登陸到現在的小整理~ - 颱風討論

By Frederic
at 2008-09-28T22:43
at 2008-09-28T22:43
Table of Contents
這個薔蜜終究還是無法擺脫地形魔咒..Orz
下午3點以後受到地形拉扯~薔蜜加速撲向蘇澳
終於在15:40登陸蘇澳南方
從雷達跟實測來推估
颱風中心登陸後受到中央山脈阻擋無法過去
高低層開始分離
低層中心略往南掉~之後就一直停在宜花交界處
而在颱風登陸前~大概在彰化雲林一帶就已經存在一個副中心
高層中心很快的過山~並且逐漸跟這個副中心產生高低偶合
原本以為應該是會取代過山
但是沒想到宜花交界的原中心一直都存在
兩個中心目前仍然還在打架中
整個颱風的渦度就圍繞著這兩個中心整理~沒有明顯移動
預估未來兩個會再整合成一個
渦度趨於穩定後才會再開始移動
華北已經有新的短波槽東移
西環高壓逐漸西退~東環高壓往西推擠~並且往颱風南側伸展
颱風整合完成後的移動方向應該是會順著短槽牽引以及東環高壓引導而北上
颱風整合的過程中不排除潰散的螺旋雨帶會慢慢重組起來
目前中南部山區有相當持續的的爬山流降雨
其他地方颱風螺旋雨帶如果重新建立~風雨仍有捲土重來的可能
颱風其實仍在台灣上空~還未遠離前千萬不要掉以輕心囉~
--
下午3點以後受到地形拉扯~薔蜜加速撲向蘇澳
終於在15:40登陸蘇澳南方
從雷達跟實測來推估
颱風中心登陸後受到中央山脈阻擋無法過去
高低層開始分離
低層中心略往南掉~之後就一直停在宜花交界處
而在颱風登陸前~大概在彰化雲林一帶就已經存在一個副中心
高層中心很快的過山~並且逐漸跟這個副中心產生高低偶合
原本以為應該是會取代過山
但是沒想到宜花交界的原中心一直都存在
兩個中心目前仍然還在打架中
整個颱風的渦度就圍繞著這兩個中心整理~沒有明顯移動
預估未來兩個會再整合成一個
渦度趨於穩定後才會再開始移動
華北已經有新的短波槽東移
西環高壓逐漸西退~東環高壓往西推擠~並且往颱風南側伸展
颱風整合完成後的移動方向應該是會順著短槽牽引以及東環高壓引導而北上
颱風整合的過程中不排除潰散的螺旋雨帶會慢慢重組起來
目前中南部山區有相當持續的的爬山流降雨
其他地方颱風螺旋雨帶如果重新建立~風雨仍有捲土重來的可能
颱風其實仍在台灣上空~還未遠離前千萬不要掉以輕心囉~
--
Tags:
颱風
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