利奇馬颱風 海上颱風警報 第2報 - 颱風討論

Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2019-08-07T20:37

Table of Contents


【入板懶人包】#1PjhNDhC (TY_Research)
【停班停課】https://www.dgpa.gov.tw/
【航班異動】松 山:https://reurl.cc/32W29
      桃 園:https://reurl.cc/aWg3l
      清泉崗:https://reurl.cc/9Kq2O
      小 港:https://reurl.cc/lx2mQ
【追蹤班機】https://www.flightradar24.com/24.22,119.42/6

【未來天氣】請移駕telnet://ptt2.cc的weathertw板詢問,
      或於置底天氣詢問文推文詢問。
      氣象局是你的豪捧油,如果你信任他的話。
      http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V7/index.htm

想要這些資訊嗎?想要的話我已經全部給你。
有問題的話請去置底串討論,謝謝配合。




【最新警報單】https://www.cwb.gov.tw/V7/prevent/warning/Data/I10NEW.png
【當前路徑圖】https://i.imgur.com/DCmUKBd.png
【風切圖】http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/westpac/winds/wgmssht.GIF
【駛流場】http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/westpac/winds/wgmsdlm1.GIF
【海焓圖】https://i.imgur.com/mED2T0I.gif

07fW21077
中央氣象局 颱風警報單
發 布 時 間:民國108年8月7日20時30分。
警 報 種 類:海上颱風警報。
颱 風 強 度 及 編 號:中度颱風,編號第9號
           (國際命名:Lekima,中文譯名:利奇馬)
警 報 報 數:第2報。
中 心 氣 壓:943百帕。
目 前 時 間:7日20時。
中 心 位 置:北緯 21.7 度,東經 127.0 度,
           即在臺北的東南東方約 670 公里之海面上。
暴 風 半 徑:七級風暴風半徑 220 公里,十級風暴風半徑 80 公里。
預 測 速 度 及 方 向:以每小時14公里速度,向西北進行。
近 中 心 最 大 風 速:每秒 43 公尺(約每小時 155 公里),相當於 14 級風。
瞬 間 之 最 大 陣 風:每秒 53 公尺(約每小時 191 公里),相當於 16 級風。
預 測 時 間:8日20時。
預 測 位 置:北緯 24.1 度,東經 124.6 度,
           即在臺北的東南東方約 330 公里之海面上。
颱 風 動 態:根據最新資料顯示,第9號颱風過去3小時強度略為增強,目前
           中心在臺北東南東方海面,向西北移動。其暴風圈正逐漸接近臺
           灣東半部海面,對臺灣北部海面、東北部海面、東南部海面(含
           蘭嶼、綠島)及巴士海峽將構成威脅,此颱風未仍有增強的趨
           勢
警 戒 區 域 及 事 項:臺灣北部海面、臺灣東北部海面、臺灣東南部海面(含蘭嶼、綠
           島)及巴士海峽航行作業船隻應嚴加戒備。
大 雨 特 報:颱風外圍環流影響,今(7日)晚至明(8)日基隆北海岸、大
           臺北、桃園及宜蘭地區局部大雨發生的機率,請注意。
注 意 事 項:*颱風外圍環流影響,臺灣北部、東半部(含綠島、蘭嶼)、南
            部及恆春半島沿海地區已有長浪發生;臺灣各沿海地區(含綠
            島、蘭嶼)及澎湖、金門、馬祖將有較強陣風並有較大風浪,
            前往海邊活動應特別注意安全。
           *本警報單之颱風半徑為平均半徑,第9號颱風之7級風暴風半
            徑接近正圓約為220公里,颱風詳細特性請參考本局颱風輔
            助說明(http://www.cwb.gov.tw/Data/typhoon/TY_PDF.pdf

下次警報預定發布時間為 8月7日23時30分

--
8/3
14:00 15.5 N 133.0 E            TD 形成
20:00 15.5 N 132.5 E  0.0 N -0.5 E ←  TD

8/4
02:00 15.5 N 132.0 E  0.0 N -0.5 E ←  TD
08:00 16.1 N 131.5 E +0.6 N -0.5 E ↖  TD
14:00 17.4 N 131.9 E +1.3 N +0.4 E ↗ 
20:00 17.7 N 131.5 E +0.3 N -0.4 E ↖ 

8/5
02:00 18.4 N 130.5 E +0.7 N -1.0 E ↖ 
08:00 18.5 N 130.4 E +0.1 N -0.1 E ↖ 
14:00 18.9 N 129.7 E +0.4 N -0.7 E ↖ 
20:00 18.9 N 129.5 E  0.0 N -0.2 E ← 

8/6
02:00 18.8 N 129.2 E -0.1 N -0.3 E ↙ 
08:00 18.8 N 129.1 E  0.0 N -0.1 E ← 
14:00 19.0 N 129.0 E +0.2 N -0.1 E ↖ 
20:00 19.5 N 128.5 E +0.5 N -0.5 E ↖ 

8/7
02:00 19.7 N 128.2 E +0.2 N -0.3 E ↖ 
08:00 20.2 N 128.0 E +0.5 N -0.2 E ↖ 
14:00 21.0 N 127.7 E +0.8 N -0.3 E ↖
17:00 21.4 N 127.5 E +0.4 N -0.2 E ↖  海警發布
20:00 21.7 N 127.0 E +0.3 N -0.5 E ↖

--
JTWC最強 [WP02] 蝴 蝶 (Wutip)   JMA 905mb JTWC 140kt 看板 TY_Research
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      斯羅        吉 羅德 克       樂格 克花
布蝶帕恩合帕高莎鹿柳玲魚西琶巴塔貝熊依姆隆莉神鷗凰冕逢蜂鵡克比蜜拉果威莎神
███████████████████████正在讀取2個颱風,已執行8個颱風

