Re: 猜猜看，哪裡最多台灣人？ - 舊金山

※ 引述《clarkchang (丁大丙)》之銘言：
: 標題: 猜猜看，哪裡最多台灣人？
: 時間: Sat Sep 6 05:47:06 2008
:
: 95014 --> Cupertino
: 95129 --> West San Jose, 靠近cupertino, Saratoga
: 95070 --> Saratoga
: 94539 --> Fremont
: 94024 --> Los Altos
:
: 結論，台灣人真有錢！
:
: → asyhuang:誰有錢人家的是,我們把自己照顧好就好. 09/06 15:14
: → asyhuang:誰說住95014的就有錢,只能說一堆人喜歡那個學區吧! 09/06 15:16
: → asyhuang:結論和標題不合,和統計設定結果都不合. 邏輯根本不對 09/06 15:20
我最討厭人家說我邏輯不好，因為這是我常用來罵別人的XD
您會這樣質疑，有幾種可能
1) 您不懂房地產, 2)您非常有錢，有錢到買房子隨便買
買房子只有考慮三要素：location, location, and location
在南灣，就是學區。您都知道一堆人喜歡那個學區
既然很多人喜歡，表示那個學區很好，既然學區很好，房價一定很貴
，既然房價很貴，表示所得很高，既然所得很高，表示他們很有錢
這樣的邏輯還是錯的嗎？

再來好了，您可能不相信我定性的推論，那我就來定量的推論
http://www.trulia.com/real_estate/Cupertino-California/
有提供各家庭的所得統計資料（就是HYL說的那個）
這是95014的資料
Household Income
% of respondents Cupertino Santa Clara County California
Less than $10,000 3.57% 4.49% 8.40%
$10,000 to $14,999 1.53% 2.89% 5.64%
$15,000 to $19,999 2.30% 2.83% 5.60%
$20,000 to $24,999 2.19% 3.19% 5.85%
$25,000 to $29,999 1.91% 3.25% 5.67%
$30,000 to $34,999 1.79% 3.70% 5.75%
$35,000 to $39,999 2.04% 3.61% 5.38%
$40,000 to $44,999 2.76% 3.85% 5.18%
$45,000 to $49,999 2.28% 3.74% 4.61%
$50,000 to $59,999 6.38% 7.63% 8.55%
$60,000 to $74,999 9.36% 11.17% 10.58%
$75,000 to $99,999 13.59% 15.03% 11.52%
$100,000 to $124,999 14.49% 11.38% 6.78%
$125,000 to $149,999 9.44% 7.33% 3.58%
$150,000 to $199,999 12.58% 8.11% 3.35%
$200,000 or more 13.80% 7.80% 3.56%
很明顯Cupertino比SC county高，更比整個加州高出很多
以過去zillow.com的房價趨勢來看，我列出的這幾個zip code的房價是最抗跌
甚至還逆勢上漲。在這個房市不景氣的時候，還能逆勢上漲？
還要懷疑他們不是有錢人？就算30年前的窮留學生在這買個房子，有夠升級為有錢人了

在貼一個95070的好了
Household Income
% of respondents Saratoga Santa Clara County California
Less than $10,000 2.74% 4.49% 8.40%
$10,000 to $14,999 2.04% 2.89% 5.64%
$15,000 to $19,999 1.79% 2.83% 5.60%
$20,000 to $24,999 1.60% 3.19% 5.85%
$25,000 to $29,999 1.40% 3.25% 5.67%
$30,000 to $34,999 1.96% 3.70% 5.75%
$35,000 to $39,999 0.95% 3.61% 5.38%
$40,000 to $44,999 1.93% 3.85% 5.18%
$45,000 to $49,999 1.12% 3.74% 4.61%
$50,000 to $59,999 4.07% 7.63% 8.55%
$60,000 to $74,999 4.99% 11.17% 10.58%
$75,000 to $99,999 8.33% 15.03% 11.52%
$100,000 to $124,999 10.60% 11.38% 6.78%
$125,000 to $149,999 10.11% 7.33% 3.58%
$150,000 to $199,999 15.37% 8.11% 3.35%
$200,000 or more 31.00% 7.80% 3.56%
有沒有發現，家庭收入超過$200K的家庭在Saratoga高達31%，不有錢嗎？
我更懷疑您非常有錢，不然怎麼會覺得邏輯有問題？

給您個作業好了，查查Los Altos


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