就在今夜，大酋長直攻注意~2015/08/07 - 颱風討論

By Erin
at 2015-08-07T15:34

Table of Contents

蘇迪勒颱風過去一段時間持續朝西北西移動，對準花蓮沿海而來，

移動的角度比預期的稍微北了一點，但是整體預估還是以趨向花蓮一帶的機會最高。

比較要注意的是當颱風中心靠近陸地時，

受到地形的影響，可能有稍微往南偏移的現象，

不過因為整體的引導氣流明顯而穩定，

因此即使稍微往南偏移，還是會穩定的翻過台灣地形，

應該不至於有較長時間停滯的現象。

http://i.imgur.com/XxQLNmL.jpg

颱風的結構雖然好轉許多，不過似乎距離強烈颱風的門檻還是差了一點，

依照現在颱風即將靠近陸地的距離來看，再發展的時間已經越來越短，

在登陸前回到強颱等級似乎機會已經不高。

颱風的暴風圈大概傍晚5點可以碰到陸地，

隨後颱風真正的強風豪雨就會開始發威，

颱風的中心則是預估在明天凌晨到清晨之間可能在花蓮沿海登陸，

明天上午進入台灣海峽後繼續往福建沿海移動，

暴風圈完全脫離台灣可能要等到明天入夜後。

登陸前風雨集中在北部、東北部、東部為主，

中心登陸穿越後，明天清晨起中南部風雨會明顯加大，

中心登陸期間在花東地區可能要注意是否出現焚風現象。

北東的風雨應該在明天下半天後會逐漸減小，

中南部的風雨則可能要等到入夜後才會趨緩，

因此明天88節一整天颱風的影響都很大，安排活動是非常不適合的。

http://i.imgur.com/5uFlAVs.jpg

http://i.imgur.com/wEB6NkD.jpg

http://i.imgur.com/K41xr09.jpg

http://i.imgur.com/3SqCTjL.jpg

http://i.imgur.com/UEgGWLS.jpg

再度提醒大家今晚下班後盡早回家，明天也盡量待在家中，以策安全。

簡單供參考，祝大家一切平安!!

--

Tags: 颱風

All Comments

By Daph Bay
at 2015-08-10T05:54

推

By Charlie
at 2015-08-12T20:13

推

By Queena
at 2015-08-15T10:33

推！

By Odelette
at 2015-08-18T00:52

http://i.imgur.com/jem6Y4d.png 宜蘭準備接招了

By Todd Johnson
at 2015-08-20T15:11

推！

By Queena
at 2015-08-23T05:31

推

By Olivia
at 2015-08-25T19:50

推

By Regina
at 2015-08-28T10:10

推

By Steve
at 2015-08-31T00:29

推

By Mia
at 2015-09-02T14:49

推

By Jacky
at 2015-09-05T05:08

推

By Dinah
at 2015-09-07T19:28

專業推

By Sandy
at 2015-09-10T09:47

推

By Freda
at 2015-09-13T00:07

推!

By Margaret
at 2015-09-15T14:26

推

By Wallis
at 2015-09-18T04:46

推

By Andy
at 2015-09-20T19:05

推

By Jake
at 2015-09-23T09:25

推

By Tristan Cohan
at 2015-09-25T23:44

出草上工囉~XD

By Elma
at 2015-09-28T14:03

推!

By Margaret
at 2015-10-01T04:23

前50推???

By Rebecca
at 2015-10-03T18:42

推

By Jacky
at 2015-10-06T09:02

推

By Sarah
at 2015-10-08T23:21

推

By Hardy
at 2015-10-11T13:41

狼煙己昇起.....

By Olivia
at 2015-10-14T04:00

推

By Ingrid
at 2015-10-16T18:20

推

By Bethany
at 2015-10-19T08:39

為了部落！

By Tristan Cohan
at 2015-10-21T22:59

推

By Audriana
at 2015-10-24T13:18

殺........可是沒放假

By Carol
at 2015-10-27T03:38

中央山脈：PK啦！

By Rae
at 2015-10-29T17:57

By Ida
at 2015-11-01T08:17

推

By Enid
at 2015-11-03T22:36

推

By Doris
at 2015-11-06T12:55

現在在客運上傍晚到宜蘭會很慘嗎怕無法騎車到民

By Eden
at 2015-11-09T03:15

宿...

