海地M7.0地震 - 地球科學討論

※ 引述《Phalange (Regina Phalange)》之銘言：
: 看到有趣的文章
: Experts warned of earthquake risk on Haiti
: By Brandon Griggs, CNN
: http://tinyurl.com/y9x48qm
: 原來這次地震去年已經有科學家預言了，還發表成論文。
這不是預言
是說這個地區的構造具有發生規模7.2地震的潛能

該篇文章作者自己說的話
"The problem with these kinds of strikes is that they can remain quiescent
-- dormant -- for hundreds of years," he said Tuesday evening. "So it's hard
to predict when they'll occur."


研討會摘要
ENRIQUILLO-PLANTAIN GARDEN STRIKE-SLIP FAULT ZONE:
A MAJOR SEISMIC HAZARD
AFFECTING DOMINICAN REPUBLIC, HAITI AND JAMAICA

http://www.ig.utexas.edu/jsg/18_cgg/Mann3.htm

...Recorded seismicity over the past 40 years is sparse as expected from a
"fully locked fault plane". GPS-constrained block models with elastic strain
accumulation give ~8 mm/year of slip rate on the fault.....

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