94W TCFA - 颱風討論

By Suhail Hany
at 2017-09-08T12:16

Table of Contents

WTPN21 PGTW 080200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/
FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER S
IDE OF A LINE FROM 11.0N 153.1E TO 13.5N 149.1E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS
. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNIN
GS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 080000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 1
52.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS.

https://metoc.ndbc.noaa.gov/ProductFeeds-portlet/img/jtwc/products/wp9417.gif

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

By Irma
at 2017-09-10T13:37

看這隻有沒有機會讓西太逆轉勝

By Isabella
at 2017-09-12T14:59

要看前方的路是否坎坷(誤)

By Hedda
at 2017-09-14T16:20

CWB 的數值模式認為會走巴士海峽,不影響台灣@@

By Lydia
at 2017-09-16T17:41

CwB的全球模式沒參考價值

By Ivy
at 2017-09-18T19:02

CWB 的數值模式也不看好強度@@

By Queena
at 2017-09-20T20:23

GFS始終搓不出這個泰利，是為什麼呢？

By Agatha
at 2017-09-22T21:44

未來環境應該不會太差看造化了

By Eartha
at 2017-09-24T23:06

GFS的解析度差，對小尺度擾動大多忽略

By Quintina
at 2017-09-27T00:27

謝謝a大

By Christine
at 2017-09-29T01:48

9/15要去香港看來要gg了...

By Carol
at 2017-10-01T03:09

氣象局全球模式的解析度很粗對於強度模擬有難度

By Olga
at 2017-10-03T04:30

能讓今年上班日還沒放颱風的臺灣連放兩天嗎？

By Noah
at 2017-10-05T05:51

想放假自己請

By Edwina
at 2017-10-07T07:12

還遠在152E變數還很大

By Gary
at 2017-10-09T08:34

https://i.imgur.com/6yD8Doq.jpg

By Daniel
at 2017-10-11T09:55

最後五天是卡住了嗎 XD

By Sarah
at 2017-10-13T11:16

有機會追得上莫蘭蒂或Irma嗎??!

By George
at 2017-10-15T12:37

看起來就是能破紀錄的大物一枚

By Oscar
at 2017-10-17T13:58

哪裡看出能破紀錄？夢到嗎？

By Ina
at 2017-10-19T15:19

有人超愛挑釁，是常失眠嗎

By Sarah
at 2017-10-21T16:40

拜託快來！

By Anonymous
at 2017-10-23T18:02

995跟我說是海燕等級xdd

By Ophelia
at 2017-10-25T19:23

感覺是虛胖颱

By Gilbert
at 2017-10-27T20:44

最新EC速度調快坐巴士過台灣之後才北轉

By Anthony
at 2017-10-29T22:05

然後登陸華南...= =

By Charlotte
at 2017-10-31T23:26

要環島捏人在東部時受影響就不好玩了

By Aaliyah
at 2017-11-03T00:47

沒所本就吹風破紀錄算理性嗎？還是鼓吹颱風不強不侵

By Lauren
at 2017-11-05T02:09

台就算挑釁？

By Wallis
at 2017-11-07T03:30

講話嗆還在幫自己辯解傻眼

By Charlie
at 2017-11-09T04:51

不如先回答哪裡會破紀錄吧XD

By Frederic
at 2017-11-11T06:12

又有人管不住自己囉

By Wallis
at 2017-11-13T07:33

你可以鼓吹，但說人做夢還不挑釁嗎

By Eartha
at 2017-11-15T08:54

一報一變距離還遠繼續觀察

By Isabella
at 2017-11-17T10:15

= = 拜託不要我16日要從香港飛出去

By Isabella
at 2017-11-19T11:37

轉向點預估很接近台灣，但差一點影響就會差很大，下

By Gilbert
at 2017-11-21T12:58

週這裡熱鬧囉，希望一些玻璃心別來亂

By Cara
at 2017-11-23T14:19

來，來，都來！

By Andy
at 2017-11-25T15:40

EC系集也逐漸南修至華南一帶

By Isla
at 2017-11-27T17:01

CWB一週天氣圖走巴士菲北

By Hamiltion
at 2017-11-29T18:22

高壓太強對強度不利

By Regina
at 2017-12-01T19:43

會不會來個轉彎處在台海北上啊………

By Zanna
at 2017-12-03T21:05

希望是能走登陸宮古島路徑，強度才會UPUP

By Elma
at 2017-12-05T22:26

巴士巴士....

