Re: 天秤颱風~101/08/23 - 颱風討論
By Michael
at 2012-08-23T21:05
at 2012-08-23T21:05
Table of Contents
過去3小時看起來~地形吸引的效應似乎趨於明顯~
天秤的移動速度如下午文章的預期~有加速的趨勢~
颱風環流跟地形親密接觸之後~移動方向有點搖搖晃晃的現象~
不過大致還是往西移動中~直撲台東方向而去~
中心已經大約來到122.3E左右~
整個環流有明顯緊縮的現象~外圍環流幾乎消失~只剩下渾圓的核心環流~
這樣的話~中心接近的地方風雨會有猛烈快速加強的現象~必須密切注意~
結構非常好~強度一定是非常強的~
目前來看大概是不會去成功鎮了~而是會在台東到成功之間登陸的機會大~
除非登陸前神來一筆又往北偏一點~
而且速度如果還是很快的話~也許登陸時間會在午夜過後~
比先前預期的明晨天亮前後還要更早~
請台東以及花蓮的朋友在未來幾小時內要特別小心~
尤其是颱風可能直接登陸的台東地區~
登陸點越南~原中心直接穿越台灣陸地的機會就越大~
這些未來都是觀察重點~請大家一起注意囉~
--
天秤的移動速度如下午文章的預期~有加速的趨勢~
颱風環流跟地形親密接觸之後~移動方向有點搖搖晃晃的現象~
不過大致還是往西移動中~直撲台東方向而去~
中心已經大約來到122.3E左右~
整個環流有明顯緊縮的現象~外圍環流幾乎消失~只剩下渾圓的核心環流~
這樣的話~中心接近的地方風雨會有猛烈快速加強的現象~必須密切注意~
結構非常好~強度一定是非常強的~
目前來看大概是不會去成功鎮了~而是會在台東到成功之間登陸的機會大~
除非登陸前神來一筆又往北偏一點~
而且速度如果還是很快的話~也許登陸時間會在午夜過後~
比先前預期的明晨天亮前後還要更早~
請台東以及花蓮的朋友在未來幾小時內要特別小心~
尤其是颱風可能直接登陸的台東地區~
登陸點越南~原中心直接穿越台灣陸地的機會就越大~
這些未來都是觀察重點~請大家一起注意囉~
--
Tags:
颱風
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