202004 Hagupit（哈格比）誕生 - 颱風討論

By Olga
at 2020-08-01T21:18

Table of Contents

WTPQ21 RJTD 011200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2004 HAGUPIT (2004) UPGRADED FROM TD

ANALYSIS
PSTN 011200UTC 21.3N 127.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST

FORECAST
24HF 021200UTC 23.8N 124.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT

48HF 031200UTC 27.3N 122.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT

72HF 041200UTC 33.0N 120.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

--
◥◣◥◣ 歡迎搭乘西北太平洋第六世代環狀線捷運系統！　　　　　　　　　》》》◤
◢◤◢◤ Welcome to take Generation Ⅵ Circular Line of W.Pacific Metro! ◤

本側開門　　鸚鵡 → 辛樂克　 → 哈格比　 →　薔蜜　
← ▍ ︽ ▍→ ——○—————●—————●—————○——→
Exit side Nuri → Sinlaku　→ Hagupit → Jangmi　

--

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

By Selena
at 2020-08-03T14:56

不曉得會不會發海警

By Hedda
at 2020-08-05T08:35

看樣子挺有機會的...

By Queena
at 2020-08-07T02:13

JMA認為可以脫水真是看好阿

By Necoo
at 2020-08-08T19:52

CWB應該很快會跟著報吧

By Hardy
at 2020-08-10T13:31

哈哈七月無颱八月一日一日雙颱

By Necoo
at 2020-08-12T07:09

第4號颱風

By Puput
at 2020-08-14T00:48

https://i.imgur.com/5bBsNNt.png

By Eartha
at 2020-08-15T18:26

來了！！

By Olivia
at 2020-08-17T12:05

越報越北的感覺

By Olga
at 2020-08-19T05:44

無感

By Lydia
at 2020-08-20T23:22

海警邊緣

By Lydia
at 2020-08-22T17:01

應該會海警吧讓大家避免到海邊玩

By James
at 2020-08-24T10:39

北部帶點雨消消暑，南部也能補不少水，很棒的走法

By Jessica
at 2020-08-26T04:18

至少凹個海警吧 QQ

By Jessica
at 2020-08-27T21:57

看JMA強度預測看來中颱小鋼炮的可能性是有的

By Dinah
at 2020-08-29T15:35

海警機會不小啦，增強後，應該會比這預估偏西一點

By Todd Johnson
at 2020-08-31T09:14

雖然報更增強但沒西修反而往東往北修

By Iris
at 2020-09-02T02:52

各種不來就算了反而各種鬧下沉鬧焚風過山風還有媒
體跟風恐恐恐

By Daph Bay
at 2020-09-03T20:31

今天CMA連兩次搶先放名字

By Damian
at 2020-09-05T14:10

騙感情的

By Joe
at 2020-09-07T07:48

7月累積雨量:里佳測站 482mm,馬頭山 186mm,表湖 244

By Faithe
at 2020-09-09T01:27

mm...慘!

By Sandy
at 2020-09-10T19:05

CWB第一報出來了 CWB這路徑應該打算發海警了

By Rebecca
at 2020-09-12T12:44

CWB預測8/3 早上八點應該距台灣陸地約140KM 當時風
圈給100KM 所以在海警範圍內反推回去

By Emma
at 2020-09-14T06:23

雖然CWB首報風圈只給80km,但是路徑沒那麼北
以畫風來看，海警應是會發了XD

By Kelly
at 2020-09-16T00:01

如果CWB路徑沒太大變化應該明早8點半(或更早一點)
就應該要發海警了

By Ida
at 2020-09-17T17:40

<- <- <- 決戰西表島囉
海警感覺沒啥問題

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2020-09-19T11:18

明早發海警的時間，看那時間駛流場也比較能看看會多
靠近

By Tracy
at 2020-09-21T04:57

想問一下以後亞太地區會有像北美地區NAM 5KM高解析
預測嗎？

By Mary
at 2020-09-22T22:36

西起來了嗎

By Megan
at 2020-09-24T16:14

西軍站出來雖然我是南軍的

By Suhail Hany
at 2020-09-26T09:53

北大路才是王道(?

By Mason
at 2020-09-28T03:31

南軍XD

By Bethany
at 2020-09-29T21:10

東軍哩?快出來啊~

By Carolina Franco
at 2020-10-01T14:49

除了南海颱風，不然沒啥東軍的

By Victoria
at 2020-10-03T08:27

By Frederic
at 2020-10-05T02:06

離太遠吃下沉我會受不了QQ

By Edith
at 2020-10-06T19:44

！

By Lauren
at 2020-10-08T13:23

東西南北北東北

By Margaret
at 2020-10-10T07:02

不過我還是喜歡西一點

By Suhail Hany
at 2020-10-12T00:40

水氣被吸光囧如果不能從隔壁搶點水過來就發展
不了了

By Kristin
at 2020-10-13T18:19

水氣都被大水貨吸光了

By Andrew
at 2020-10-15T11:57

一桿進洞？

By Hedy
at 2020-10-17T05:36

有沒有中軍的?