By Barb Cronin
at 2017-12-07T23:47

今年的颱風一堆都走這種路線的，扯...

By Zanna
at 2017-12-10T01:08

別來啊！週末要看球！

By Kyle
at 2017-12-12T02:29

要來別周末來阿

By Mia
at 2017-12-14T03:50

走快點阿~~周末要去玩

By Quanna
at 2017-12-16T05:12

還很久啦變數很多

By Connor
at 2017-12-18T06:33

拜託拜託下週末勿擾..

By Agnes
at 2017-12-20T07:54

高壓估計還是會偏強

By Robert
at 2017-12-22T09:15

https://i.imgur.com/xESSoD6.jpg 希望如此！

By Quintina
at 2017-12-24T10:36

太平洋高壓強勢太久了吧

By Delia
at 2017-12-26T11:57

今年有點要往反聖嬰走的趨勢，那西太可能不太妙

By Audriana
at 2017-12-28T13:18

反聖嬰的話，中南部要節約用水了

By Thomas
at 2017-12-30T14:40

南部水庫水量不錯啊，這顆來再補點水，還可以

By Yuri
at 2018-01-01T16:01

路徑應該會一直上下修

By Kyle
at 2018-01-03T17:22

另外，氣象局的聖嬰展望，反聖嬰的機率其實不高

By Freda
at 2018-01-05T18:43

CFS預測會往反聖嬰

By Elizabeth
at 2018-01-07T20:04

那也不錯啦，準備冷吱吱的冬天

By Ivy
at 2018-01-09T21:25

反聖嬰印象比較深的颱風只有凡那比

By Oliver
at 2018-01-11T22:46

Cwb預估走巴士感覺一入秋就共伴的機會不低...

By Cara
at 2018-01-14T00:08

每天看預報感覺心情都好像在洗三溫暖太刺激啦

By Daniel
at 2018-01-16T01:29

現在沒有共伴的條件吧!?

By Daph Bay
at 2018-01-18T02:50

垃圾颱風滾啦下周六還要去新莊看球...