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2019-08-12T19:03
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2019-08-17T17:30
推喔
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2019-08-22T15:56
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2019-08-27T14:22
頸推
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2019-09-01T12:48
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2019-09-06T11:14
5F
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2019-09-11T09:40
實際路徑 偏西北西...
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2019-09-16T08:07
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2019-09-21T06:33
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2019-09-26T04:59
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2019-10-01T03:25
如果一職西北西 影響反而變很大
果然還是變變變
西北西越久 影響會越來越大
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2019-10-06T01:51
來惹
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2019-10-11T00:17
往西推
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2019-10-15T22:44
西西西起來
James avatar
By James
at 2019-10-20T21:10
給我西
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2019-10-25T19:36
今年颱風靠你了馬哥
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2019-10-30T18:02
結果這三小時是西北西.........
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2019-11-04T16:28
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2019-11-09T14:54
西西 西起來
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2019-11-14T13:21
給我西 有種就跟台灣正面對決
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2019-11-19T11:47
影響程度就看這次西偏的時間跟角度了
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2019-11-24T10:13
給我¯吸 _
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2019-11-29T08:39
西起來
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2019-12-04T07:05
平西王平起來
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2019-12-09T05:31
38變43,增強2階,不過暴風半徑沒變
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2019-12-14T03:58
尾巴跟身體融不起來
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2019-12-19T02:24
推文西起來
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2019-12-24T00:50
943耶,有機會升強颱嗎?
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2019-12-28T23:16
現在就43 預測明早8時45 搞不好真的摸得到強颱門檻
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2020-01-02T21:42
CCC
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2020-01-07T20:08
西起來
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2020-01-12T18:35
半徑要明天吧,cwb難得近海還調大
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2020-01-17T17:01
西起來把CWB跌下神壇一下
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2020-01-22T15:27
西西西
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2020-01-27T13:53
這樣不是北北西嗎
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2020-02-01T12:19
從昨天早就一直北修,不要在那邊一直什麼偏西,混淆
視聽
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2020-02-06T10:45
西
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2020-02-11T09:12
西西西讓他西讓他西
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2020-02-16T07:38
沒事,繼續等下一報。
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2020-02-21T06:04
樓下覺得如果CWB覺得會偏北 那會調半徑嗎?
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2020-02-26T04:30
是不是走的比預測還快阿?
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2020-03-02T02:56
如果西的份量越多,就真要考慮地形因素對它的影響
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2020-03-07T01:22
現在講的偏西是這2-3小時的事情 並不是預測
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2020-03-11T23:49
這三小時西分量是比較多阿
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2020-03-16T22:15
就階梯式 晚點應該又會偏北北西 一路這樣調整走
Una avatar
By Una
at 2020-03-21T20:41
不可能 我相信CWB 這兩天太神了
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2020-03-26T19:07
持續偏西才要擔心吧
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2020-03-31T17:33
cCCCCCCCCC
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2020-04-05T15:59
127.5直接127耶
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2020-04-10T14:26
有人爆氣哈哈
西ㄑㄧˇㄌㄉ
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2020-04-15T12:52
半天偏西再來擔心也不遲啦
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2020-04-20T11:18
西起來
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2020-04-25T09:44
連續6小時偏西才是真正偏西吧
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2020-04-30T08:10
本來就是一下西一下北的
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2020-05-05T06:36
943百帕,可以接受,下一報就925百帕了吧
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2020-05-10T05:03
北修?? 那跟這三小時偏西北西走 沒衝突吧??
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2020-05-15T03:29
大方向就是西北啊 階梯式一下西北西一下北北西不是
很正常嗎?
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2020-05-20T01:55
又不是說預測偏西 ?? 搞不懂為何要噓?
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2020-05-25T00:21
坐等下一報
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2020-05-29T22:47
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2020-06-03T21:13
難得夏天有這麼正點的 一開始還不看好
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2020-06-08T19:40
CWB撐住,坐等放假迷崩潰
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2020-06-13T18:06
ccccccccccccccccccccc
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2020-06-18T16:32
到底有比預測較偏西嗎
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2020-06-23T14:58
在增強往北分量會有變化吧
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2020-06-28T13:24
通通C起來
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2020-07-03T11:50
日本的是21.6/127.0
Una avatar
By Una
at 2020-07-08T10:17
現在已經943的話.......真的有機會當個平西王打高
爾夫了
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2020-07-13T08:43
狂野小馬
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2020-07-18T07:09
預測外海100公里通過就在門口而已很近
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2020-07-23T05:35
有人爆氣了
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2020-07-28T04:01
現在是遍西阿,問題是他都還沒走到台灣誰知道到底
最後跟預測差多少,觀察當下的向量就好了唄
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2020-08-02T02:27
給我c起來!
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2020-08-07T00:54
960>>>943 就快到940門檻了
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2020-08-11T23:20
你說混淆就混淆唷?阿就這三小時偏西咩,搞不好下三
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2020-08-16T21:46
個小時又偏北了呀,377啥?
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2020-08-21T20:12
C起來
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2020-08-26T18:38
崩潰什麼啦,這幾小時偏西是礙到你囉?
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2020-08-31T17:04
再看看未來三小時是否西份量還是較大比較準
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2020-09-05T15:31
偏西又不是只正西走,是在崩潰什麼
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2020-09-10T13:57
明天大概就變強颱了 暴風半徑應該會擴大到250km
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2020-09-15T12:23
CWB被打臉其實很過癮 神話有段時間了
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2020-09-20T10:49
立場迷墊墊啦
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2020-09-25T09:15
C起來!!!
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2020-09-30T07:41
但是還是要再看接下來偏西的幅度
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2020-10-05T06:08
請問星期五台北會放假嗎 幫我奶奶問的 謝謝
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2020-10-10T04:34
北偏力場迷崩潰
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2020-10-15T03:00
C4
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2020-10-20T01:26
ccccc
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2020-10-24T23:52
FieldGoal夠了沒
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2020-10-29T22:18
果然晚上很熱鬧阿....
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2020-11-03T20:45
小J最新一報過去路徑也是往西北西偏 持續觀察
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2020-11-08T19:11
其實模式幾乎都一致不會登陸了,要大幅偏西機率很低
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2020-11-13T17:37
星期五北部放假機率很高吧,至少吃到7級風半徑
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2020-11-18T16:03
今天就再問星期五 有沒有那麼急
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2020-11-23T14:29
有人趁亂問假
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2020-11-28T12:55
強颱,目前顛峰預估不是48m/s
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2020-12-03T11:22
UK不知道還有沒有撐住
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2020-12-08T09:48
不要再給希望了 就讓我先相信禮拜五不會放假
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2020-12-13T08:14
UK短期預報都不準了,直接不看
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2020-12-18T06:40
會不會放假明天晚上就知道啦...
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2020-12-23T05:06
UK會不會成為先知嘻嘻
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2020-12-28T03:32
會不會跌破眼鏡變成今年風王
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2021-01-02T01:59
上的了強颱嗎,目前預測不是中颱上限
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2021-01-07T00:25
關心週五放假 其實可以調歷年類似颱風停班課就略知
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2021-01-11T22:51
現在登陸不是重點沒錯,但西移多少也有不同的影響
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2021-01-16T21:17
之前TWRF獨排眾議不是也被嘴
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2021-01-21T19:43
真的很想打TWRF的臉啊....
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2021-01-26T18:09
51還有段距離...
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2021-01-31T16:36
預測強度都不會太激進啦
尤其是這種爆發型
