201920 Neoguri(浣熊)誕生 - 颱風討論

Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2019-10-18T03:28

Table of Contents

WTPQ20 RJTD 171800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1920 NEOGURI (1920) UPGRADED FROM TD

ANALYSIS
PSTN 171800UTC 19.7N 129.5E FAIR
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM



FORECAST

24HF 181800UTC 20.1N 127.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT

48HF 191800UTC 20.7N 126.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT

72HF 201800UTC 21.4N 125.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

--
◥◣◥◣ 歡迎搭乘西北太平洋第六世代環狀線捷運系統!         》》》
◢◤◢◤ Welcome to take Generation Ⅵ Circular Line of W.Pacific Metro!

本側開門  哈吉貝 → 浣熊  → 博羅依
——○—————●—————○——→
Exit side Hagibis 1;31;5mNeoguri Bualoi

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2019-10-22T17:33
天啊浣熊竟然被雜魚搶走了XD
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2019-10-27T07:38
對了,下一個是新名稱,原意是椰奶圓仔湯
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2019-10-31T21:43
小浣熊我der
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2019-11-05T11:48
報轉向囉 https://i.imgur.com/fSnDrFj.gif
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2019-11-10T01:52
才差一報 路徑差真多
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2019-11-14T15:57
博羅依的前身是?
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2019-11-19T06:02
雷馬遜 上一世把海南島打爆而畢業
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2019-11-23T20:07
這誤差圈還真的不是普通大
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2019-11-28T10:12
底層有眼耶 果然小系統數值都會報弱
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2019-12-03T00:17
機構和數值真慘 連短期路徑都抓不準 有抓到浣熊過
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2019-12-07T14:21
去半天以來都移速慢到接近滯留嗎
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2019-12-12T04:26
例如CWB 18Z預測下午會走到19.8N 128.3E
現在還卡在129.5E 幾乎不太想動
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2019-12-16T18:31
難怪原本的轉西南西撞菲律賓派的預測幾乎快全投降了
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2019-12-21T08:36
現在變成轉向派佔上風了 移速完全抓不準
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2019-12-25T22:41
想請問如果是這樣轉向的話 還會有類共伴的降雨嗎?
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2019-12-30T12:46
東邊北上 頂多加強冷空氣南下程度
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2020-01-04T02:50
會那個嗎
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2020-01-08T16:55
這隻範圍不大還會加強冷空氣嗎
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2020-01-13T07:00
上一代浣熊記得很強
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2020-01-17T21:05
這是又要去日本嗎
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2020-01-22T11:10
可能短命颱風,前面環境太差了,共伴條件也不足
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2020-01-27T01:15
因為前方會碰上冷空氣很快會GG,但多少會有水氣被送
進來
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2020-01-31T15:19
https://i.imgur.com/S0zms7m.gif
JTWC繼續稍微上調強度及強度預測
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2020-02-05T05:24
應該不會貓起來吧
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2020-02-09T19:29
依這個路徑搞不好連季風輻合降雨都減少不少
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2020-02-14T09:34
拜託不要去日本
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2020-02-18T23:39
泡麵颱風
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2020-02-23T13:44
小浣熊會乾掉,下隻泰式圓仔湯好像比較有戲.
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2020-02-28T03:48
https://i.imgur.com/MvERDNB.png
JMA最新一報 壽命延長
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2020-03-03T17:53
EC和GFS對遠洋擾動的發展一直沒有共識
一下認為會發展一下認為不會,每報都在變動
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2020-03-08T07:58
原因很簡單:
James avatar
By James
at 2020-03-12T22:03
https://imgur.com/FCyeVkJ.jpg
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2020-03-17T12:08
未來10天內南海到菲東一帶都乾巴巴的 要生出來真的
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2020-03-22T02:13
不容易 連遠洋換日線以西都偏乾...
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2020-03-26T16:17
然後更驚悚 希望不要成真的預測來了
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2020-04-04T20:27
阻塞脊 阻塞高壓全都攻陷到極區內 把極渦全擠向北歐
東歐去...海冰繼續QQ了...
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2020-04-09T10:32
西太乾巴巴 可能跟印度洋東西耦極態相關
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2020-04-14T00:37
赤道印度洋東偏冷西偏暖 類似反聖嬰配置
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2020-04-18T14:42
海洋大陸偏乾下沉西印度洋偏溼赤道印度洋為東風距平
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2020-04-23T04:46
赤道西太為西風距平 不僅導致過去季內振盪在相位8-1
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2020-04-27T18:51
停留 連暖池暖水團都推出去 中太平洋聖嬰有死灰復燃
的可能
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2020-05-02T08:56
尼瑪,現在北極漩渦感覺快被打死了
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2020-05-06T23:01
浣熊的高空輻散還真是優秀,迷你的CDO真的是小巧可
愛...
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2020-05-11T13:06
東太也有一隻雜魚Octave,而且也小巧可愛
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2020-05-16T03:11
https://i.imgur.com/mt4qEQI.gif
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2020-05-20T17:15
最近兩天發展的都一直比數值預測的還要快
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2020-05-25T07:20
也且速度也一直比預期慢 數值和機構真的慘
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2020-05-29T21:25
連極短期走勢和強度也抓不太準
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2020-06-03T11:30
這週也不如想像中濕涼 雨不多
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2020-06-08T01:35
https://i.imgur.com/Ip2WRpj.png
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2020-06-12T15:40
JMA上望25M/S 不知道有無機會老J評級貓1貓起來
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2020-06-17T05:44
北極渦漩今年也太爛
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2020-06-21T19:49