By Andy
at 2015-11-11T17:34

推

By Kumar
at 2015-11-14T07:54

揪竟是出草的酋長勝利還是聳立的斬颱刀勝利

By Jake
at 2015-11-16T22:13

神山威武

By David
at 2015-11-19T12:33

直衝蘇花…

By Rachel
at 2015-11-22T02:52

推

By James
at 2015-11-24T17:12

在台北的話，明天中午的88節聚餐是否要取消？

By Daph Bay
at 2015-11-27T07:31

推

By Sarah
at 2015-11-29T21:51

出草囉 http://i.imgur.com/cTgY3Kr.png

By Lucy
at 2015-12-02T12:10

出草有它的定義在, 用這種詞很不恰當

By Olive
at 2015-12-05T02:30

樓上幫我說了

By Rosalind
at 2015-12-07T16:49

推!

By Agatha
at 2015-12-10T07:09

底層這麼雄厚

By Mason
at 2015-12-12T21:28

個人覺得比喊放假還糟糕

By Carolina Franco
at 2015-12-15T11:47

出草是要獵人頭的…

By Quanna
at 2015-12-18T02:07

不該用出草....

By Steve
at 2015-12-20T16:26

把出草改成取大家性命好了

By Barb Cronin
at 2015-12-23T06:46

文字的意含隨著時間可以進化，如GG的意義早就改變了
太拘泥一種意含，文字是沒有生命的

By Tracy
at 2015-12-25T21:05

推

By Callum
at 2015-12-28T11:25

JMA:85kt →90kt JTWC:105KTS →110KTS
看晚點有機會嗎?

By Hedwig
at 2015-12-31T01:44

將要攻擊就好

By Margaret
at 2016-01-02T16:04

改吃草好了

By William
at 2016-01-05T06:23

airua又要來帶風向了上次你的陳雷區還沒點完歌啊

By Kama
at 2016-01-07T20:43

酋長:為了部落!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

By Ina
at 2016-01-10T11:02

airua不是整天魔人魔人叫的嗎

By Emma
at 2016-01-13T01:22

卡大寫酋長出草一看就知是借用幽默還需要新警察喔?

By Heather
at 2016-01-15T15:41

輕鬆看待內文還是專業的啊

By Megan
at 2016-01-18T06:01

#1LmgdMfc 原po用登入被批, 卡大用出草就推

By Dorothy
at 2016-01-20T20:20

可以就事論是吧?

By Margaret
at 2016-01-23T10:39

JTWC給了110KTS 離強颱還是差了些還是趁早死了心XD

By Bethany
at 2016-01-26T00:59

出草可以改但一直勤勞魔人跟放假魔人也沒啥有趣

By Hamiltion
at 2016-01-28T15:18

論「是」是什麼？

By Olga
at 2016-01-31T05:38

用登入一直都會被批，這次才來喊冤也太lag

By Isabella
at 2016-02-02T19:57

airua: 大家太嚴肅了啦 (你在那篇的推文,還給你)

By Quintina
at 2016-02-05T10:17

推

By Harry
at 2016-02-08T00:36

推

By Anthony
at 2016-02-10T14:56

推

By Elvira
at 2016-02-13T05:15

老J提升到110KTS.不錯了啦比海棠強了

By Caroline
at 2016-02-15T19:35

改成出操好了。

By Belly
at 2016-02-18T09:54

海棠105KTS.CWB也是一值讓她維持在強颱

By Eartha
at 2016-02-21T00:14

110KTS不是接近強颱了嗎?

By Faithe
at 2016-02-23T14:33

因為是酋長名字,打趣的用出草兩字,請帶點幽默感好嗎

By Gilbert
at 2016-02-26T04:53

總之是個建議啦, 有些玩笑不該開過頭

By Elma
at 2016-02-28T19:12

@airua 你還是沒進入狀況，這是颱風學術研究版，不
是個版。你說的之前被噓的文章，除了錯字/無意義的

By Emma
at 2016-03-02T09:31

問題外主要是把此版將個版使用，希望回歸到學術研究
好嗎

By Michael
at 2016-03-04T23:51

推推

By Selena
at 2016-03-07T14:10

原來用出草形容颱風登陸叫做玩笑開過頭

By Hamiltion
at 2016-03-10T04:30

推

By Connor
at 2016-03-12T18:49

如果有"年度最無關緊要建議"大賽的話......

