最準確的預報方式：氣候期貨 - 颱風討論
By Sandy
at 2012-08-24T12:23
at 2012-08-24T12:23
Table of Contents
http://www.wretch.cc/blog/oolong1001/5223608
要解決預報準不準的問題，最好的辦法就是設立「投票區」讓每
個人都可以投票預測，但為了解決亂測的問題，就要拿出真錢付
出代價，於是最好的解決辦法就是「氣候期貨」，引入期貨的概
念來預測未來的氣候，諸如溫度、雨量、風力都拿來賭，誰會拿
自己的錢開玩笑？這樣的預測方式應該是目前人類可以想到最準
確的方式。
--
要解決預報準不準的問題，最好的辦法就是設立「投票區」讓每
個人都可以投票預測，但為了解決亂測的問題，就要拿出真錢付
出代價，於是最好的解決辦法就是「氣候期貨」，引入期貨的概
念來預測未來的氣候，諸如溫度、雨量、風力都拿來賭，誰會拿
自己的錢開玩笑？這樣的預測方式應該是目前人類可以想到最準
確的方式。
--
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