By Belly
at 2020-10-18T23:15

中軍會被冷掉吧XD

By Sarah
at 2020-10-20T16:53

冷掉就不好吃了(咦)

By Anonymous
at 2020-10-22T10:32

中軍是原地打轉嗎

By Charlie
at 2020-10-24T04:10

這樣說好像是這樣

By Frederic
at 2020-10-25T21:49

原地打轉的例子有哪些呢?

By Noah
at 2020-10-27T15:28

打轉的不少吧只是看是不是在台灣附近而已

By Cara
at 2020-10-29T09:06

我也這麼覺得，但好像想不太起來...?

By Heather
at 2020-10-31T02:45

08的辛樂克就在台灣附近轉很久阿

By Hedy
at 2020-11-01T20:23

不然就納莉在東海轉轉轉

By Isla
at 2020-11-03T14:02

納莉在台灣其實也是有點打轉

By Eartha
at 2020-11-05T07:41

好熱

By Cara
at 2020-11-07T01:19

希望明天台東影響不大囧

By Ethan
at 2020-11-08T18:58

中軍XD 越來越多軍種了...

By Lucy
at 2020-11-10T12:36

東西南北中看你是屬於哪種軍xd

By Puput
at 2020-11-12T06:15

台東影響不大吧距離那麼遠

By Eartha
at 2020-11-13T23:54

想起來了，就是辛樂克和納莉

By Una
at 2020-11-15T17:32

辛樂克我有印象我記得很嚴重

By Emily
at 2020-11-17T11:11

這兩隻的報數也是出奇的多啊

By Freda
at 2020-11-19T04:49

看來還是讓中軍冷掉好了，無論是不是在台灣上空
支持中軍的先抱歉了(喂)

By Liam
at 2020-11-20T22:28

2008辛樂克43報的樣子納莉高達6X?
辛樂克第二次轉圈其實非常經典差點登陸西北部

By Rebecca
at 2020-11-22T16:07

驚險xd

By Megan
at 2020-11-24T09:45

忘不了那天看到很多年輕人在掃水的畫面

By Ophelia
at 2020-11-26T03:24

其實近年也很少看到在台灣附近打轉的颱風了

By Sandy
at 2020-11-27T21:02

而且登陸通過台灣的速度也都穩定快速就過去了
中軍其實已經冷掉很久了吧xd

By Zora
at 2020-11-29T14:41

上一個我想到在台灣晃很久的都要推回去2012 天秤?
但天秤其實速度也不算慢只是在台灣附近海面轉圈

By Margaret
at 2020-12-01T08:20

通過台灣陸地其實蠻快速的

By Elma
at 2020-12-03T01:58

https://i.imgur.com/NrqtghA.png

By Blanche
at 2020-12-04T19:37

天秤我還有印象，的確是有點心驚

By Caitlin
at 2020-12-06T13:15

GFS 12Z繼續奈米調強調南(西)

By Franklin
at 2020-12-08T06:54

強度如果再調強下去就有機會更接近北海岸
要是萬一變中颱小鋼炮的話就...

By Brianna
at 2020-12-10T00:33

先脫水吧現在一整個乾

By Dorothy
at 2020-12-11T18:11

不知道會不會出現典型西北颱?

By Joseph
at 2020-12-13T11:50

理想尼莎現實魔羯

By Lauren
at 2020-12-15T05:28

GFS預測登陸對岸的點也在南調中警報時間有機會拉長

By Delia
at 2020-12-16T23:07

差點就要接「像極了愛情」www

By Delia
at 2020-12-18T16:46

也可能是窮人版桑美

By Bethany
at 2020-12-20T10:24

過去4報變化 https://i.imgur.com/OO3aWnI.gif

By Audriana
at 2020-12-22T04:03

調強調西/調南就是趨勢

By Vanessa
at 2020-12-23T21:41

現在剩不到兩天就是主要看強度發展情形來左右路徑

By Ingrid
at 2020-12-25T15:20

收到

By Erin
at 2020-12-27T08:59

這個趨勢圖還看的出來台灣西部外海殘留渦度在減弱
也就是說不只有傍晚提過的引導層面的問題(愈強愈

By Liam
at 2020-12-29T02:37

結果最後面瑪麗亞xd

By Dinah
at 2020-12-30T20:16

偏西) 甚至強度愈強還有機會漸漸把到時候的南海

By Doris
at 2021-01-01T13:54

瑪利亞挺強的難

By Franklin
at 2021-01-03T07:33

殘留渦度吸收導致在台灣正北方通過時路徑較偏西

By Thomas
at 2021-01-05T01:12

這是從GFS這4報變化看出來的情形
會導致通過台灣北部海面時角度變小

By Annie
at 2021-01-06T18:50

想起桑美悟空寶發

By Skylar Davis
at 2021-01-08T12:29

說路徑像瑪麗亞啦不是強度xd

By Kelly
at 2021-01-10T06:07

8/3要去宜蘭啊…天啊…

By Steve
at 2021-01-11T23:46

這個趨勢如果延伸下去搞不好變典型西北颱

By Ida
at 2021-01-13T17:25

近幾年靠近台灣的颱風都很愛走這路徑

By Elvira
at 2021-01-15T11:03

南半部乾了好空.

