天氣諮詢專區 II - 颱風討論

By Isla
at 2013-09-18T23:01
at 2013-09-18T23:01
Table of Contents
雖然天兔過去一天移動的速度偏慢
但稍早已經開始移動了 目前變數比較大的會是它的移動速度
這邊電腦數值所跑出來的結果和氣象單位是有點不一致
會影響到影響台灣的時間點 先特別說明一下
以目前的預測 海上颱風警報估計會在明天傍晚到晚上這段時間發布
陸上颱風警報則會在後天週五白天這段期間
下面還是分台灣各區簡單說明一下情況:
恆春半島:此次颱風影響最嚴重的地區 五六日海上活動均不適合
週六所有活動均不適合
(影響最嚴重的時間仍視颱風速度而定 不過應該會是週六當天)
東半部地區(宜蘭花蓮台東):可能是此次颱風累積降雨最大的地區
豪大雨估計週五白天開始越來越顯著 一直持續到週六全天
週日雨勢可能緩和 (視颱風速度而定)
台東地區週六一整天也會有顯著強風
估計南迴線和東部幹線週五晚開始有機會停駛 週六停駛機會極高
台北桃園:約週五下半天(詳細時間視颱風速度)偏東風吹起後
風勢將顯著增強 一直持續到週六全天
就算颱風以稍遠距離通過 可能仍將有8~9級陣風
如果中心距離恆春相當近的話 不排除有10級左右強陣風
並夾雜陣雨 (雖然雨勢不至於太大)
竹苗:週五到週六白天(詳細結束時間視颱風速度)風力偏強 降雨不顯著
週六白天一旦轉東南風後 風明顯減緩 並可能有焚風出現
中部(台中--嘉義):全程背風 影響相當有限 (除海線地區週五風力略強)
週六可能會有小雨 颱風如以稍遠距離通過 台中彰化一帶將可能有焚風
中部山區的部分 越靠近花蓮的地方雨勢越明顯 降雨由東向西遞減
南部(南高屏):風雨變數最大的區域 (高雄屏東影響>台南)
週五此區影響不大 週六當颱風中心過恆春的經度後就得密切注意了!
一轉東南風風雨將顯著增強 但增強的程度視颱風距離而定
總結週六有安排活動的請慎重考慮 週五無影響
週日的情形視颱風速度而定 不過週日天氣可能不會太穩定
外島:蘭嶼綠島小琉球週五週六週日有活動的.... 請放棄吧.....
澎湖雨雖然不明顯 但畢竟都有警報....
金門馬祖影響應該有限 尤其馬祖 但還是會有些陣雨 (週六週日)
以上供大家參考
--
但稍早已經開始移動了 目前變數比較大的會是它的移動速度
這邊電腦數值所跑出來的結果和氣象單位是有點不一致
會影響到影響台灣的時間點 先特別說明一下
以目前的預測 海上颱風警報估計會在明天傍晚到晚上這段時間發布
陸上颱風警報則會在後天週五白天這段期間
下面還是分台灣各區簡單說明一下情況:
恆春半島:此次颱風影響最嚴重的地區 五六日海上活動均不適合
週六所有活動均不適合
(影響最嚴重的時間仍視颱風速度而定 不過應該會是週六當天)
東半部地區(宜蘭花蓮台東):可能是此次颱風累積降雨最大的地區
豪大雨估計週五白天開始越來越顯著 一直持續到週六全天
週日雨勢可能緩和 (視颱風速度而定)
台東地區週六一整天也會有顯著強風
估計南迴線和東部幹線週五晚開始有機會停駛 週六停駛機會極高
台北桃園:約週五下半天(詳細時間視颱風速度)偏東風吹起後
風勢將顯著增強 一直持續到週六全天
就算颱風以稍遠距離通過 可能仍將有8~9級陣風
如果中心距離恆春相當近的話 不排除有10級左右強陣風
並夾雜陣雨 (雖然雨勢不至於太大)
竹苗:週五到週六白天(詳細結束時間視颱風速度)風力偏強 降雨不顯著
週六白天一旦轉東南風後 風明顯減緩 並可能有焚風出現
中部(台中--嘉義):全程背風 影響相當有限 (除海線地區週五風力略強)
週六可能會有小雨 颱風如以稍遠距離通過 台中彰化一帶將可能有焚風
中部山區的部分 越靠近花蓮的地方雨勢越明顯 降雨由東向西遞減
南部(南高屏):風雨變數最大的區域 (高雄屏東影響>台南)
週五此區影響不大 週六當颱風中心過恆春的經度後就得密切注意了!
一轉東南風風雨將顯著增強 但增強的程度視颱風距離而定
總結週六有安排活動的請慎重考慮 週五無影響
週日的情形視颱風速度而定 不過週日天氣可能不會太穩定
外島:蘭嶼綠島小琉球週五週六週日有活動的.... 請放棄吧.....
澎湖雨雖然不明顯 但畢竟都有警報....
金門馬祖影響應該有限 尤其馬祖 但還是會有些陣雨 (週六週日)
以上供大家參考
--
Tags:
颱風
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