浣熊小顆歸小顆 至少還看得出是颱風 哪像某幽靈超
XDDDDD
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2020-06-26T09:54
想起了以前有隻東部外海的小渦旋,好像是背風低壓生
成的
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2020-06-30T23:59
查到了,是2016年8月的94W
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2020-07-05T14:04
https://imgur.com/EV0Qpgy
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2020-07-10T04:09
那天莫名其妙被吵醒 陽台的植物東倒西歪
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2020-07-14T18:13
背風低壓撿到衣服發展 記得花蓮浮標有平均風六級
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2020-07-19T08:18
還有眼睛呢
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2020-07-23T22:23
台北晚上雨反而大起來了 cwb報多雲到晴耶
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2020-07-28T12:28
阿拉伊桑
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2020-08-02T02:33
阿萊伊桑XD
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2020-08-06T16:38
EC: 10/25~10/27東北風再度增強
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2020-08-11T06:42
JMA最新一報 上望28M/S
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2020-08-15T20:47
JTWC則上望60KTS 快要貓起來了
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2020-08-20T10:52
氣象局昨天降雨機率都有20%以上.....
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2020-08-25T00:57
好像有點加強北風
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2020-08-29T15:02
JMA CI3.5 六小時[email protected]@
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2020-09-03T05:07
遠洋的餅也快形成了
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2020-09-07T19:11
97W→22W
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2020-09-12T09:16
早上一看新聞說雷馬遜快形成 傻眼XD
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2020-09-16T23:21
https://i.imgur.com/ZPVzdCk.jpg
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2020-09-21T13:26
小J發GW了
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2020-09-26T03:31
跌破眼鏡啦,JMA升STS還上看60節,搞不好下午就TY
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2020-09-30T17:36
Google「21號 雷馬遜」笑死人了
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2020-10-05T07:40
不是博羅依嗎?
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2020-10-09T21:45
記者可能就自己Google找到舊的命名表,殊不知已經換
過名字了XDDDD
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2020-10-14T11:50
現在都拿一條路徑來報就對了
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2020-10-19T01:55
21W最剛開始可是連成颱都沒人看好
就這樣默默地增強
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2020-10-23T16:00
老J給55KTS了 看看這隻有無機會貓起來
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2020-10-28T06:05
雷馬遜XDDDDDDDDDDD
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2020-11-01T20:09
而且還抄來抄去,一大票媒體一起傻了
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2020-11-06T10:14
https://i.imgur.com/FRhvh2c.png
有旗子了啦
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2020-11-11T00:19
這暴風半徑大概只有50km吧XD
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2020-11-15T14:24
這隻還有增強空間 要是最後跑出高層眼來就大驚奇了
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2020-11-20T04:29
要變小鋼炮了嗎
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2020-11-24T18:34
不過即使到現在 還是有少部分數值預測後期轉西南
最後消散在海上
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2020-11-29T08:38
小巧玲瓏颱
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2020-12-03T22:43
不過今天到目前為止似乎速度比預期偏快還略偏西一些
看看有無機會摸到125E線
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2020-12-08T12:48
https://i.imgur.com/x6trn9L.gif
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2020-12-13T02:53
看起來下週的歐洲有機會一夜入冬XD
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2020-12-17T16:58
下星期日本會受影響嗎?要去日本說~
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2020-12-22T07:03
21W cat.1
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2020-12-26T21:07
老J: 浣熊貓了!
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2021-01-05T01:17
台北下雨,昨天預報20%,感覺最近降雨機率很不準XD
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2021-01-09T15:22
迷你鋼砲XD
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2021-01-14T05:27
貓起來了
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2021-01-18T19:32
貓起來
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2021-01-23T09:36
台灣:你過不來!你過不來!
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2021-01-27T23:41
豆型貓,浣熊
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2021-02-01T13:46
台灣附近現在才真的是有環境力場,只可惜夏天喊來
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2021-02-06T03:51
喊去的力場派現在都沒出現了
George avatar
By George
at 2021-02-10T17:56
澎湖今天時陰時晴的
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2021-02-15T08:01
https://imgur.com/kvCMxkA
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2021-02-19T22:05
暴風半徑只有100公里的貓1,超迷你
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2021-02-24T12:10
這半徑給50km可能都太大了XD
這是Tracy那種的超級迷你風暴
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2021-03-01T02:15
竟然貓起來了,但這也太小一顆XD
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2021-03-05T16:20
老J上望75KTS 有機會貓2貓起來嗎
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2021-03-10T06:25
https://i.imgur.com/tR386su.gif
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2021-03-14T20:30
秋颱再怎樣迷你,靠高空輻散還是打趴一篇大範圍不
成材的夏季季風低壓
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2021-03-19T10:34
希望可以開個高層眼
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2021-03-24T00:39
之前一直說很快就會掛掉的短命颱,現在長成貓1
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2021-04-02T04:49
而且JTWC給的的氣壓居然有988百帕,搞不好是氣壓值
最高的貓1
John avatar
By John
at 2021-04-06T18:54
http://i.imgur.com/lh1Q25h.jpg
JTWC是用KZC公式推的氣壓吧
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2021-04-11T08:59
西太目前的狀況很乾,機構當然不看好,能貓起來已
經跌破眼鏡了
James avatar
By James
at 2021-04-15T23:03