By Carolina Franco
at 2016-03-15T09:09

推

By Ethan
at 2016-03-17T23:28

若明後天有傷亡出現, 大概就不覺得好笑了

By Agnes
at 2016-03-20T13:48

在台北上班的注意一下外圈環流那圈暴雨大概5點左右
就會碰到了會下很久的雨

By Bethany
at 2016-03-23T04:07

颱風又不會因為文字的用法就人畜無害...

By Selena
at 2016-03-25T18:27

110kt在古早80年代大概會給57~58m/s風速吧

By Edith
at 2016-03-28T08:46

嘛如果卡大是用蜂蜜的身份下這個標題我可以接受
如果卡大是在用在正式預報的我就覺得不太好…

By Robert
at 2016-03-30T23:06

推

By John
at 2016-04-02T13:25

..........不然改"路過"?XD

By Sandy
at 2016-04-05T03:45

是沒錯, 但我不覺得出草這詞在傷亡出現後卡大還敢用

By Rae
at 2016-04-07T18:04

原來只是建議，那不要理就好

By Barb Cronin
at 2016-04-10T08:23

那請問現在傷亡出現了 ?

By Puput
at 2016-04-12T22:43

還有人要去宜蘭民宿？是去躲風躲雨的吧，明天也不

By Ivy
at 2016-04-15T13:02

能出去玩!

By Elma
at 2016-04-18T03:22

不過登入那個就是打錯字狀況不同不要相提並論比
較好

By Tom
at 2016-04-20T17:41

又傷亡.....

By Cara
at 2016-04-23T08:01

推

By Dorothy
at 2016-04-25T22:20

就是一個幽默淺顯易懂的方式提醒民眾要注意防颱
連這也要細究...

By Brianna
at 2016-04-28T12:40

很多陸團要去花蓮的都被留在宜蘭了

By Jacky
at 2016-05-01T02:59

打錯字當做無心之過好了,刻意用出草呢?

By Jacky
at 2016-05-03T17:19

我覺得出現傷亡也是現象的一部分，不覺得有問題~

By Queena
at 2016-05-06T07:38

若認真說起來,昨天花蓮就有傷亡的情況發生了啊

By Olivia
at 2016-05-08T21:58

諾曼第登入跟諾曼第登陸都幾？

By Isabella
at 2016-05-11T12:17

如果卡大在明後天有傷亡還用"出草結束"之類我就推

By Agnes
at 2016-05-14T02:37

拘泥於文字的用法真的很無聊

By Puput
at 2016-05-16T16:56

this is humor , you know?

By Madame
at 2016-05-19T07:15

要推不推沒差吧XD

By Frederica
at 2016-05-21T21:35

最古早出草是指獵鹿

By Sandy
at 2016-05-24T11:54

所以a大那個我沒有推什麼東西我覺得就是打錯字…

By Robert
at 2016-05-27T02:14

不用跟某人太認真呀，某人一直以來不都在大氣版琢磨

By Damian
at 2016-05-29T16:33

美洲酋長也有出草這個事情，不了解為何酋長不能用出

By Candice
at 2016-06-01T06:53

文字遊戲?

By Olive
at 2016-06-03T21:12

真是夠了...用酋長比對出草這詞..到底哪有問題

By Aaliyah
at 2016-06-06T11:32

草

By Andrew
at 2016-06-09T01:51

推

By William
at 2016-06-11T16:11

光推大家就推爆了....其實真的不缺你一個推....

