201921 Bualoi(博羅依)誕生 - 颱風討論

Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2019-10-19T21:26

Table of Contents

WTPQ21 RJTD 191200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1921 BUALOI (1921) UPGRADED FROM TD



ANALYSIS
PSTN 191200UTC 10.7N 153.9E FAIR
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 80NM



FORECAST

24HF 201200UTC 12.5N 150.0E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT

48HF 211200UTC 15.1N 147.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT

72HF 221200UTC 18.1N 144.0E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =

--
◥◣◥◣ 歡迎搭乘西北太平洋第六世代環狀線捷運系統!         》》》
◢◤◢◤ Welcome to take Generation Ⅵ Circular Line of W.Pacific Metro!

本側開門  哈吉貝 → 浣熊  → 博羅依 → 麥德姆
——○—————●—————●—————○——→
Exit side Hagibis → Neoguri Bualoi → Matmo

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2019-10-24T04:00
新生報到了
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2019-10-28T10:34
西北太平洋終於戳出一碗圓仔湯了
(博羅依就是泰國知名的椰奶湯圓)
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2019-11-01T17:08
這隻來繳學費的機率很高...6年後見?!
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2019-11-05T23:42
媒體講整天的雷馬遜去哪了
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2019-11-10T06:17
https://i.imgur.com/u5iLQCZ.jpg
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2019-11-14T12:51
http://i.imgur.com/tZ9pap2.jpg
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2019-11-18T19:25
新生進來不曉得會不會挑戰貓5...
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2019-11-23T01:59
咦!浣熊有機會喝到圓仔湯嗎?
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2019-11-27T08:33
21W 老J上望85KTS
貓2貓起來 https://i.imgur.com/myi2sGu.gif
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2019-12-01T15:07
媒體再不求證啊www
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2019-12-05T21:41
這隻沒MH就算不及格
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2019-12-10T04:15
http://i.imgur.com/eHljvm5.jpg
B+OW啦啦啦啦
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2019-12-14T10:50
http://i.imgur.com/KPLzJg0.jpg
JTWC:我的臉怎麼腫腫的?
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2019-12-18T17:24
再次正中東京?
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2019-12-22T23:58
http://i.imgur.com/JUfHwHN.jpg
這風場太誇張了…
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2019-12-27T06:32
烈風圈50km左右吧XD
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2019-12-31T13:06
好可愛喔XD
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2020-01-04T19:40
迷你
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2020-01-09T02:14
https://i.imgur.com/MoejHFd.jpg
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2020-01-13T08:49
數值和機構強度預測完全失準
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2020-01-17T15:23
小小的針眼
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2020-01-21T21:57
今年擾動一離開菲東,發展的就很好
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2020-01-26T04:31
會不會散架啊? 這個
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2020-01-30T11:05
小鋼炮
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2020-02-03T17:39
布羅利!!!
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2020-02-08T00:13
這個月的東風波搓了不少小湯圓
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2020-02-12T06:47
CWB浣熊970hPa了
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2020-02-16T13:22
18Z JMA 38M/S JTWC 95KTS
聽說當初連成颱都沒人看好
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2020-02-20T19:56
日本現在是不是又在共伴了?
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2020-02-25T02:30
又一個勵志颱代表
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2020-02-29T09:04
樓上貼的一堆都是浣熊
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2020-03-04T15:38
博羅依完全被邊緣
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2020-03-08T22:12
JTWC: 博羅依 Cat.1
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2020-03-13T04:46
https://i.imgur.com/pi0lsx7.gif
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2020-03-17T11:21
要不是副高太廢,不然稍微偏西一點角度就有挑戰風
王的機會
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2020-03-21T17:55
今年副高真的是廢到笑XD
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2020-03-26T00:29
唯一硬的那次大概就8月中那段而已
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2020-03-30T07:03
https://i.imgur.com/jpGdMW7.png
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2020-04-03T13:37
博羅依那是雲洞吧?
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2020-04-12T02:45
http://i.imgur.com/zW03FY1.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/rkkgRkg.jpg
應該是眼喔
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2020-04-16T09:19
這路徑跟哈吉貝一樣走天寧島和塞班島以北 大概沒有
實測了
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2020-04-20T15:54
http://i.imgur.com/NLOGP0s.jpg