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2021-02-05T15:02
43/53了
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2021-02-10T13:28
其實不用到登陸阿 只要西移個12小時半天 就差很多
了 至少會比現在預測得更靠近台灣很多
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2021-02-15T11:54
UK短期不準,差了24hr差90KM左右吧
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2021-02-20T10:20
這樣原本的陸警範圍也會擴大
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2021-02-25T08:46
強度增強好像比預期猛烈 原本好像是晚上到40m/s
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2021-03-02T07:13
距離偏一點北台就進搖滾區了
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2021-03-07T05:39
目前就階梯式往西北方向走吧
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2021-03-12T04:05
搞不好真的上從48跳上去51也說不定... 夏強颱(遠目
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2021-03-17T02:31
這跟去年瑪利亞一樣北偏個一陣子就差很大了
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2021-03-22T00:57
躧h近等明早的警報吧
*躧h近
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2021-03-26T23:23
要上強颱了嗎
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2021-03-31T21:50
大方向路徑就是西北 現在西北西搞不好等等變北北西
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2021-04-05T20:16
下一報如果943變成925 那48拉到51也不是不可能了
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2021-04-10T18:42
老J分析CI 5.5 應該會給105kts
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2021-04-15T17:08
階梯式大方向西北正解
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2021-04-20T15:34
下一報 北分量可能增加一點 然後可能要擴風圈了
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2021-04-25T14:00
菲東颱夏秋永遠不缺水氣 只怕被南高餵止瀉藥
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2021-04-30T12:27
C好C滿,C某好兇
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2021-05-05T10:53
正解笑死
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2021-05-10T09:19
老J才給5.5...
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2021-05-15T07:45
http://imgur.com/gallery/PmTKgbl
畫面就給這兩個胖子就飽了
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2021-05-20T06:11
利奇馬:驚不驚喜,意不意外
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2021-05-25T04:37
馬眼好美
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2021-05-30T03:04
聊天室西起來
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2021-06-04T01:30
剛看了一下高層駛流場確實西分量比較大 而馬哥也確
實在爆發後開始西偏 反正就觀察看看這階梯西分量和
北分量的比例吧
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2021-06-08T23:56
請問以現在超級電腦的算力
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2021-06-13T22:22
老柯感覺比老馬還大隻
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2021-06-18T20:48
還不能9成預估颱風的準確路徑嗎?
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2021-06-23T19:14
虛胖嗎
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2021-06-28T17:41
讓它西 ! 讓它西!
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2021-07-03T16:07
老J認為W環不合格 沒辦法
給CI 5.5 主要還沒因為MET限制
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2021-07-08T14:33
科羅莎也不是虛胖啦 這一團如果登陸台灣也是很可怕
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2021-07-13T12:59
老J巔峰給125KTS/150KTS
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2021-07-18T11:25
已經轉為西北移動了
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2021-07-23T09:51
*還是
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2021-07-28T08:18
MET,好像有印象
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2021-08-02T06:44
沒吧,我看到最新的雲圖中心還在21.6N左右啊
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2021-08-07T05:10
有西北嗎
看雲圖就西北西啊
Una avatar
By Una
at 2021-08-12T03:36
已經開始逼近22N
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2021-08-17T02:02
西起來
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2021-08-22T00:28
看起來不是西北啊
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2021-08-26T22:55
西北西吧
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2021-08-31T21:21
12Z到13Z開始西北了
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2021-09-05T19:47
呵呵呵呵呵呵 肯定肯起來
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2021-09-10T18:13
誰跟你轉西北移動
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2021-09-15T16:39
北分量增加了,如卡大說的階梯式移動
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2021-09-20T15:05
看起來一路向西了 淘氣
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2021-09-25T13:32
再見了...
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2021-09-30T11:58
不是說石垣島容易有地形作用,等新一報看看
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2021-10-05T10:24
http://imgur.com/gallery/xYeYAKn
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2021-10-10T08:50
如果是一下西北 一下西北西也還ok 北北西就沒救了XD
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2021-10-15T07:16
果然又是滯後QQ
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2021-10-20T05:42
利奇馬後面連結一條長長尾巴
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2021-10-25T04:09
還真的看不出來西北呵呵
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2021-10-30T02:35
基本上登陸機會已經不太可能了啦
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2021-11-04T01:01
要西好西滿應該是不可能,但我想要看狹義西北颱
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2021-11-08T23:27
一個小時的西北需要很驚訝嗎
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2021-11-13T21:53
放假 立場 西起來 北出去 好刺激
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2021-11-18T20:19
可以超肯定一小時西北 說西就階梯 顆顆
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2021-11-23T18:46
西北一小有拉回來惹
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2021-11-28T17:12
只想知道會不會放假的是不會自己直接請假嗎?笑死人
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2021-12-03T15:38
了不起石垣島就已經還算抵抗趨勢了
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2021-12-08T14:04
前面都說階梯了 一小時西北很正常吧 呵呵
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2021-12-13T12:30
CCC
Una avatar
By Una
at 2021-12-18T10:56
有風眼好觀察多了XD
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2021-12-23T09:23
感覺ben大的說法是也覺得比預期的偏西
是我的錯覺嗎? XD
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2021-12-28T07:49
擺線移動很正常啦 偏西偏北交替出現都正常
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-01-02T06:15
下一報再看看
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-01-07T04:41
其實沒有比預期偏西吧
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-01-12T03:07
唉唉風迷一直被ben大戳到啊@@
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2022-01-17T01:33
就短時間的波動而已 連續12小時都走西北西或西北再
來講吧
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2022-01-22T00:00
看會是從石垣島以南還是以北通過
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-01-26T22:26
接下來偏北分量增加時,會通過石垣島還是宮古島,
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-01-31T20:52
ben大專門潑人冷水 習慣惹~
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-02-05T19:18
大趨勢還是在各機構的掌握中
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2022-02-10T17:44
應該只是階梯移動的錯覺,下一報應該偏北分量會變
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-02-15T16:10
可能就會決定是要走GFS(石垣島)或是EC(宮古島)劇本
走GFS通過石垣島的話,受地形影響偏西時緯度比較低
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-02-20T14:37
不過都還算有些根據啦 已習慣XDD
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-02-25T13:03
怎麼看即時颱風位置啊
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-03-02T11:29
就風眼啊
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-03-07T09:55
衛星雲圖 不過晚點進入石垣島雷達範圍 也可以用雷達
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2022-03-12T08:21
就比較可能東北角被戳一下
to baga大:哪一系列??
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-03-17T06:47
web大一系列的圖哪個網站找的 想知道
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2022-03-22T05:14
CCC
James avatar
By James
at 2022-03-27T03:40
好奇1600前後路線轉變的因素是什麼
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2022-04-01T02:06
其實IR雲圖沒到完全正確 底層跟高層差距
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-04-06T00:32
以強度來看,個人傾向參考GFS
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-04-10T22:58
943了耶
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-04-15T21:24
推文的各歷史颱風的風場圖
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-04-20T19:51
卡卡西
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-04-25T18:17
颱風前進本來就不是直線,梯形前進有麼好大驚小怪?
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-04-30T16:43
ben的確是有根據的只是比較肯定XD
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-05-05T15:09
在1600前經歷半天以上的北北西,然後在1600後轉為西
北西,這路線轉變感覺有趣
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-05-10T13:35
階梯型
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2022-05-15T12:01
to baga大:那個是過去在wunderground網站上存檔的
模式預測圖,至於現在的wunderground因為年久失修
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-05-20T10:28
就階梯式行進啊
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-05-25T08:54
回想起去年瑪莉亞近台過程中也是偏西偏北不斷爭執..
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2022-05-30T07:20
可能是往上爬去接高壓 一個上車的概念
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2022-06-04T05:46
也許過半夜又轉為北北西也說不定
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-06-09T04:12
整個模式圖顯示頁面沒辦法正常運作,我是用特殊api
網址直接取得xd
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2022-06-14T02:38
1600後就接到死尿圖啊!(高層導引)的氣流動
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-06-19T01:05
畢竟看過去1600前的北北西很平穩沒什麼明顯變動
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-06-23T23:31
柯羅莎都乖乖偏西了,小馬呢?
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-06-28T21:57
不用登陸,狹義西北颱就行w
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2022-07-03T20:23
←←←←←←集氣救救上班族←←←←←←
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-07-08T18:49
差不多快到宮古島正南方時就會有明顯的北北西移動