By Daniel
at 2016-06-14T06:30

出草就…看用什麼角度解讀吧我覺得蜂蜜角度可接受

By Ingrid
at 2016-06-16T20:50

不用跟某人太認真呀+1

By Daph Bay
at 2016-06-19T11:09

輕鬆討論這樣但如果用在正式新聞媒體肯定又被罵 XD
這裡本來就是蜂蜜們討論的園地～

By Heather
at 2016-06-22T01:29

推

By Caitlin
at 2016-06-24T15:48

如果要認真的話就算卡大出草意義不好但

By Megan
at 2016-06-27T06:07

小心莫名其妙記者又抄去...跟泛舟一樣...本來就輕鬆
看待就好

By Puput
at 2016-06-29T20:27

你推不推不重要阿XD

By Caitlin
at 2016-07-02T10:46

出現傷亡才推嘖嘖這什麼心態

By Hedwig
at 2016-07-05T01:06

airua你講的很多推文又有哪一劇是認真的
句

By Rosalind
at 2016-07-07T15:25

推卡大

By Wallis
at 2016-07-10T05:45

回歸討論有沒有大酋長可能又出現50m/s的八卦 XD

By Emma
at 2016-07-12T20:04

我覺得酋長值得頂級中颱的頭銜吧？

By Kelly
at 2016-07-15T10:24

目前的酋長感覺更完整了

By Aaliyah
at 2016-07-18T00:43

中央山脈：我準備好了！來PK吧！

By Barb Cronin
at 2016-07-20T15:03

講句直白的要檢舉就檢舉我
出草文字好不好我絕對尊重但有人是否該想想

By Jessica
at 2016-07-23T05:22

純推卡大文章

By Harry
at 2016-07-25T19:42

講解很清楚

By Vanessa
at 2016-07-28T10:01

推!

By Yedda
at 2016-07-31T00:21

我覺得有可能,因為老J小升5kts,那小升2m/s真是匹配

By Una
at 2016-08-02T14:40

http://goo.gl/VG4wU8 圓滾滾

By Jacob
at 2016-08-05T04:59

推推

By Michael
at 2016-08-07T19:19

推卡大

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2016-08-10T09:38

為了本版的和氣，還是改標題比較好

By Tracy
at 2016-08-12T23:58

每次在颱風期間的推文是不是都是真心要討論的

By David
at 2016-08-15T14:17

推

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2016-08-18T04:37

推

By Anonymous
at 2016-08-20T18:56

50m/s 出現機會不高除非JMA有到100kts

By Sarah
at 2016-08-23T09:16

有點無聊，酋長不出草是要做啥，出山嗎?w

By Lily
at 2016-08-25T23:35

隨便去搜尋幾個爭議推文都還比登入登陸嚴重一堆

By Eden
at 2016-08-28T13:55

推卡大，真是辛苦了

By Edwina
at 2016-08-31T04:14

先入山再出山（誤）

By Ursula
at 2016-09-02T18:34

其實我是覺得颱風出草是正常現象啦...

By Kumar
at 2016-09-05T08:53

推卡大還去注意無聊人的說法

By Callum
at 2016-09-07T23:13

果然卡大說北東明天下半天風雨就會小了

By Catherine
at 2016-09-10T13:32

關鍵在明天服務業的關鍵

By Heather
at 2016-09-13T03:51

怎麼還有那個心幫別人打抱不平....

By Barb Cronin
at 2016-09-15T18:11

直攻斬颱刀

By William
at 2016-09-18T08:30

提醒有人要出草了，不就是要大家注意安全嗎?w

By Brianna
at 2016-09-20T22:50

改成直搗花(蓮)心好了 (誤

By Wallis
at 2016-09-23T13:09

不然用大酋長斷腰中會比較好嗎

By Caroline
at 2016-09-26T03:29

為了一個詞吵成這樣還是平時的大氣版比較平靜

By David
at 2016-09-28T17:48

桃園我覺得頂多今天半夜會有大風雨

By Anonymous
at 2016-10-01T08:08

我實在很好奇要檢舉我攻擊你我沒意見

By Kama
at 2016-10-03T22:27

只會"地雷/水雷" "登陸寫錯沒關係" "出草不能開玩笑
就知道只是跳樑小丑

By Hedda
at 2016-10-06T12:47

我覺得用的很貼切w

By Zanna
at 2016-10-09T03:06

所以要說有甚麼問題，就是害怕有傷亡吧...

By Olivia
at 2016-10-11T17:26

還是大酋長穿心中？大酋長穿腸中？大酋長爆頭中？

By Mia
at 2016-10-14T07:45

也只有颱風來才會出來吵真吵XD

By Catherine
at 2016-10-16T22:05

會去問甚麼地雷水雷的人本身就很好笑還管人勒
有些人就是哪人多就往哪刷存在感阿

By Michael
at 2016-10-19T12:24

不明白講他還以為之前推的詞語很好笑阿
不用理他好幾次他都在颱風推一些.......