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2020-04-24T22:28
一張圖看出今年副高有多廢
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2020-04-29T05:02
我很好奇菲律賓這兩年是否有乾旱過...連對流都偏少
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2020-05-03T11:36
菲律賓今年開立場了嗎?
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2020-05-07T18:10
小笠原島有氣象站嗎?
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2020-05-12T00:44
廢高壓 真的
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2020-05-16T07:18
幅散超好的,難怪增強速度不慢。
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2020-05-20T13:53
小笠原沒有氣象站
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2020-05-24T20:27
菲律賓0颱掃過才真的叫逆天,不可思議
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2020-05-29T03:01
小笠原群島的父島有觀測氣壓風速等資料,不過性質
和其他日本有人氣象站不同(不負責預報和發佈警報
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2020-06-02T09:35
的研究單位)
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2020-06-06T16:09
菲律賓歷史上從未有0颱登陸過
最少都有三個(1985 1955 1950)
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2020-06-10T22:43
開眼了
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2020-06-15T05:17
https://i.imgur.com/oHlWMIV.jpg 日本最近是不是
要去祭改一下了 太衰了吧
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2020-06-19T11:51
原本說要去菲律賓減弱成低壓的 反而活得好好的
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2020-06-23T18:26
博洛依要準備踏上RI之路了
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2020-06-26T23:31
http://i.imgur.com/Ft54UK4.jpg
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2020-07-01T06:05
西側的針裝雲颱母猛烈的爆發,是西側高層流出好轉的
跡象
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2020-07-05T12:40
其實今年菲律賓已經在鬧乾旱了
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2020-07-09T19:14
菲律賓到十一二月都是颱風的影響熱區 還兩個月 足夠
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2020-07-14T01:48
讓平西王颱風誕生了吧
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2020-07-22T14:56
http://i.imgur.com/981l1Tu.jpg
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2020-07-26T21:30
今年還是有颱風登陸菲律賓 所以不會是0颱風
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2020-07-31T04:04
博羅依到日本不知道會不會影響成田的起降
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2020-08-04T10:39
935hPa 預報最強
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2020-08-07T15:44
現在這個型態很大西洋XD
環境偏乾
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2020-08-11T22:18
風眼已清空到大面積WMG
https://i.imgur.com/2dX34sQ.jpg
William avatar
By William
at 2020-08-16T04:53
西太真的太乾了 對流都長不好 就算清了WMG眼依然只
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2020-08-20T11:27
有LG...
LG環...
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2020-08-24T18:01
關島附近的對流層頂很低 -70蚓左右就到頂了
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2020-08-29T00:35
真的就是大西洋偷跑過來的TC
現在就看能不能偏西一點中塞班島了
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2020-09-01T05:41
MJO在沒有回歸西太之前生成的颱風就只能是這樣子
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2020-09-05T12:15
http://i.imgur.com/b4JOSeD.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/9nCVx79.jpg
AMSU壞了XD
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2020-09-09T07:57
看起來好像大西洋的颶風喔
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2020-09-13T14:32
颱風東北側剛好有個TUTT
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2020-09-17T21:06
使得極向流出非常猛烈
跟Dorian那時有點類似
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2020-09-22T03:40
只是西太太乾了 對流雲頂溫度有點慘
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2020-09-26T10:14
JTWC最新分析T5.5,JMA稍早已先給對應5.0的80節
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2020-09-30T16:48
現在用德法應該會有低估
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2020-10-04T23:22
其實現在的型態長得蠻像先前大西洋的Lorenzo
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2020-10-09T05:56
副高太廢了,要讓天寧島和塞班島中很有難度
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2020-10-13T12:30
JMA本報CI5.0,較可能維持強度
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2020-10-17T19:05
今年首波的東北季風可能延至11月才南下...
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2020-10-22T01:39
月底前還是有機會東北季風達標,再觀察囉
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2020-10-26T08:13
今年居然東北西南季風根本不碰頭
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2020-10-30T14:47
颱風正逼近安納塔漢島,不過這島名聽起來好耳熟
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2020-11-03T21:21
JTWC: 博羅依 Cat.4
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2020-11-08T03:55
現在把前方那隻不成材低壓甩到南邊去 做個好人吧
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2020-11-12T10:29
西太太乾了 不成材的低壓要變成博羅依的祭品 修補一
下B環和W環
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2020-11-16T17:04
那個島半個月前才被哈吉貝侵襲過啊XD
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2020-11-20T23:38
關島的雷達有掃到雙眼的跡象,現在應該在眼牆換置了