這時候的西分量多寡會影響通過的是石垣島還是宮古島
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-07-13T17:15
結果真的已經比預測強了XD
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-07-18T15:42
現在的駛流場要怎看呀
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-07-23T14:08
為啥到宮古島之後會偏北啊
駛留廠嗎
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-07-28T12:34
剛看了新的路徑 又好像會來了
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-08-02T11:00
集氣請去置底
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-08-07T09:26
之後偏北是因為到了高壓西側了??這時流出也會更
佳?
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-08-12T07:52
西西西西西一波
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2022-08-17T06:19
感覺推文在調侃偏西
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-08-22T04:45
西起來噢
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2022-08-27T03:11
大氣變化多,不到最後一刻,都是很難說的
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-09-01T01:37
西一波
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-09-06T00:03
之後偏北是因為接觸台灣地形,會偏北
George avatar
By George
at 2022-09-10T22:29
明天中午才會比較明朗吧
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-09-15T20:56
都分不出哪些是真消息= =
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-20T19:22
馬哥目前處在幾乎無風切,ohc也夠的地方,能快速增
強也是合理
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-09-19T21:20
眼睛真的漂亮
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-09-24T19:46
西起乃
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
但實際上還是要看大氣條件而定
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-24T19:46
不過如果強度增強快 到宮古的時候駛流場不會讓他偏
西嗎
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
南側眼牆好肥...
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-09-24T19:46
花蓮打棒球的都收工了XDDDDDDDDD
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2022-09-19T21:20
為何尾巴卷不進去颱風本體 馬眼美麗+1
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2022-09-24T19:46
西起乃
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
比起西還北...比較想看他強颱XD
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-09-24T19:46
北北北
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-09-19T21:20
基本上沒有能讓他偏西的力道,南海那顆也只會讓他
更北
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2022-09-24T19:46
也要看馬能不能吸收 流出輻散還要加強吧 看看隔壁
的柯幅散輻合都很驚人
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2022-09-19T21:20
好啦好啦 我們就慢慢看吼
又沒人說一定會西 倒是你一直說會北
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-09-24T19:46
駛流場不是往西嗎?
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-09-19T21:20
要是萬一真的強到他自己就偏西呢?
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2022-09-24T19:46
主方向還是西北啦
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-09-19T21:20
北北北我要回家
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-09-24T19:46
注意一下副高動態,有西伸現象引導小馬
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2022-09-19T21:20
北起來
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-09-24T19:46
為什麼颱風強就會更西呢?
EC預報中的強度都低於930還是偏北
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-09-19T21:20
最喜歡看ben大獨戰群雄,支持!
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-24T19:46
ben大就是迷人的反派腳色
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2022-09-19T21:20
已經很偏西啦
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
高壓:覺得好玩伸縮伸縮
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2022-09-19T21:20
06Z低於930百帕了?
那真是太好了
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-09-24T19:46
這種導引不夠穩定的颱風,突然ㄧ段偏西,或突然一段
偏北,都常發生,對我們的影響就差異很大,這種短
時間偏移,數值常無法提前反應
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-19T21:20
「此颱風未仍有增強之趨勢」,少一個「來」字
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-09-24T19:46
沒有明顯高壓 大家互相伸縮擠壓囉
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我剛剛也在想 未仍有增強之趨勢 是什麼意思XD
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2022-09-24T19:46
隨時詐糊\
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-09-19T21:20
目前高層還是有偏西的駛流,也不一定就會往北。另外
,ben大也請你自己注意一下你的語氣,過度肯定或否
定的用詞已經好幾次引發板眾的爭吵,增加我們板主群
管理的困擾
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2022-09-24T19:46
是啊,06Z報到92X
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
中心気圧940hPa 令和元年08月07日21時45分 発表
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
我記得去年瑪莉亞ben大也是獨戰群雄XDD
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-09-19T21:20
Cccccc
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
中心気圧935hPa <08日21時の予報> 會突破925hPa嗎
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-09-19T21:20
推ben大!偏北派加油!
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-09-24T19:46
原來ben大也有不少隱藏支持者(握手)
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
ben大就完全相信數值派,幾年來就這樣,習慣他這樣
就好啦
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2022-09-24T19:46
我偏左
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我偏頭痛.........
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-09-24T19:46
ben大說的也不是沒所理啊
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-09-19T21:20
那就有參考性了,等待凌晨兩點半CWB升強颱
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2022-09-24T19:46
在這邊喊...也不能把颱風喊得比較西還北阿..
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-19T21:20
靠念力哈哈
ccccc
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2022-09-24T19:46
就是因為這樣,所以才更希望利奇馬偏西打TWRF的臉
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2022-09-19T21:20
是啊,完全相信數值也是種有所本
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2022-09-24T19:46
ben怎麼了,家裡務農嗎
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-09-19T21:20
疑 我去年瑪利亞也是偏北派的xd
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-09-24T19:46
大家都能拿出自己的佐證出來討論,也不是壞事
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-09-19T21:20
跟務農無關吧,有些人就不希望颱風來
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-24T19:46
他是數值派+口氣比較直接 沒惡意啦
George avatar
By George
at 2022-09-19T21:20
當然不希望颱風進來...
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-09-24T19:46
各有數據資料支持都好,不要像力場派連根據都沒有
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-19T21:20
這狀況明天一早不知道會不會發陸警...
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-24T19:46
如果用acg圈子的話 我覺得ben大是扭曲的風迷XD
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
明天的現在才935...而且又偏北 唉
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2022-09-24T19:46
過去二三年,我也曾是被嗆的偏北派,不過這次,我認
為稍偏西的機會大一些
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2022-09-19T21:20
新手請問 中心氣壓是看海拔多少?
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-24T19:46
好久沒900了
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-19T21:20
奇怪了,換個人講一樣的話還不檢舉到爆
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
西起來啊
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-19T21:20
他只是數據派+肯定口氣拉..跟希不希望來無關吧
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2022-09-24T19:46
照這方向走 北台灣一定發陸警 類似昌鴻馬莎都有發了
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-19T21:20
就是海平面氣壓
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-09-24T19:46
我是有偏西就發言,沒偏西就沉默派,看到我id代表
有偏西的可能xdd
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-09-19T21:20
上帝:開個西給他
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-24T19:46
現在比較期待明天石垣島西表島的實測
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-09-19T21:20
但影響三個應該會不太一樣 利奇馬西南面很猛
這種路警走法 我會比較參考2005瑪莎的情況
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-24T19:46
ben大和v大我都很尊敬 都是各有堅持的認真角色
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
記得v大泰利那時就是偏北派XD
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
蠻想看ben108472被打臉
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-19T21:20
+1
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-09-24T19:46
如果今年有颱風在南海往台灣,或是從西部北上
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-09-19T21:20
到底下一把是摸到西還是北呢?
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-09-24T19:46
ben兩三年忘了哪個颱風曾大敗過啊 但那又如何?
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-09-19T21:20
颱風季大氣版的日常~
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-09-24T19:46
偏起來
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-19T21:20
那偏北派的也可以同樣標準
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-09-24T19:46
2017泰利gfs被打臉的很慘 ...xd
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-09-19T21:20
ben大自始堅持到底贏的時候 登陸派的臉有被打熱嗎?
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-09-24T19:46
讓我們回到颱風本身吧XD
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-09-19T21:20
偏起來
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
各家數據都被打臉過了......有什麼大不了
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-19T21:20
數值內部也是這樣 一個北 一個南 多交流是好事
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
坐等石垣島實測+1
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-19T21:20
CWB預測 08月08日20時中心氣壓929 是打錯吧XDDDDD
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-09-24T19:46
我也一直在看05瑪莎對台灣影響 就風力來說表現一般
台北28m/s而已 但雨量很驚人 這種類西北颱的 尖石
鄉都滿慘 韋帕也是
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-09-19T21:20
馬哥現在挺像去年的康妮子
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-24T19:46
這裡哪有輸贏,颱風就是個難測又有趣的東西,大家
分析學習,又參雜很多猜測
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-09-19T21:20
瑪莎離狠遠還有10級風已經難得了 重點是雨量
昌鴻雨量倒是還好
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-09-24T19:46
話說它的強度也超出預期太多
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-09-19T21:20
跟ben大學習很多+1
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
觀察、討論颱風動態是有趣的地方(前提是不要爭執)
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2022-09-19T21:20