By Megan
at 2016-10-22T02:43

颱風就是要出草阿不然要幹嘛？難道要出山？

By Zenobia
at 2016-10-24T17:03

版主辛苦了引戰或與大氣內容無關桶一桶吧

By Damian
at 2016-10-27T07:22

中國人就是這樣... 沒有重點

By Barb Cronin
at 2016-10-29T21:42

卡大不用改啦..

By Daniel
at 2016-11-01T12:01

ID估狗一下本來就是來鬧得只是這次風格不一樣

By Liam
at 2016-11-04T02:21

算了啦卡大都改了...

By Ingrid
at 2016-11-06T16:40

桃園剛剛騎車經過沿山流地區，雨衣被打穿半濕…

By Una
at 2016-11-09T07:00

騎車要小心呀

By Blanche
at 2016-11-11T21:19

推

By Candice
at 2016-11-14T11:39

推

By Selena
at 2016-11-17T01:58

為了原住民那2%人口要改詞彙真得無聊...

By Olive
at 2016-11-19T16:18

不覺得跟火車站附近那種怪老人很像嗎XDDDDDD

By Adele
at 2016-11-22T06:37

所以你是在罵誰都改了..........

By Robert
at 2016-11-24T20:57

城之內：

By Thomas
at 2016-11-27T11:16

很少見花蓮還沒進風圈的時候,西北部就已經下成那樣

By Enid
at 2016-11-30T01:35

由此可見他的環流結構相當紮實..

By Lily
at 2016-12-02T15:55

用強攻好了 XDDD

By Jack
at 2016-12-05T06:14

台南風也超大的啊很少見這麼遠就感受如此明顯

By Emily
at 2016-12-07T20:34

雖然只是因為颱風進來看熱鬧的，不過覺得某些推文真
的頗莫名其妙，版主跟原PO辛苦了

By Kumar
at 2016-12-10T10:53

我覺得就是尊重吧
但颱風時間怎總是有一堆鬥氣宣言....

By Victoria
at 2016-12-13T01:13

颱風下面那條一直到南海也蠻厲害的感覺

By Brianna
at 2016-12-15T15:32

繼續討論颱風吧...

By Daniel
at 2016-12-18T05:52

10-2報出來了哦

By Wallis
at 2016-12-20T20:11

目前繞山流小了一些西半部沿海風沒1-3點大了

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2016-12-23T10:31

我覺得很有趣

By Frederica
at 2016-12-26T00:50

不知道是不是大酋長的CDO太大了，增強要中止了

By Rebecca
at 2016-12-28T15:10

L大，原住民是無辜的…

By Queena
at 2016-12-31T05:29

反正卡大都改了就不要起爭議，倒是某些人很無聊~

By Damian
at 2017-01-02T19:49

非得興風作浪起爭議，這類人版主應該管一下~

By Iris
at 2017-01-05T10:08

專業

By Ina
at 2017-01-08T00:27

所以說都在鬥氣阿

By Rosalind
at 2017-01-10T14:47

假正義魔人，最近怎麼這麼常見

By Una
at 2017-01-13T05:06

如果你比那人早推不就不會看到哪些無聊的推文了

By Kelly
at 2017-01-15T19:26

推卡大

By David
at 2017-01-18T09:45

我就直白的說另一位人兄每次颱風都推些有的沒了

By Sierra Rose
at 2017-01-21T00:05

等他真心想指出一件事其他人也不想理會他了

By Mary
at 2017-01-23T14:24

推

By Enid
at 2017-01-26T04:44

某A不要來搏版面刷存在感，這篇的主角是卡大和酋長
CD到再補推

By Enid
at 2017-01-28T19:03

到了，剛好酋長暴風圈也快切到東部了

By Jessica
at 2017-01-31T09:23

推

By Ivy
at 2017-02-02T23:42

颱風來就是要來這邊看卡大的文推

By Daniel
at 2017-02-05T14:02

圖很清楚!