所以應該是因為他的環境氣壓有1016百帕吧
John avatar
By John
at 2021-04-20T13:08
請問10/21在大阪 會影響到嗎......
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2021-04-25T03:13
會,但可能以溫帶氣旋的形式影響
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2021-04-29T17:18
我1021-1025大阪 @@
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2021-05-04T07:23
看JTWC的預報,應該只有22日影響半天,而且程度不大
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2021-05-08T21:28
小浣熊快開眼了
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2021-05-13T11:32
現在都大轉彎就對了啦!滾
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2021-05-18T01:37
http://i.imgur.com/IuFy80M.jpg
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2021-05-22T15:42
小系統意外多多
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2021-05-27T05:47
https://i.imgur.com/F71bVC7.gif
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2021-05-31T19:52
T值4.5了
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2021-06-05T09:57
JMA 12Z給33M/S 980hPa
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2021-06-10T00:01
JTWC 12Z給到75KTS
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2021-06-14T14:06
http://i.imgur.com/06skjKq.jpg
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2021-06-19T04:11
令人驚奇的小浣熊....
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2021-06-23T18:16
沒想到今年風季尾聲還能看到這麼有趣的颱風XD
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2021-06-28T08:21
小可愛力爭上游 感動
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2021-07-02T22:26
預報TD實際TY
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2021-07-07T12:30
西太的10月還不是尾聲
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2021-07-12T02:35
氣象局也升中颱了
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2021-07-16T16:40
天鵝逆轉秀再現?
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2021-07-21T06:45
第一次看到中颱的氣壓只有980hpa
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2021-07-25T20:50
七級風暴風半徑也只有120公里 好小...
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2021-07-30T10:55
中颱980..... 0.0...... 開眼界了
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2021-08-04T00:59
這隻真的比某些超颱的風眼還小隻
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2021-08-08T15:04
CWB給到120km 真大方 ww
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2021-08-13T05:09
所以浣熊颱風的發展史其實是個勵志的故事
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2021-08-17T19:14
愈是被看不起 愈要力爭上游
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2021-08-22T09:19
背景氣壓值高達1015hpa,才有980hpa中颱,以往夏天
是背景1000hpa,才出現大家熟悉的970hpa中颱
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2021-08-26T23:24
快開眼了哇!
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2021-08-31T13:28
眼清空到ow惹 太神啦
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2021-09-05T03:33
環流這麼小 也許氣壓會比想的還高一點
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2021-09-09T17:38
但是小環流搭配針眼 會有恐怖的氣壓梯度
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2021-09-14T07:43
會有強風嗎?
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2021-09-18T21:48
浣熊要RI了!!!
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2021-09-23T11:53
980中颱朝聖
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2021-09-28T01:57
真屌 980中颱被我們見證了
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2021-10-02T16:02
980中颱!
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2021-10-07T06:07
所以氣壓也不是絕對的?
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2021-10-11T20:12
約十年前大西洋出一個比崔西更小的氣旋
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2021-10-16T10:17
小浣熊比起那些超小氣旋還是大得多
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2021-10-21T00:22
Marco
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2021-10-25T14:26
出眼了
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2021-10-30T04:31
去年大西洋的02L Beryl就超小了
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2021-11-03T18:36
可惜NHC沒有實測
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2021-11-08T08:41
氣象局風圈標準不一! 根本都亂給
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2021-11-12T22:46
不會來的氣象局風圈標準比鬆,會輕易地「大一號」
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2021-11-17T12:51
請問以目前大氣和海溫條件,浣熊能活著爬到日本嗎
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2021-11-22T02:55
不能,但就算變性了日本的風雨也不會小
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2021-11-26T17:00
日本今年...
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2021-12-01T07:05
請問大阪影響的到嗎...... 非常擔心
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2021-12-05T21:10
會變性成溫帶氣旋影響約莫半天,一樣會有風雨,但
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2021-12-10T11:15
時間點為何請隨時更新jma的動態
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2021-12-15T01:20
板上對溫帶氣旋理解的人並不算多
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2021-12-19T15:24
轉化後影響時間並不長
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2021-12-24T05:29
看來又要往東京了 今年怎麼一堆東京或...
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2021-12-28T19:34
*東京貨
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-01-02T09:39
現在看真的有中度颱風嗎 感覺快消散了
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-01-06T23:44
菲律賓正東方那是浣熊留下來的衣服嗎?
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2022-01-11T13:49
https://imgur.com/UiqgiZI
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-01-16T03:53
不是 那是東風波列裡的不成材低壓
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-01-20T17:58
可以叫丹姐來搶衣服
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2022-01-25T08:03
丹姐XD
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-01-29T22:08
丹姐:位置好像差不多,該搶一波惹
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-02-03T12:13
轉化中的颱風用德法型態看強度不太精確
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-02-08T02:18
JMA判定轉化,豪雨正影響日本