馬莎強度巔峰40/50 吹出這樣蠻屌的了
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
W環又完成了
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-09-19T21:20
強度到今晚已經很驚奇了XDD..在衝一波看看
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-24T19:46
台中炸裂
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2022-09-19T21:20
馬莎的風場也是很廣
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
瑪莎也是季風低壓類型颱風 範圍也很大半徑250km
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2022-09-19T21:20
想看颱風最保守的預估看ben網友就知道XD
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2022-09-24T19:46
真的很多圖資都是從ben大那問來的XDD
https://i.imgur.com/KrRf3Ks.gif
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-19T21:20
西北颱路徑的苦主都是雪山山脈西側啊
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-09-24T19:46
其實颱風外圍雲系已經在影響北部了 一波接著伊波
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-19T21:20
其實過去許多預測西北颱最後都北偏的還真不少XD
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-24T19:46
西部這次應該很有Fu
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-19T21:20
這種路徑桃竹苗山區都要很小心
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-24T19:46
昌鴻距離那麼遠 新竹山區日雨量還是有400mm
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-09-19T21:20
利奇馬環流真的廣,已經掃到中部來了@@
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-09-24T19:46
看有沒有機會衝強颱,那就真的大驚奇了
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-09-19T21:20
96W不妙了 https://i.imgur.com/kwbMVp3.gif
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2022-09-24T19:46
準備被吸收吧
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-09-19T21:20
一開始預測巔峰強度還不太看好
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-24T19:46
更不用說標準西北颱的艾利颱風 苗栗山區總雨量1600m
1600mm
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-19T21:20
這渦度好扁長XD
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2022-09-24T19:46
台中炸裂
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-09-19T21:20
西部喔……彰化大概不算吧,除非像酋長那種
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-09-24T19:46
臺中還打雷
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-19T21:20
96W被吸收那會偏北還是偏西?
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-24T19:46
偏西吧
台中雷好大聲
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-09-19T21:20
如果照CWB預測7級半徑給到250彰化也差不多了吧
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-09-24T19:46
彰化 要有感的颱風 少之又少
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-09-19T21:20
現在跟數值差最多的是強度對吧?現在應該是看增強後
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-09-24T19:46
會對颱風路徑有什麼變化???
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2022-09-19T21:20
https://i.imgur.com/x7FBfPW.jpg窩度圖聯想到這張
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-09-24T19:46
彰化要有感 30年前的韋恩直接起飛
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2022-09-19T21:20
https://i.imgur.com/RlZ6tNa.png
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2022-09-24T19:46
96W渦度已經跟利奇馬造成的背風渦度結合了
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-19T21:20
CMG環也有機會了,這真是太棒了
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2022-09-24T19:46
台中豐原剛剛雷聲超大
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
不用提艾利阿 瑪莎就讓 台中稍來累積破1300毫米了
新竹尖石也有超過1200毫米的地方
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2022-09-24T19:46
利奇馬尾巴也不小啊~~
https://i.imgur.com/jVhh1Qu.png
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
西碰 北胡了
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-09-24T19:46
莫蘭蒂強度登陸彰化保證有感
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-19T21:20
CMG加WMG=DT7.5
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-09-24T19:46
但是再看看旁邊的柯羅莎哈哈更長
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-09-19T21:20
兩個大胖子..擋我視線XD
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-24T19:46
今天剛好七夕呢
馬哥與莎妹
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-19T21:20
台北下雨了
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-09-24T19:46
但南側算不算BF呢?
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-09-19T21:20
土城突然一陣大雨
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-09-24T19:46
這要怎麼南插
超擠的
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
吸起來
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2022-09-24T19:46
等晚一點的探空
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2022-09-19T21:20
BF加起來
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2022-09-24T19:46
近年彰化最有感就15年的蘇迪勒 我家停電49小時
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-09-19T21:20
CMG環相當不錯了 等眼睛了
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
嘻嘻嘻
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2022-09-19T21:20
酋長全台有感
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
馬哥+莎妹 不就馬莎xd 彰化梅姬更有感吧
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-19T21:20
色調強化看起來好兇猛,是不是真的有機會成強颱o.o?
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2022-09-24T19:46
https://i.imgur.com/TveA0oI.png
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-09-19T21:20
看風眼型態現在強度應該有中度上限了
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-09-24T19:46
眼睛目前不夠好,空有CMG環也沒用
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-09-19T21:20
這圖不知道為甚麼讓我想到某顆橘子
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-24T19:46
看到前面的推文 不禁反思自己是算是那一派...
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
下報有沒有機會45 或48呢
Una avatar
By Una
at 2022-09-24T19:46
現在的強度應該超過預期了? 原本似乎沒預測這麼猛
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2022-09-19T21:20
20-22時衛星雲圖比較,中心移動是不是比較偏西?
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-09-24T19:46
眼睛要夠好的話要接上急流
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2022-09-19T21:20
梅姬很有感,台中風速還刷到站史第3
台中2/3家戶停電,花了好幾天才全面復電
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-24T19:46
小馬過去增強得非常快 可以說是可見光出眼後
強度是直接飆升 這一點無論數值 機構都沒有料到
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
看看前幾天的55kt封頂 XD
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-09-24T19:46
不知道利其馬的風場會不會讓中部提早起風
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-19T21:20
但輻散增強的同時CMG環也會先破
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
現在一下偏西一下偏北正常現象
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-19T21:20
就連強度預測最極端的HWRF也沒有
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-09-24T19:46
數值和機構對爆發增強都是無力的
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2022-09-19T21:20
颱風中心西南方那一塊雲系,好像也是愈來愈強
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-09-24T19:46
我認為今晚八點 明早八點的數值會有反應
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-09-19T21:20
96w真的被吸了,這西南尾應該會讓馬往西邊甩一點
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
白天cmg自然會斷的 開能不能維持W環就好
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2022-09-19T21:20
先求有漂亮的WMG眼+B環,達Cat.4強颱再說
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-24T19:46
至於怎麼修 不好說 就我個人觀點 西向量會多一點
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-09-19T21:20
梅姬真的扯,讓梧棲刷出17級風,還讓臺中放了兩天假
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-09-24T19:46
西南方那塊當利奇馬往西北走到宜蘭近海 可能跟著
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2022-09-19T21:20
考量到強度 96W 與南側雲系三者的互動
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-24T19:46
移進來北台灣了 那塊要特別小心
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2022-09-19T21:20
臺中目前雷聲大作
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-09-24T19:46
突然目前的衛星雲圖 科羅莎那樣子讓我想起2004婷婷
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2022-09-19T21:20
但不是説96w會讓馬北偏?還是被吸收情況就不同了
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-09-24T19:46
非常巨大的雲系xd 然後西南方有一個較小的中颱
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-09-19T21:20
台中北屯炸了一陣子
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2022-09-24T19:46
96W變成利奇馬的水貨供應商了= =
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-09-19T21:20
敏督利 算是我體驗的第一個颱風吧
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
https://i.imgur.com/QibVuvv.gif
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-09-19T21:20
是說有渦度在那就會影響到利奇馬吧
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-09-24T19:46
敏督利台中39.9
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-09-19T21:20
小隻馬 偏北走 不足為懼 路過 就讓他借過吧
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-09-24T19:46
ADT的藍點是預測內插位置 紅點為定位
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
對,只要有渦度就可以有影響
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2022-09-24T19:46
前天就說吃高壓西伸的會北調了還在期待啥子?
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-09-19T21:20
好厚實的南側
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
記得那年初期有大颱吃小颱的案子
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-09-19T21:20
彰化最近有感的只有蘇迪勒沒錯
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2022-09-24T19:46
https://i.imgur.com/HSJNL7v.jpg
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-09-19T21:20
如果是風眼結構調整的造成的階梯式走法 那現在是在
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2022-09-24T19:46
偏西的時段
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
南側風場真大
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
先觀察吸收96w是否會偏西
以及駛流場變化
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2022-09-19T21:20
彰化現在也是狂打雷
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-09-24T19:46
2210有點西南掉
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我揉了一下眼睛,利奇馬現在這麼圓了?
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-09-24T19:46
最期待的還是KMA的探空11點後揭曉