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2020-11-25T06:12
http://i.imgur.com/szHvOmW.jpg
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2020-11-29T12:46
安納塔漢島在塞班北邊120K 應該無人島
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2020-12-03T19:20
http://i.imgur.com/CbqzdZx.jpg
新的一隻Cat.5或許正在誕生了
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2020-12-08T01:54
湯圓不是才剛換眼嗎?
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2020-12-12T08:28
http://i.imgur.com/tGqwvtt.jpg
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2020-12-16T15:02
流出猛烈 所以換置很快就完成
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2020-12-20T21:37
Unbelievable! 很久沒看到這麼快的換完眼的
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2020-12-25T04:11
https://i.imgur.com/DXTQQ6v.jpg
George avatar
By George
at 2020-12-29T10:45
http://i.imgur.com/4tXdlOU.jpg
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2021-01-02T17:19
待會可能CMG都要成環了
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2021-01-06T23:53
長的真標誌 好看~
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2021-01-11T06:27
在今天深夜之前都還有機會增強
之後就要踩哈吉貝留下的冷水坑了…
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2021-01-15T13:01
那個冷水坑可能要走正北才有可能閃過
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-01-19T19:36
那座島以前還爆發阿納塔漢女王事件
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2021-01-24T02:10
JMA給了很高的MET6.5但其他都6.0
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2021-02-01T15:18
眼牆很兇
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2021-02-05T21:52
JTWC分析6.5??????
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2021-02-10T04:26
太扯了吧
昨天下午就分析5.0了
結果今天的這報因為MET限制只給6.5?????
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2021-02-14T11:00
又是一個被低能MET限制的慘案
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2021-02-18T17:34
W+WMG都有7.0了,結果MET限制給6.5,黑人問號...
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2021-02-23T00:09
這真的太可笑了
現在的型態相較早上8點是明顯的大幅增強
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2021-02-27T06:43
結果因為MET限制
風速最多就是從115kts加到130kts
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2021-03-03T13:17
JTWC:120kts
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2021-03-07T19:51
http://i.imgur.com/ShGmAlK.jpg
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2021-03-12T02:25
嚴重懷疑大概有參考SATCON所以才給這麼低,因為目
前SATCON只給122knots
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2021-03-16T08:59
AMSU則更慘,要不然好歹也要有140kts,這型態比哈
吉貝的二顛還要好耶...
話說眼溫快衝破20度了
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2021-03-20T15:33
AMSU時靈時不靈,汗
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2021-03-24T22:08
AMSU還停留在早上,現在SATCON參考性根本不高
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2021-03-29T04:42
http://i.imgur.com/tKjlP0E.jpg
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2021-04-02T11:16
勁水....21號颱風
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2021-04-06T17:50
JTWC:125kts
垃圾分析
John avatar
By John
at 2021-04-11T00:24
一個好好的C5被搞成連STY都沒有
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2021-04-15T06:58
好低= =
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2021-04-19T13:32
該不會又是那位專門給低分的在值班?
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2021-04-23T20:06
不是
這次是真的不知道在搞什麼
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2021-04-28T02:41
印象中Richardson或是另一個S開頭值班給的比較低,
正妹空軍值班的給的比較公道
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2021-05-02T09:15
CWB升強颱
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2021-05-06T15:49
CWB下午兩點那報就升強颱了
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2021-05-10T22:23
Bermea和Veerkamp都是目前已知的正妹空軍
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2021-05-15T04:57
Stigsson是已經娶妻、加入夏威夷唱詩班的一等兵
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2021-05-19T11:31
樓上怎麼這麼懂!!
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2021-05-23T18:05
會不會是因為報文屬名改姓氏?
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2021-05-28T00:40
德法分析署名都是姓氏,搭配年鑑加Hawaii就可能查到
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2021-06-01T07:14
男的預報員年紀也普遍很輕嗎?
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2021-06-05T13:48
士官士兵普遍比較年輕,但也有比較資深的分析員
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2021-06-09T20:22
Richardson是男性空軍三等士官長
Una avatar
By Una
at 2021-06-14T02:56
水哦,MJO濕區將於11月起重返海洋大陸,菲東到南海
要嗨起來了,GFS模式激情四射,大餅一個一個畫不完
XDD
James avatar
By James
at 2021-06-18T09:30
天佑小笠原群島
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2021-06-22T16:04
剛好正中小笠原群島中唯二的有人島
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2021-06-26T22:38
父島已有16級陣風
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2021-07-01T05:13
父島今天的風雨 https://youtu.be/OmCnAwsMZiM

