逐漸加強的雙擾動~2014/09/06 - 颱風討論

By Jake
at 2014-09-06T10:30
at 2014-09-06T10:30
Table of Contents
台灣東方的91W跟南海的90W都已經成為熱帶低壓,強度都有繼續加強的趨勢。
距離台灣較近的是東邊的91W,低層環流仍不是很理想,呈現南北拉長狀,
對流雲團還沒有鞏固到中心附近,太平洋高壓邊緣的南風引導氣流很強,
對流雲團爆發後很快就被往北切離,這也使得它的發展受到阻礙,
預估當它更往北邊移動,連接到西風底部的輻散氣流後,
對流的發展會更旺盛,琉球群島附近的海溫也還蠻高的,
因此仍有利於繼續加強的潛勢。
南海的90W結構發展的比91W要好一些,低層環流中心已經慢慢建立,
對流雲團也比較集中在中心附近發展,環境不錯,
日本氣象廳上午針對90W發出了颱風形成預警,未來變化值得觀察。
幸好兩個系統一個往北,一個往西,預估對台灣都沒有明顯的影響,
只需要繼續保持留意就可以,
中秋假期台灣還是熱,雖然有北風下來,但是看不到有比較涼的空氣,
加上陽光非常強烈的加熱,看來先前預期的稍微降溫的情況是沒有了....囧
午後山區可能有局部雷雨,夜晚清晨在北部、東半部沿海地區有局部地形降雨,
短時間內要有秋的氣息似乎還不太容易,
最快要到下周接近周末的時候,可能有微弱鋒面再度靠近的機會,
到時候再來觀察囉~
祝大家中秋佳節快樂!!
--
距離台灣較近的是東邊的91W,低層環流仍不是很理想,呈現南北拉長狀,
對流雲團還沒有鞏固到中心附近,太平洋高壓邊緣的南風引導氣流很強,
對流雲團爆發後很快就被往北切離,這也使得它的發展受到阻礙,
預估當它更往北邊移動,連接到西風底部的輻散氣流後,
對流的發展會更旺盛,琉球群島附近的海溫也還蠻高的,
因此仍有利於繼續加強的潛勢。
南海的90W結構發展的比91W要好一些,低層環流中心已經慢慢建立,
對流雲團也比較集中在中心附近發展,環境不錯,
日本氣象廳上午針對90W發出了颱風形成預警,未來變化值得觀察。
幸好兩個系統一個往北,一個往西,預估對台灣都沒有明顯的影響,
只需要繼續保持留意就可以,
中秋假期台灣還是熱,雖然有北風下來,但是看不到有比較涼的空氣,
加上陽光非常強烈的加熱,看來先前預期的稍微降溫的情況是沒有了....囧
午後山區可能有局部雷雨,夜晚清晨在北部、東半部沿海地區有局部地形降雨,
短時間內要有秋的氣息似乎還不太容易,
最快要到下周接近周末的時候,可能有微弱鋒面再度靠近的機會,
到時候再來觀察囉~
祝大家中秋佳節快樂!!
--
Tags:
颱風
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