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2022-09-19T21:20
往西南掉,有可能是要眼牆換置的可能
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-24T19:46
題外話 CWB也有人會上PTT大氣嗎?
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-19T21:20
快把96W+背風渦度抓來當養分吧 吸收吸收
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2022-09-24T19:46
一定有吧 只是是私人來逛還是因公需要差別
James avatar
By James
at 2022-09-19T21:20
有阿 記得有常駐板有
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-24T19:46
如真置換,風場將更為擴大
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2022-09-19T21:20
蘇式兄妹 嘉義最有感 蘇迪勒G12 蘇力G11
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-09-24T19:46
這裡一直都有CWB從業人員潛水啊
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2022-09-19T21:20
置換也不錯 外眼牆夠大的話北部有機會吃到
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2022-09-24T19:46
痕大啊
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-19T21:20
有,而且不少。只是礙於身份他們通常都很少發言
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
那兩個蘇應該是兄弟 都是酋長xd
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2022-09-19T21:20
雲圖看起來往西南沒錯
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-09-24T19:46
南側懸臂風力...
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
高層眼這一兩小時有點糊掉 感覺真的可能要置換
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
彰化市悶雷中.....,颱風有感。
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-09-19T21:20
為什麼往西南掉可能是風眼置換?
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2022-09-24T19:46
因為內眼牆會在外眼裡面繞
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-09-19T21:20
https://i.imgur.com/R29OZCl.jpg
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-09-24T19:46
西南掉無誤
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
通通西起來
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2022-09-24T19:46
原來如此
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2022-09-19T21:20
「利奇馬」由越南提供,是樹名,其果實祇有一顆種子
,果肉呈黃色,看來像一個蛋黃
「利奇馬」原來是一種樹
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2022-09-24T19:46
彰化快下雨吧 好熱
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-09-19T21:20
Gee gee gee gee, be be be be be be
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-24T19:46
我都稱利奇馬 是大樹 xd
對阿 利奇馬一直是大樹阿
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-09-19T21:20
西起來
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-09-24T19:46
路徑感覺越來越有意思了
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-09-19T21:20
風眼置換會不會讓路徑又出現變數?
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-09-24T19:46
應該不會
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
到了這強度雙眼終究還是出現了
George avatar
By George
at 2022-09-24T19:46
結果小孩明天要去泰雅渡假村2天1夜。到底會變成
1天還是3天2夜呢..讓我繼續看下去
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-09-19T21:20
利奇馬的果實是不是叫酪梨啊
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2022-09-24T19:46
這西南掉應該是因為置換 通常會類似轉一圈 所以等等
北跳一點也是有可能的
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-09-19T21:20
乾脆叫Richman好惹
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-09-24T19:46
John CEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEna
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-19T21:20
偏遠一點,我要吃柚子
David avatar
By David
at 2022-09-24T19:46
之後一段時間會看到颱風眼忽南忽北,請各位不要緊張
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-09-19T21:20
真的西到登陸我就在總統府前面表演肛門夾斷甘蔗
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2022-09-24T19:46
西起來啊~
https://i.imgur.com/hZDGn44.jpg
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-19T21:20
燈 燈 燈燈
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-24T19:46
XDD
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-09-19T21:20
因為內外眼牆都具有相對較大渦度 兩者之前的moat區
域相對渦度小 因此理論上存在渦度梯度造成的不穩定
和波動 自然可能有互繞情形
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-24T19:46
沙其馬
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2022-09-19T21:20
西起來~~~~!!!
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-09-24T19:46
琪瑪不是其馬
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-09-19T21:20
秒備份餒
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
眼溫跌 可能真的要換眼了
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-09-19T21:20
有祭品文喔,那西給你看喔
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2022-09-24T19:46
為了總統府前的表演只好推C了
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2022-09-19T21:20
通通西起來 幫夾斷
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-09-24T19:46
沙其馬太甜
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-09-19T21:20
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-09-24T19:46
祭品文都出來了
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-09-19T21:20
想看夾斷嘻嘻
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-24T19:46
處理祭品文 本文暫時鎖定
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2022-09-19T21:20
原來利奇馬的果實叫做蛋黃果
http://tinyurl.com/y2z59n7p
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2022-09-24T19:46
搞得這裡變得像祈願區
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-09-19T21:20
看起來很好吃...
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-24T19:46
爛颱風八成會轉向跑掉,哀.....
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-09-19T21:20
Y復活了
Ya復活
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-09-24T19:46
XDDD KERORO 桶起來
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
XDDDDDDDDD
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2022-09-24T19:46
JTWC上看130KTS !!!!
https://i.imgur.com/bJWwMxT.gif
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-09-19T21:20
馬上桶耶XD
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-24T19:46
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2022-09-19T21:20
立馬桶XDD
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-24T19:46
130/160好猛........這上強颱了吧
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-09-19T21:20
XD
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-09-24T19:46
有種就變貓5阿
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2022-09-19T21:20
看來真有可能變強烈颱風了
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-09-24T19:46
所以以後也可以叫利奇馬叫做蛋黃果
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我也想看夾斷甘蔗
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2022-09-24T19:46
130換成CWB大概就51 強颱
不過大J這樣預測 外加換眼 覺得不會到了XD
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-09-19T21:20
140就可貓5了 看它換置的如何
這換置的成功率高嗎
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2022-09-24T19:46
台北下大雨
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我看雲圖,覺得眼變小,是眼牆要置換的跡象?
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2022-09-24T19:46
當初才預測到中颱43 45m/s左右強度
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-19T21:20
華麗變身耶 季風低壓出身 難得整理的不錯!
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2022-09-24T19:46
蛋黃果聽起來可愛多了(喂
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2022-09-19T21:20
很高
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
貓5貓起來 貓派的站出來
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我上班不要下雨就好
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2022-09-24T19:46
感覺離台灣沒很近
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2022-09-19T21:20
不知道下一報路徑會怎調
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2022-09-24T19:46
媽的給我走快一點
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-19T21:20
看看小眼如果換置成功後眼睛能多大
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-24T19:46
就算中心沒登陸,那馬尾似乎也不是好惹的
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-09-19T21:20
置換後路徑會有什麼變化嗎
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-24T19:46
貓5來一個
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2022-09-19T21:20
繼續西起來
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-09-24T19:46
季低貓五衝出來
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-19T21:20
等底層掃描吧
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-09-24T19:46
可惜它現在北側流出還是不夠好
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2022-09-19T21:20
強度飆昇對路徑有什麼影響
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
原本以為鶴的強度能超越蛋黃果,結果贏家出乎意料
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-09-19T21:20
還是都在預測正常範圍內
Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2022-09-24T19:46
不要進來
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-09-19T21:20
北側有高壓擋著吧
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-09-24T19:46
ADT也顯示西南分量
應該是要置換前波動
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2022-09-19T21:20
鶴目前應該就是長胖然後繼續撐住
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-09-24T19:46
JTWC給的風圈有夠廣,尤其是通過台灣附近時
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-09-19T21:20
不少數值對強度的預測一般都是趨於保守
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2022-09-24T19:46
強度超乎數值預期 當然路徑應該也會隨之調整
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2022-09-19T21:20
祭品文推!說話要算話唷
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2022-09-24T19:46
貓咪西起來
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
季低變貓五有前例嗎?
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-24T19:46
但老j不斷上調巔峰強度但路徑沒比較西反而偏北
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
比預期強 應該會比預測更近台灣了?
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2022-09-24T19:46
是因為強度超乎預期,高壓不斷被往北頂
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2022-09-19T21:20
比預期西吧....祭品加油
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2022-09-24T19:46
快把96w吸起來
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2022-09-19T21:20
所以老J路徑才偏北嗎