By Puput
at 2021-01-17T04:42

東風波的日常

By Dorothy
at 2021-01-18T22:20

瑪麗亞+1

By Brianna
at 2021-01-20T15:59

推

By Callum
at 2021-01-22T09:38

怎麼可能會變西北颱@@

By Eden
at 2021-01-24T03:16

長得真醜

By Linda
at 2021-01-25T20:55

可惜了點...北上之後才遇上高壓增強
不然水庫可以趁機補一波水

By Quanna
at 2021-01-27T14:33

一桿進洞喔？這幾年喊會是西北颱，但是到台灣東北
部海面路徑卻走鐘的不少

By Heather
at 2021-01-29T08:12

爬山流還是可以補一點吧

By Edward Lewis
at 2021-01-31T01:51

脫水不就更乾了??

By Selena
at 2021-02-01T19:29

脫水=脫離水貨

By Lydia
at 2021-02-03T13:08

為何這隻接不到西南季風？
明明在旁邊而已

By Caitlin
at 2021-02-05T06:46

接得到啊，只是辛樂克搶更兇

By Sierra Rose
at 2021-02-07T00:25

size大小的問題

By Rebecca
at 2021-02-08T18:04

https://i.imgur.com/JWt67CS.png

By Yedda
at 2021-02-10T11:42

氣象局:5:30海上警報

By Lily
at 2021-02-12T05:21

迎接吃下沉的假日

By Ursula
at 2021-02-13T22:59

兩隻颱風雙重下沉龍來啊

By Rae
at 2021-02-15T16:38

準備啟動星期一放假模式

By Belly
at 2021-02-17T10:17

下沉吃飽飽呵呵

By Oscar
at 2021-02-19T03:55

現在也不是水貨呀，有夠乾削

By Belly
at 2021-02-20T21:34

果然很符合反聖嬰年颱風生成位置離台灣近是說上個

By Joe
at 2021-02-22T15:12

月賈博士才說8月中之前會很安靜結果現在就這麼熱鬧

By Noah
at 2021-02-24T08:51

好單薄

By Rosalind
at 2021-02-26T02:30

看到關鍵字了，坐等樓下魔人出現

By Olivia
at 2021-02-27T20:08

未來南海還會有新系統，約七天後，菲東則是一片平靜

By Frederic
at 2021-03-01T13:47

走的好變小鋼砲走不好直接下面一位~

By Belly
at 2021-03-03T07:25

數值全部南修陸警機率大增

By Regina
at 2021-03-05T01:04

https://i.imgur.com/xnDzLWY.jpg

By Rebecca
at 2021-03-06T18:43

南修颱風：我每年好像都會出現一下？

By Brianna
at 2021-03-08T12:21

EC也西調了尤其通過台灣北部海面時角度變小

By Jacob
at 2021-03-10T06:00

別擔心 CWB會幫忙把風圈縮小就不會發陸警了（誤）

By Kyle
at 2021-03-11T23:38

等明天各氣象機構更新預報路徑再看看囉~

By Hazel
at 2021-03-13T17:17

風圈縮到30，結束這一回合

By Puput
at 2021-03-15T10:56

和00Z相比，影響台灣的系集由6條增加到11條

By Ethan
at 2021-03-17T04:34

JTWC 18Z也西調了

By Christine
at 2021-03-18T22:13

發海警囉

By Vanessa
at 2021-03-20T15:51

這週台北有機會放假嗎?

By Edwina
at 2021-03-22T09:30

來惹~來惹~一句話惹怒大氣版眾

By Quanna
at 2021-03-24T03:09

比午後熱對流爛的糞颱只要沒接上西南氣流就是個空
包彈

By Xanthe
at 2021-03-25T20:47

看可見光有從巴士海峽往哈格比的低雲多少有接上
西南季風

By Callum
at 2021-03-27T14:26

來不來都只是個水貨

By Faithe
at 2021-03-29T08:04

那有沒有公司貨?

By Brianna
at 2021-03-31T01:43

等EC下午系集 https://i.imgur.com/dgqxlgE.png

By William
at 2021-04-01T19:22

今年真晚來報到

202004 Hagupit（哈格比）誕生 - 颱風討論

All Comments

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