By Dora
at 2018-01-20T04:11

預報有共伴機會，只是會不會伴在台灣，要觀察

By Ina
at 2018-01-22T05:32

這季節有共伴的話會偏向在江南一帶吧

By Noah
at 2018-01-24T06:53

台灣要發生共伴除非颱風夠南邊且冷空氣要壓下來

By Joe
at 2018-01-26T08:15

所以10月出現共伴的機會才比較高

By Lydia
at 2018-01-28T09:36

下周六要去天母看球，颱風快滾

By Catherine
at 2018-01-30T10:57

歷史上很多秋颱走巴士海峽引發共伴釀重災的例子

By Ula
at 2018-02-01T12:18

秋颱可怕的地方在於共伴降雨.而且不乏是離暴風圈

By Brianna
at 2018-02-03T13:39

還有一段距離的點發生致災豪雨

By Kyle
at 2018-02-05T15:00

其實還有點遠，變數還是稍大

By Zora
at 2018-02-07T16:21

現在還多了96W來個大亂鬥，感覺局勢很複雜

By Ivy
at 2018-02-09T17:43

94W 95W 96W目前看來差不多誰先勝出再來看對台灣

By Elizabeth
at 2018-02-11T19:04

影響現在中心在哪都不知道咧

By Zora
at 2018-02-13T20:25

原則上先看在哪裡誕生吧目前似乎還沒看到影子

By Emily
at 2018-02-15T21:46

等誕生後再來看會怎麼走也不遲另外不是一定走巴士
就會共半說還要有北方系統配合而且要配合的剛好

By Mason
at 2018-02-17T23:07

才會剛好在台灣上空這個等下周再來觀察

By Agatha
at 2018-02-20T00:28

巴士、台灣二選一

By Caitlin
at 2018-02-22T01:49

看來CPBL又要延賽了

By Anthony
at 2018-02-24T03:11

系集去宮古島的剩一條= =

By Suhail Hany
at 2018-02-26T04:32

發布海警的機率很高

By Franklin
at 2018-02-28T05:53

是不是平西的機會越來越高說

By Yedda
at 2018-03-02T07:14

會不會前面先來一個小的探路？

By Suhail Hany
at 2018-03-04T08:35

西登熱身中

By Ophelia
at 2018-03-06T09:56

哀...下周末要去香港.....GG惹

By Susan
at 2018-03-08T11:18

突然多個96W，等週一才會明朗吧

By Jake
at 2018-03-10T12:39

還早

By Isabella
at 2018-03-12T14:00

別選假日來拜託

By Sierra Rose
at 2018-03-14T15:21

別啊我星期日要從沖繩回來啊

By Ina
at 2018-03-16T16:42

希望別帶來災害

By Brianna
at 2018-03-18T18:03

巴士海峽歡迎你

By Caitlin
at 2018-03-20T19:24

94 95 96 擠在一起XDD

By Megan
at 2018-03-22T20:46

拜託拜託不要來!!

By Oscar
at 2018-03-24T22:07

下週末要蘭嶼拜託滾旁邊啊！

By Kristin
at 2018-03-26T23:28

GFS終於有反應但是9/14後很有趣上演台灣之戀

By Jacob
at 2018-03-29T00:49

GFS那個根本台灣環島遊

By Gary
at 2018-03-31T02:10

GFS睡了好幾天現在才醒過來...

By Connor
at 2018-04-02T03:31

西登熱身中

By Charlie
at 2018-04-04T04:52

哪裡的西登?

By George
at 2018-04-06T06:14

高空場模式預報看來,高壓體有持續減弱西撤的趨勢,7

By Hardy
at 2018-04-08T07:35

天後看來台灣高空場已脫離其控制範圍,西風噴流南壓
之期不遠矣

By Susan
at 2018-04-10T08:56

中層的副高預報看來7天後則有斷裂東退的趨勢

By Barb Cronin
at 2018-04-12T10:17

今天新竹清晨那陀是怎麼回事啊[email protected]@

By Damian
at 2018-04-14T11:38

鑽過巴士海峽直闖港澳台灣又沒盡到擋颱風的責任了

By Iris
at 2018-04-16T12:59

ec wtf，沿著西海岸北上，賽洛瑪再世？

By Annie
at 2018-04-18T14:21

沿著西海岸北上不是賽洛馬啦比較像是奇比
也可能類似去年的莫蘭蒂一切都還有變數

By Hedwig
at 2018-04-20T15:42

還是要走最扯的1952年貝絲姐姐的路徑呢拭目以待

By Linda
at 2018-04-22T17:03

走賽洛瑪路線會直接登陸在高屏上空

By William
at 2018-04-24T18:24

假日不要來啦QQ

By Yuri
at 2018-04-26T19:45

我沒說清楚，是高屏一帶登陸

By Jake
at 2018-04-28T21:06

這個還要觀察要登陸高屏沒那麼容易
路徑控的我觀察很多次這種一開始預測登陸高屏的
最後幾乎都偏掉居多

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2018-04-30T22:27

樓上這跟西北颱是一樣的道理吧

By Kyle
at 2018-05-02T23:49

當然阿但是西北颱發生的頻率還是比較高喔

By David
at 2018-05-05T01:10

登陸高屏預測之後都會偏掉＋1

By Jacky
at 2018-05-07T02:31

希望可以遠離台灣...覺得可怕, 去年莫蘭蒂嚇到

By Olivia
at 2018-05-09T03:52

今年幾乎沒有一個靠近台灣後預測路徑準的

94W TCFA - 颱風討論

All Comments

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