CWB官網25年演化史

Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2019-10-16T15:11
CWB官網上線25周年,來回顧一下各時期的界面—— 【V1】http://www.cwb.gov.tw/index.html(1994年上線) 基本上就只是單調的文字和圖片界面而已, 設計者似乎很喜歡文字藝術師: https://i.imgur.com/sYiJY1o.png -- 【V2】htt ...

補談:南亞高壓

David avatar
By David
at 2019-10-16T11:42
模式預報,南亞高壓併入太平洋高壓系統, 天氣越來越涼了,在入冬之前,簡單補談一下南亞高壓。 一、首先, 西風帶系統=andgt;斜壓系統 太平洋高壓=andgt;正壓系統 那,南亞高壓很特別! 夏季的南亞高壓=andgt;偏斜壓系統 冬季的南亞高壓=andgt;偏正壓系統 雖然很怪,但很好理解(其實 ...

舊版中央氣象局網頁於10月25日終止服務

Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2019-10-14T14:45
感謝您長期以來對本局官網的愛護與支持,「舊(V7)版中央氣象局全球資訊網」即將於 108年10月25日(五)終止服務,後續請您使用108年5月1日即正式上線服務之「新(V8)版中 央氣象局響應式全球資訊網」。 -- 真的要關了 - ...

台灣日雨量紀錄(含自動測站)

Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2019-10-13T14:58
1 尾寮山 1402.0mm 2009/8/8 莫拉克颱風 2 溪南 1301.5mm 2009/8/8 莫拉克颱風 3 御油山 1281.0mm 2009/8/8 莫拉克颱風 4 布洛灣 1222.5mm 1997/8/29 安珀颱風 5 馬頭山 120 ...

台灣24小時累積降雨量紀錄(含自動測站)

Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2019-10-13T14:36
感謝kbty245提供的資料,以下為24小時含自動測站的降雨紀錄 1 阿里山 1748.5mm 1996/7/31 賀伯颱風 2 阿里山 1623.5mm 2009/8/8 莫拉克颱風 3 石磐龍 1583.5mm 2009/8/8 莫拉克颱風 4 奮起湖 1572.5m ...