201920 Neoguri(浣熊)誕生

Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2019-10-18T03:28
WTPQ20 RJTD 171800 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 1920 NEOGURI (1920) UPGRADED FROM TD ANALYSIS PSTN 171800UTC 19.7N 129.5E FAIR MOVE NW SLOWLY ...

CWB官網25年演化史

Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2019-10-16T15:11
CWB官網上線25周年,來回顧一下各時期的界面—— 【V1】http://www.cwb.gov.tw/index.html(1994年上線) 基本上就只是單調的文字和圖片界面而已, 設計者似乎很喜歡文字藝術師: https://i.imgur.com/sYiJY1o.png -- 【V2】htt ...

補談:南亞高壓

David avatar
By David
at 2019-10-16T11:42
模式預報,南亞高壓併入太平洋高壓系統, 天氣越來越涼了,在入冬之前,簡單補談一下南亞高壓。 一、首先, 西風帶系統=andgt;斜壓系統 太平洋高壓=andgt;正壓系統 那,南亞高壓很特別! 夏季的南亞高壓=andgt;偏斜壓系統 冬季的南亞高壓=andgt;偏正壓系統 雖然很怪,但很好理解(其實 ...

天氣小觀:過去一夜雨忽落,未來一週秋漸濃

Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2019-10-15T12:36
天氣小觀:過去一夜雨忽落,未來一週秋漸濃 北方秋天吹北風以後,就是一場秋雨一場寒, 南方秋天吹北風以後,就是太平洋高壓減弱。 未來一週正是如此,太平洋高壓減弱, 哈吉貝颱風北上後, 以環流風場遇上冷空氣,在日本降下超大豪雨, 由於哈吉貝是突破太平洋高壓脊北上, 這和北上的秋颱共伴的情況:西風槽and#34 ...

舊版中央氣象局網頁於10月25日終止服務

Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2019-10-14T14:45
感謝您長期以來對本局官網的愛護與支持,「舊(V7)版中央氣象局全球資訊網」即將於 108年10月25日(五)終止服務,後續請您使用108年5月1日即正式上線服務之「新(V8)版中 央氣象局響應式全球資訊網」。 -- 真的要關了 - ...