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-09-24T19:46
等等,台灣附近還是大暖池對吧
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-09-19T21:20
會放假嗎
雨好大
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2022-09-24T19:46
po主有po海焓圖啊,看起來還是暖池
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-19T21:20
西西西西起來
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
想放假不會自己放假嗎
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-09-19T21:20
大J 10級風爆圈超大
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-09-24T19:46
但前面有人有提到強度越強越偏西 我也以為是越偏北
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2022-09-19T21:20
西西 快來吧~~
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2022-09-24T19:46
看雲圖中心有點糊掉且晃動 應該是眼牆要置換了
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2022-09-19T21:20
越強越西是駛流場導引
吸收96w不知道會不會西偏一陣子
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-24T19:46
CC來吧
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-09-19T21:20
強度越強越偏西情況是指高壓成功西伸情況下吧
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2022-09-24T19:46
強會頂高壓 偏北正常
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-09-19T21:20
下去西
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2022-09-24T19:46
先看晚點12Z的數值會不會因為強度爆發而調整路徑
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2022-09-19T21:20
會放假除了要看他的路經發展之外,還要加上一些政治
考量
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2022-09-24T19:46
http://imgur.com/gallery/c5HuyHL
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2022-09-19T21:20
樓上可以桶了吧
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2022-09-24T19:46
在那種情況下,越強=雲頂溫度越低,就會受到高層駛
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2022-09-19T21:20
強度強看得駛流場高度會比較高
Genevieve avatar
By Genevieve
at 2022-09-24T19:46
23點時,對岸CMA抓的位置是北緯21.7東經126.6
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2022-09-19T21:20
政治考量是真的嗎
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-24T19:46
流場往西導引,這是我看之前版友的解釋
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2022-09-19T21:20
目前ADT定位 21.6 N 126.6E
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-09-24T19:46
https://i.imgur.com/IoQj2FT.gif
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我說的是圖的樓上
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-24T19:46
西南掉了大概0.16N
等等轉完應該會北拉一段
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-09-19T21:20
南側風場,夠廣但算得上是悍嗎
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2022-09-24T19:46
政治考量是哪招
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-19T21:20
結合上一報 +0.7N -0.7E 那就是幾乎正西北
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2022-09-24T19:46
短暫西南掉是風眼調整吧
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-19T21:20
sb大的上一報是?
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-09-24T19:46
chluke 可以桶了吧
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-19T21:20
SATCON: MSLP = 933 hPa MSW = 114 knots
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-24T19:46
就是第一報+第二報這六小時啦~
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2022-09-19T21:20
6.2 / 928.4mb/119.8kt 老J預計巔峰130kt
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
第三報快開張了
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2022-09-19T21:20
20時(21.7,127)
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2022-09-24T19:46
接近Cat.4上限 CWB的強颱下限
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-09-19T21:20
反而往南哦
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2022-09-24T19:46
希望可以登上強颱行列
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-19T21:20
季低變貓五第一例?
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2022-09-24T19:46
追殺一下96w
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2022-09-19T21:20
別拿氣候變化以外的東西來判斷放假標準好嗎
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-24T19:46
真的蠻出人意料,剛誕生,甚至到昨天
都沒很看好強度
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2022-09-19T21:20
情人節...西一下也很合理啊^^ 但好像要南西了
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
不是啊 前有溫妮 季低變Cat.5的例子還是有一些的
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-09-19T21:20
現在強度應該有45/55了
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-24T19:46
浣熊是季低嗎?
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2022-09-19T21:20
是要往西,還是吸水氣啦~
Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2022-09-24T19:46
老J想通了 130才是他們的風格
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-09-19T21:20
無爭議的貓五要到140KTS 看看能否達到
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2022-09-24T19:46
所以大名鼎鼎的溫妮也算?
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2022-09-19T21:20
T6.0/6.0/D1.5/12HRS
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2022-09-24T19:46
快11:30了希望CWB準時更新XDD
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2022-09-19T21:20
溫妮是啊 浣熊我沒留意 要問其他板友看看
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-24T19:46
等下至少調到45吧
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
北部近海,有貓五通過的紀錄嗎
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-24T19:46
當初是45封頂吧?沒想到已經快要站上強颱下限了
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2022-09-19T21:20
置換完眼睛會大不少
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2022-09-24T19:46
直接上48也是很開心
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2022-09-19T21:20
http://i.imgur.com/ek290Yu.jpg
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2022-09-24T19:46
看看溫妮大姊精美的西南尾...
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2022-09-19T21:20
利奇馬的西南尾比較壯觀吧
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-24T19:46
坐等第3報
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
利奇馬的西南尾因為輻散較不理想無法好好利用...
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2022-09-24T19:46
第三報卡住了
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2022-09-19T21:20
2016年的芙蓉颱風算是高緯度Cat.5強颱
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2022-09-24T19:46
只好拖著到處跑XD
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2022-09-19T21:20
柯羅莎的是不是比較良好啊,看雲圖都有羽狀雲出現
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2022-09-24T19:46
可能要等我一下,第三報討論串很快就會po了
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我覺得這次的CWB更新速度特慢 是以後的常態嗎 通常
未發警報前 潛勢預測+1.5小時會發布 這次都要兩小
警報後也是 通常會早一點 現在都很準時或延後
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-24T19:46
老闆開個48給他
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2022-09-19T21:20
就算數值真的到達強颱 氣象局會黑掉吧
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2022-09-24T19:46
給到45了y
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2022-09-19T21:20
第三報遲到了XD
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2022-09-24T19:46
第三報勒,敲碗
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-19T21:20
有了
21.8 126.7
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2022-09-24T19:46
有了
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我猜大概又是V8更新太慢?
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2022-09-24T19:46
西北西
給45而已
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-19T21:20
940百帕
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2022-09-24T19:46
是啊 柯羅莎的輻散比較好 KMA探空出爐了沒?
William avatar
By William
at 2022-09-19T21:20
印象中曾經看過板友討論颱風強度被黑的情況
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-24T19:46
給45
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我刷氣象局網站沒更新,是我的網速比較慢吧
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2022-09-24T19:46
仍有增強,暴風半徑有擴大趨勢
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2022-09-19T21:20
委靡的副高不知道如何
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-09-24T19:46
好像是舊版會先更新 新版慢一點
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2022-09-19T21:20
手機還沒更新
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2022-09-24T19:46
這種篤定影響台灣的CWB沒事黑強度做什麼
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2022-09-19T21:20
V7才好用 V8根本WINDOWS 10.........
等KMA高壓
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2022-09-24T19:46
12Z探空出來了
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2022-09-19T21:20
強度黑 定位黑 暴風圈黑 梅姬:
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2022-09-24T19:46
C起來 我想看夾甘蔗XDDDDD
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2022-09-19T21:20
我還是比較喜歡V7的網頁排版...
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2022-09-24T19:46
CWB依然覺得北分量會比較多@@
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2022-09-19T21:20
請繼續西起來
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2022-09-24T19:46
只要在在誤差範圍內,之後要怎麼畫路徑都行
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-19T21:20
那個眼確實在繞圈
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2022-09-24T19:46
https://i.imgur.com/s855t7v.png
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2022-09-19T21:20
應該是不管影不影響氣象局都不該黑吧(理論上
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2022-09-24T19:46
嗯...先替96w默哀一下?
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2022-09-19T21:20
梅姬表示:我被黑半圈都沒有拿回來啊(氣
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2022-09-24T19:46
眼牆置換進行中,原本的眼愈來愈小了
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2022-09-19T21:20
理論歸理論,氣象局也有實際的考量
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2022-09-24T19:46
https://i.imgur.com/2HjIb9r.png
Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2022-09-19T21:20
還 蠻 屌 的 屌 爆
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2022-09-24T19:46
意思就是氣象局會考慮“現實”黑強度 無視數據就是

