鋒面位於北部海面,天氣仍不穩定~2014/05/12 - 颱風討論

Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2014-05-12T11:08

Table of Contents

昨晚鋒面系統南壓,北段的冷鋒持續東移,南段的滯留鋒如預期停留在北部海面上,

但是距離北台灣比先前預估稍微遠了點,對流雲團都在海面上活動,

http://ppt.cc/ECTp

因此今天上午北台灣的天氣比預期的好,不但沒下雨,陽光也露臉了,

雲層有沒有進來對於大家的感受上差異很大,準確與否就在一線之隔。

不過鋒面確實已經靠近,台灣上空大氣仍不穩定,

上午有陽光熱力的加入,還有暖濕空氣北上,午後各地要注意熱對流發展的狀況,

山區應該會有較大雨勢發生的機會,

風向偏南,對流發展後大致會往北移動,

因此中部以北到東北部地區的平地也要多加小心。

目前的預報資料來看,今天入夜後鋒面的位置有可能更往南靠近北台灣一些,

因此仍然預估今晚到明天周二(13日)中部、北部、東北部地區天氣不穩定,

有機會出現短暫陣雨或雷雨,

中部以南地區要注意鋒前偏南到西南風帶來的迎風面降雨現象,

山區午後熱力作用加入,仍有熱對流發展降雨的可能性。

大概還是要等到周三(14日)鋒面往北抬,較為遠離台灣後,

天氣狀況才會轉趨穩定下來。

這兩天因為都在鋒面前方,暖濕空氣影響,各地高溫悶熱,

除了下過雨後稍微涼快一點以外,可能都不是很舒服的溫度,

提醒大家盡量穿著寬鬆透氣的衣服,外出時要做好防曬防中暑的準備。

以上簡單供參考囉~

p.s

對於批評跟支持的聲音,小弟我都是非常的感恩,

天氣一定是很難報準的,有批評跟討論我才能知道哪邊做得不夠好,

對於支持我的朋友當然是非常的感謝,也讓我很感動,

不過這邊是公開的討論版,在不違反版規、不引戰以及人身攻擊的狀況下,

大家都有發言的權利,也歡迎大家能夠踴躍的發言討論,

再度感謝大家!!

