南卡動態~09/06/25 - 颱風討論

By Hedda
at 2009-06-25T22:37

Table of Contents

今天一天南卡的動態大致如預期

逐漸在高壓邊緣偏南氣流引導下由西北轉北北西移動

速度也明顯加快了起來~快速朝東沙島海域前進

不過速度實在有點太快了~加上原本就不是很好的環境風切干擾

結構並沒有整理起來~LLCC到下午甚至外露而自行北上

南側的對流無法跟上LLCC的移動速度

雖然水氣供應明顯~東北側也有TUTT存在~可是它的強度就是無法增強

未來如果還是這樣的情況~強度要加強就比較困難了

除非速度能夠比較放慢下來~結構才有機會重整

至於未來的動態方面目前已經有了比較明確的可能性

高壓邊緣仍在台灣附近沒錯~今天台灣上空有明顯雷雨發展顯示高壓邊緣就在這邊

但是在台灣以南巴士海峽的位置高壓邊緣有稍微向西凸出一點

使得明天白天颱風來到東沙島一帶後如果速度還是沒放慢~

很可能就一路偏北到北北西撞向汕頭附近沿海或是福建南部沿海

如果速度出現放慢~代表高壓邊緣稍有後退~則颱風路線仍有出現偏轉的機會

關鍵點跟先前提的其實仍是差不多~

只是以晚間的資料來看~走向前者的機會要大一些

對台灣的影響應該也可能會比較小~

不過還是要嚴密觀察明天白天颱風在東沙島海域的變動性

所謂失之毫釐差之千里~在還沒能百分之百確定前仍請大家多加留意~

--

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

By Edward Lewis
at 2009-06-29T06:58

推

By James
at 2009-07-02T15:20

推颱風應該影響不會那麼大了吧^_^

By Frederic
at 2009-07-05T23:41

推

By Tristan Cohan
at 2009-07-09T08:03

推晚報~

By Eden
at 2009-07-12T16:25

推

By John
at 2009-07-16T00:46

生日還寫晚報，真是感動...

By Harry
at 2009-07-19T09:08

生日一個人過~只好多看颱風囉~XD 感謝大家的祝福!!

By Xanthe
at 2009-07-22T17:29

推!!

By Harry
at 2009-07-26T01:51

推生日晚報~揪甘心~

By Andy
at 2009-07-29T10:13

推晚報

By Olive
at 2009-08-01T18:34

推

By Emily
at 2009-08-05T02:56

卡大...就甘心ㄟ!!!

By Bethany
at 2009-08-08T11:17

第一天來這個版!受益良多!推推推~

By Ula
at 2009-08-11T19:39

推~希望沒有太大影響

By Joe
at 2009-08-15T04:00

推卡大，及生日快樂

By Daniel
at 2009-08-18T12:22

卡大不是一個人啊~我們都在大氣科學版陪你呦XD

By Caitlin
at 2009-08-21T20:44

推

By Isla
at 2009-08-25T05:05

推推y

By Elma
at 2009-08-28T13:27

卡大~要我陪你過生日嗎((羞))

By Tracy
at 2009-08-31T21:48

$$鄉民永遠陪在你身旁大氣科學版$$ (警廣台呼) (誤

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2009-09-04T06:10

害我想去學大氣科學了XDD

By Sarah
at 2009-09-07T14:32

我ㄧ開始賭華南這個颱風真的跟風神很像路經不太一
樣罷了

By Suhail Hany
at 2009-09-10T22:53

推專業的卡大生日快樂喔!!

By Rebecca
at 2009-09-14T07:15

推

By Audriana
at 2009-09-17T15:36

推

By Delia
at 2009-09-20T23:58

天意難測多注意點好~~ 卡大生日快樂!

By Bethany
at 2009-09-24T08:19

推～西南尾會跟不上來然後跑來台灣玩嗎？

By Zora
at 2009-09-27T16:41

推

By Daph Bay
at 2009-10-01T01:03

菲律賓東邊海面好像有雲塊出現了

By Liam
at 2009-10-04T09:24

生日快樂阿

By Una
at 2009-10-07T17:46

推　祝卡大～生日快樂！：)

By Anthony
at 2009-10-11T02:07

推! 要去大陸了~不過應該還是會有西南氣流吧..

By Rae
at 2009-10-14T10:29

南卡似乎快散掉了減弱了出乎意料~

By Andrew
at 2009-10-17T18:51

卡大生日快樂^^

By Ivy
at 2009-10-21T03:12

最近幾小時中心附近是不是強對流爆發還有重整機會?

By Freda
at 2009-10-24T11:34

那個不是中心吧? LLCC早跑遠了~ XD

By Hedwig
at 2009-10-27T19:55

南海的風切太強了...

By Kelly
at 2009-10-31T04:17

有北卡嗎?XD

By Hedy
at 2009-11-03T12:38

堆

By Bennie
at 2009-11-06T21:00

推

By John
at 2009-11-10T05:22

推!!

By Kyle
at 2009-11-13T13:43

似乎慢慢整合起來了.......XD

By Erin
at 2009-11-16T22:05

卡神 ...

By Selena
at 2009-11-20T06:26

減速了 (昨晚20時)29km/hr --> (今天02時)22km/hr

By Tracy
at 2009-11-23T14:48

變圓了要準備貼過來了嗎

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2009-11-26T23:10

不過看了一下他中心的定位....LLCC似乎還是在裸奔..

By Emma
at 2009-11-30T07:31

不太清楚等專業的來說XD

By Gilbert
at 2009-12-03T15:53

阿~南卡沒了~~

By Hedy
at 2009-12-07T00:14

推

By Agnes
at 2009-12-10T08:36

南卡掰～

By Tom
at 2009-12-13T16:57

南卡低層尖叫裸奔來人啊~ 誰快把他遮起來!!!ˋˊ

By Emily
at 2009-12-17T01:19

南卡上下分離囉!!他要減弱了嗎??

By Hedda
at 2009-12-20T09:41

剛看氣象局的預測圖H開始往右移了10km~會影響很大嗎?

By Carol
at 2009-12-23T18:02

你不要走...你不要走...壓很大...

By Quintina
at 2009-12-27T02:24

推

By Zenobia
at 2009-12-30T10:45

JMA已經直接判定明日執刑了，不過應該會更早才對XDD

By Lily
at 2010-01-02T19:07

南卡又是個雷聲大雨點小的颱風 XD 當初92W聲勢多大

By Dinah
at 2010-01-06T03:29

那明天台中下雨機率大嗎?

By Adele
at 2010-01-09T11:50

中心附近的對流再次爆發...

By Zenobia
at 2010-01-12T20:12

啥意思????

By Kama
at 2010-01-16T04:33

另外HKO已經發T1了大家可以去看每個小時的定位

By Yedda
at 2010-01-19T12:55

呵呵對流爆發但整合無力仍只是最後爭扎...

By Ivy
at 2010-01-22T21:16

HKO會不會修太多..........

By Ula
at 2010-01-26T05:38

CWB的.........

By John
at 2010-01-29T14:00

修完之後是走向哪邊壓???

By Irma
at 2010-02-01T22:21

走向香港以東至汕尾以西

南卡動態~09/06/25 - 颱風討論

All Comments

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