利奇馬颱風 海上颱風警報 第1報(更正)

Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2019-08-07T18:24
【入板懶人包】#1PjhNDhC (TY_Research) 【停班停課】https://www.dgpa.gov.tw/ 【航班異動】松 山:https://reurl.cc/32W29       桃 園:https://reurl.cc/aWg3l       清泉崗:https://reurl.cc/ ...

利奇馬颱風 海上颱風警報 第1報

Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2019-08-07T17:25
【入板懶人包】#1PjhNDhC (TY_Research) 【停班停課】https://www.dgpa.gov.tw/ 【航班異動】松 山:https://reurl.cc/32W29       桃 園:https://reurl.cc/aWg3l       清泉崗:https://reurl.cc/ ...

天氣小觀:緊盯利奇馬颱風Day3

Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2019-08-07T17:10
天氣小觀:緊盯利奇馬颱風Day3 受到南海低壓擾動發展,意外的讓利奇馬颱風偏北移動, 不過接下來南海低壓擾動因利奇馬颱風西南尾的強風軸風切被消散, 少了南海低壓擾動的因素, 就剩下季風環流與地形互動,以及太平洋高壓駛流導引問題了。 模式預報因過去一段利奇馬颱風的偏北紛紛往北調整利奇馬的侵台路徑, 目前看來 ...

利奇馬轉中颱逼台 氣象局估14:30發布海

Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2019-08-07T11:19
(一)新聞標題 利奇馬轉中颱逼台 氣象局估14:30發布海上颱風警報 (二)新聞內容 記者蕭玗欣/台北報導 2019-08-07 09:34 第9號颱風利奇馬已在上午8時增強為中度颱風,中央氣象局最新預報指出,利奇馬路徑將 往東修正,預計下午 2點30分發布海上颱風警報機率最高,颱風中心未來將通過東北 ...

利奇馬颱風路徑討論

Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2019-08-07T09:42
資料出處: http://web.kma.go.kr/eng/weather/images/analysischart.jsp 201908062000(台灣時間) https://i.imgur.com/oaQeVhn.png 201908070800(台灣時間) https://i.imgur.co ...