvCMxkA

By Blanche
at 2021-02-19T22:05

暴風半徑只有100公里的貓1，超迷你

By Oscar
at 2021-02-24T12:10

這半徑給50km可能都太大了XD
這是Tracy那種的超級迷你風暴

By Puput
at 2021-03-01T02:15

竟然貓起來了，但這也太小一顆XD

By Noah
at 2021-03-05T16:20

老J上望75KTS 有機會貓2貓起來嗎

By Megan
at 2021-03-10T06:25

https://i.imgur.com/tR386su.gif

By Kama
at 2021-03-14T20:30

秋颱再怎樣迷你，靠高空輻散還是打趴一篇大範圍不
成材的夏季季風低壓

By Elizabeth
at 2021-03-19T10:34

希望可以開個高層眼

By Hedwig
at 2021-03-24T00:39

之前一直說很快就會掛掉的短命颱，現在長成貓1

By Rosalind
at 2021-03-28T14:44

http://i.imgur.com/dx0npVT.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/bzSPbWR.jpg

By Emily
at 2021-04-02T04:49

而且JTWC給的的氣壓居然有988百帕，搞不好是氣壓值
最高的貓1

By John
at 2021-04-06T18:54

http://i.imgur.com/lh1Q25h.jpg
JTWC是用KZC公式推的氣壓吧

By Anthony
at 2021-04-11T08:59

西太目前的狀況很乾，機構當然不看好，能貓起來已
經跌破眼鏡了

By James
at 2021-04-15T23:03

所以應該是因為他的環境氣壓有1016百帕吧

By John
at 2021-04-20T13:08

請問10/21在大阪會影響到嗎......

By Isla
at 2021-04-25T03:13

會，但可能以溫帶氣旋的形式影響

By Candice
at 2021-04-29T17:18

我1021-1025大阪 @@

By Elizabeth
at 2021-05-04T07:23

看JTWC的預報，應該只有22日影響半天，而且程度不大

By Steve
at 2021-05-08T21:28

小浣熊快開眼了

By Jacky
at 2021-05-13T11:32

現在都大轉彎就對了啦！滾

By Sandy
at 2021-05-18T01:37

http://i.imgur.com/IuFy80M.jpg

By Xanthe
at 2021-05-22T15:42

小系統意外多多

By Puput
at 2021-05-27T05:47

https://i.imgur.com/F71bVC7.gif

By Linda
at 2021-05-31T19:52

T值4.5了

By Emma
at 2021-06-05T09:57

JMA 12Z給33M/S 980hPa

By Jake
at 2021-06-10T00:01

JTWC 12Z給到75KTS

By Kumar
at 2021-06-14T14:06

http://i.imgur.com/06skjKq.jpg

By Sierra Rose
at 2021-06-19T04:11

令人驚奇的小浣熊....

By Joseph
at 2021-06-23T18:16

沒想到今年風季尾聲還能看到這麼有趣的颱風XD

By Ida
at 2021-06-28T08:21

小可愛力爭上游感動

By Anthony
at 2021-07-02T22:26

預報TD實際TY

By Ina
at 2021-07-07T12:30

西太的10月還不是尾聲

By Adele
at 2021-07-12T02:35

氣象局也升中颱了

By Daph Bay
at 2021-07-16T16:40

天鵝逆轉秀再現?

By Eden
at 2021-07-21T06:45

第一次看到中颱的氣壓只有980hpa

By Elma
at 2021-07-25T20:50

七級風暴風半徑也只有120公里好小...

By Linda
at 2021-07-30T10:55

中颱980..... 0.0...... 開眼界了

By Gary
at 2021-08-04T00:59

這隻真的比某些超颱的風眼還小隻

By Puput
at 2021-08-08T15:04

CWB給到120km 真大方 ww

By Belly
at 2021-08-13T05:09

所以浣熊颱風的發展史其實是個勵志的故事

By Isabella
at 2021-08-17T19:14

愈是被看不起愈要力爭上游

By Eartha
at 2021-08-22T09:19

背景氣壓值高達1015hpa，才有980hpa中颱，以往夏天
是背景1000hpa，才出現大家熟悉的970hpa中颱

By Candice
at 2021-08-26T23:24

快開眼了哇！

By Frederic
at 2021-08-31T13:28

眼清空到ow惹太神啦

By Candice
at 2021-09-05T03:33

環流這麼小也許氣壓會比想的還高一點

By Steve
at 2021-09-09T17:38

但是小環流搭配針眼會有恐怖的氣壓梯度

By Suhail Hany
at 2021-09-14T07:43

會有強風嗎？

By Margaret
at 2021-09-18T21:48

浣熊要RI了！！！

By Franklin
at 2021-09-23T11:53

980中颱朝聖

By Rae
at 2021-09-28T01:57

真屌 980中颱被我們見證了

By Thomas
at 2021-10-02T16:02

980中颱！

By Faithe
at 2021-10-07T06:07

所以氣壓也不是絕對的?

By Jake
at 2021-10-11T20:12

約十年前大西洋出一個比崔西更小的氣旋

By Linda
at 2021-10-16T10:17

小浣熊比起那些超小氣旋還是大得多

By Candice
at 2021-10-21T00:22

Marco

By Gilbert
at 2021-10-25T14:26

出眼了

By Delia
at 2021-10-30T04:31

去年大西洋的02L Beryl就超小了

By Steve
at 2021-11-03T18:36

可惜NHC沒有實測

By Zenobia
at 2021-11-08T08:41

氣象局風圈標準不一！根本都亂給

By Puput
at 2021-11-12T22:46

不會來的氣象局風圈標準比鬆，會輕易地「大一號」

By Necoo
at 2021-11-17T12:51

請問以目前大氣和海溫條件，浣熊能活著爬到日本嗎
？

By Iris
at 2021-11-22T02:55

不能，但就算變性了日本的風雨也不會小

By Jacky
at 2021-11-26T17:00

日本今年...

By Hedy
at 2021-12-01T07:05

請問大阪影響的到嗎...... 非常擔心

By Eden
at 2021-12-05T21:10

會變性成溫帶氣旋影響約莫半天，一樣會有風雨，但

By Charlotte
at 2021-12-10T11:15

時間點為何請隨時更新jma的動態

By Caroline
at 2021-12-15T01:20

板上對溫帶氣旋理解的人並不算多

By Brianna
at 2021-12-19T15:24

轉化後影響時間並不長

By Kumar
at 2021-12-24T05:29

看來又要往東京了今年怎麼一堆東京或...

By Megan
at 2021-12-28T19:34

*東京貨

By Elizabeth
at 2022-01-02T09:39

現在看真的有中度颱風嗎感覺快消散了

By Christine
at 2022-01-06T23:44

菲律賓正東方那是浣熊留下來的衣服嗎?

By Kelly
at 2022-01-11T13:49

https://imgur.com/UiqgiZI

By Hedda
at 2022-01-16T03:53

不是那是東風波列裡的不成材低壓

By Barb Cronin
at 2022-01-20T17:58

可以叫丹姐來搶衣服

By Rae
at 2022-01-25T08:03

丹姐XD

By Mia
at 2022-01-29T22:08

丹姐：位置好像差不多，該搶一波惹

By Belly
at 2022-02-03T12:13

轉化中的颱風用德法型態看強度不太精確

By Lucy
at 2022-02-08T02:18

JMA判定轉化，豪雨正影響日本

201920 Neoguri（浣熊）誕生 - 颱風討論

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