96W TCFA GW - 颱風討論

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp9615.gif
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp9615web.txt

WTPN21 PGTW 011730
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.2N 130.3E TO 15.6N 127.0E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 011700Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.7N 129.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N
130.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 129.9E, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST
OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS SYMMETRIC FLARING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT SCATTEROMETER
DATA SHOWS AN ELONGATED BUT WELL DEFINED LLCC WITH 20 KNOT WINDS
SURROUNDING THE CIRCULATION AND STRONGER WESTERLY SURGE WINDS TO THE
SOUTH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH 20 TO 30 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PARTIALLY OFFSET
BY GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVED STRUCTURE OF THIS
DISTURBANCE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
021730Z.
//
NNNN

http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/typh/b.html

熱帯低気圧
平成27年07月02日04時30分 発表

<02日03時の実況>
大きさ -
強さ -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域 フィリピンの東
中心位置 北緯 13度10分(13.2度)
東経 128度55分(128.9度)
進行方向、速さ 北北西 ゆっくり
中心気圧 1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速 15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速 23m/s(45kt)

<03日03時の予報>
強さ -
存在地域 フィリピンの東
予報円の中心 北緯 15度20分(15.3度)
東経 128度00分(128.0度)
進行方向、速さ 北北西 10km/h(6kt)
中心気圧 1000hPa
中心付近の最大風速 18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速 25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径 220km(120NM)



先別管阿鴻了，你有聽過96W可能會往巴海跑嗎？

EC最新連載：

阿鴻轉向點略東調，96W進入巴海後受阿鴻影響轉向沿東海岸北上成為阿鴻新料理。

（阿鴻：下集要教各位觀眾做蓮花料理喔~）

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