By Enid
at 2017-02-08T04:21

怒推

By Doris
at 2017-02-10T18:41

今晚我一定要看看大酋長的真正實力!!!

By Daniel
at 2017-02-13T09:00

PUSH!

By Bennie
at 2017-02-15T23:19

推

By Charlie
at 2017-02-18T13:39

推

By Linda
at 2017-02-21T03:58

酋長出草強攻!!可是明天酋長就要被出草了 XD

By Enid
at 2017-02-23T18:18

沃草藏龍

By Hedda
at 2017-02-26T08:37

以酋長之名

By Charlie
at 2017-02-28T22:57

謝謝卡大！

By Ethan
at 2017-03-03T13:16

中央山脈：魔刀中
磨

By Puput
at 2017-03-06T03:36

推

By Connor
at 2017-03-08T17:55

推

By Mary
at 2017-03-11T08:15

推

By Kama
at 2017-03-13T22:34

推！

By Lucy
at 2017-03-16T12:54

不得不推
花蓮市準備好啦~!!!!!!

By Lucy
at 2017-03-19T03:13

收集登陸SOP

By Audriana
at 2017-03-21T17:33

難過到底有幾乎吹例101等級的颱風

By Quintina
at 2017-03-24T07:52

推！

By Kelly
at 2017-03-26T22:11

推

By Lily
at 2017-03-29T12:31

推

By Isabella
at 2017-04-01T02:50

By Candice
at 2017-04-03T17:10

大酋長出動!斬颱刀磨刀霍霍，鹿死誰手?

By Kristin
at 2017-04-06T07:29

記得不要跑去泛舟。

By Margaret
at 2017-04-08T21:49

推

By Odelette
at 2017-04-11T12:08

推四大夏颱登陸台灣前的景象 Tim的實力

By Kyle
at 2017-04-14T02:28

http://i.imgur.com/2HngG7R.jpg

By Linda
at 2017-04-16T16:47

如果只看上圖的話伯賀環流好亂XD
如果只看上圖的話會以為伯賀是中颱

By Catherine
at 2017-04-19T07:07

碧麗絲比較有條理 = =

By Leila
at 2017-04-21T21:26

推卡大

By Eartha
at 2017-04-24T11:46

推！

By Cara
at 2017-04-27T02:05

推

By Irma
at 2017-04-29T16:25

不用跟某人太認真+1

By Necoo
at 2017-05-02T06:44

碧麗絲是巔峰狀態阿看起來比較漂亮正常

By Odelette
at 2017-05-04T21:03

推

By Oscar
at 2017-05-07T11:23

推

By Catherine
at 2017-05-10T01:42

推

By Poppy
at 2017-05-12T16:02

推

By David
at 2017-05-15T06:21

專業

By David
at 2017-05-17T20:41

推

By Yuri
at 2017-05-20T11:00

推

By Connor
at 2017-05-23T01:20

推不用理某咖

By Hardy
at 2017-05-25T15:39

推

By Brianna
at 2017-05-28T05:59

中央斬颱刀法盡出

By Olga
at 2017-05-30T20:18

推

By Cara
at 2017-06-02T10:38

推！專業！

By Oliver
at 2017-06-05T00:57

泛舟囉～

By James
at 2017-06-07T15:17

真的很愛為些雞毛蒜皮事吵~ 推

By Donna
at 2017-06-10T05:36

圓滾滾看起來好可愛，可是現在的風好可怕

By Robert
at 2017-06-12T19:55

新竹南寮風大到靠北！

By Anonymous
at 2017-06-15T10:15

推

By Barb Cronin
at 2017-06-18T00:34

花蓮改吹南風..看來大酋長沒卡住

By Anthony
at 2017-06-20T14:54

推

By Jacky
at 2017-06-23T05:13

台北在10點之前還是有機會吹14級

By Callum
at 2017-06-25T19:33

push

By Doris
at 2017-06-28T09:52

防守登登防守登登

By Daniel
at 2017-07-01T00:12

雲科大大樹連根拔起

By Kristin
at 2017-07-03T14:31

推

By Kama
at 2017-07-06T04:51

推

By Andy
at 2017-07-08T19:10

卡大什麼時候要再出來講解一下現在颱風根本亂走

就在今夜，大酋長直攻注意~2015/08/07 - 颱風討論

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