--
Tags: 颱風

All Comments

Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2014-05-13T12:10
頭推!
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2014-05-14T13:13
頸推! 卡大辛苦了
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2014-05-15T14:15
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2014-05-16T15:18
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2014-05-17T16:20
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2014-05-18T17:22
推!辛苦了!
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2014-05-19T18:25
推推
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2014-05-20T19:27
謝推
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2014-05-21T20:30
推 辛苦了
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2014-05-22T21:32
推 辛苦了
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2014-05-23T22:34
海峽上已經有回波靠近,山區也有東西開始出現了...
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2014-05-24T23:37
今天好悶熱><
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2014-05-26T00:39
推 卡大辛苦+1
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2014-05-27T01:42
辛苦了 這板基本上是靠C大和D大撐起的 感謝
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2014-05-28T02:44
推推推
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2014-05-29T03:46
推推~卡大辛苦了+1
George avatar
By George
at 2014-05-30T04:49
卡大不用在意極少數偏激的鄉民
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2014-05-31T05:51
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2014-06-01T06:54
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2014-06-02T07:56
今天體感悶熱溼黏…不是很喜歡
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2014-06-03T08:58
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2014-06-04T10:01
推,今天的南風很強
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2014-06-05T11:03
推~ 辛苦了
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2014-06-06T12:06
謝謝卡大長期的預報,卡大一直是我隔天穿衣服的造型
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2014-06-07T13:08
師啊!
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2014-06-08T14:10
William avatar
By William
at 2014-06-09T15:13
北部對流長出來了!
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2014-06-10T16:15
辛苦了
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2014-06-11T17:18
好抖,沒帶傘出來買午餐,一直看天空
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2014-06-12T18:20
推!!
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2014-06-13T19:22
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2014-06-14T20:25
推~卡大辛苦了!!!
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2014-06-15T21:27
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2014-06-16T22:30
推!辛苦了!
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2014-06-17T23:32
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2014-06-19T00:34
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2014-06-20T01:37
推卡大!! 卡大的天氣預報是生活不可或缺的一部分XD
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2014-06-21T02:39
辛苦了 推~~~
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2014-06-22T03:42
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2014-06-23T04:44
公館開始下貓下狗
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2014-06-24T05:46
卡大加油!推~
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2014-06-25T06:49
南港噴了
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2014-06-26T07:51
卡大辛苦了
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2014-06-27T08:54
卡大不僅氣象專業級、EQ也是專業級的...
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2014-06-28T09:56
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2014-06-29T10:58
推,卡大辛苦了!
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2014-06-30T12:01
推卡大用心
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2014-07-01T13:03
辛苦了 今天好濕熱 超不舒服><
Anonymous avatar
By Anonymous
at 2014-07-02T14:06
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2014-07-03T15:08
簽到推
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2014-07-04T16:10
澎湖剛剛下了半個多小時的大雨
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2014-07-05T17:13
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2014-07-06T18:15
推卡大
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2014-07-07T19:18
推~~ 話說今天是新店龍捲風事件一周年
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2014-07-08T20:20
澎湖又大雨了
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2014-07-09T21:22
謝卡大!
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2014-07-10T22:25
辛苦了
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2014-07-11T23:27
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2014-07-13T00:30
推卡大!
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2014-07-14T01:32
推推 卡大我一定支持您 可以為您發聲捍衛預報發言
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2014-07-15T02:34
推卡大!!
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2014-07-16T03:37
推,卡大請繼續維持您專業的天氣分析吧~
Frederic avatar
By Frederic
at 2014-07-17T04:39
卡大很棒~~喜歡看卡大的天氣分析文
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2014-07-18T05:42
Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2014-07-19T06:44
推卡大~ 辛苦了!!!
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2014-07-20T07:46
推~卡大辛苦了
Ethan avatar
By Ethan
at 2014-07-21T08:49
說實話,已經很準了!
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2014-07-22T09:51
台南噴了!!
Madame avatar
By Madame
at 2014-07-23T10:54
推卡大
Jacob avatar
By Jacob
at 2014-07-24T11:56
推!!
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2014-07-25T12:58
推!
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2014-07-26T14:01
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2014-07-27T15:03
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2014-07-28T16:06
推!
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2014-07-29T17:08
謝謝卡大~
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2014-07-30T18:10
3q
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2014-07-31T19:13
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2014-08-01T20:15
謝謝卡大,常上大氣板都是為了看卡大的分析,加油!
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2014-08-02T21:18
今天真的好熱
Cara avatar
By Cara
at 2014-08-03T22:20
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2014-08-04T23:22
辛苦了
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2014-08-06T00:25
感謝卡大!! 常上大氣板為了看卡大分析+1
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2014-08-07T01:27
這兩三天悶悶又濕熱的感覺 好不舒服 > <
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2014-08-08T02:30
推,謝謝卡大!
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2014-08-09T03:32
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2014-08-10T04:34
卡大我愛你 XD 感謝你!!
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2014-08-11T05:37
謝謝卡大長期以來提供的資訊,堪稱鎮版之寶…( ▽ `
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2014-08-12T06:39
Valerie avatar
By Valerie
at 2014-08-13T07:42
卡大辛苦了!!! 十年如一日真的很厲害! 大家要珍惜阿~
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2014-08-14T08:44
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2014-08-15T09:46
推! 卡大辛苦了!
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2014-08-16T10:49
卡大辛苦了
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2014-08-17T11:51
東沙島海面有渦旋?
James avatar
By James
at 2014-08-18T12:54
推卡大!!
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2014-08-19T13:56
推啦!
Dinah avatar
By Dinah
at 2014-08-20T14:58
謝謝卡大..每天都很期待卡大的文.有卡大真好!!辛苦了
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2014-08-21T16:01
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2014-08-22T17:03
推倒卡大!!!!(咦~>//<)
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2014-08-23T18:06
推 卡大加油
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2014-08-24T19:08
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2014-08-25T20:10
感謝卡大,卡大辛苦了,部分酸民就不用理他們了
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2014-08-26T21:13
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2014-08-27T22:15
卡大辛苦了,氣象風險和PTT大氣版兩邊跑
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2014-08-28T23:18
辛苦了!!!真的很準!!
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2014-08-30T00:20
怎麼連卡特蘭也被波及了…最近的ptt是怎麼了 ~"~
David avatar
By David
at 2014-08-31T01:22
推卡大, 我登山天氣參考都以卡大的為準, 氣象局為輔
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2014-09-01T02:25
推,謝謝卡大!
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2014-09-02T03:27
推!卡大辛苦了!!
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2014-09-03T04:30
推卡大~
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2014-09-04T05:32
推! 卡大辛苦了~~~
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2014-09-05T06:34
推卡大辛苦了~
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2014-09-06T07:37
卡大辛苦了!!!!
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2014-09-07T08:39
推!卡大辛苦了!
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2014-09-08T09:42
辛苦了~~~~~!!
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2014-09-09T10:44
謝謝卡大、D大、版主版友們的奉獻^^,關注卡大的天氣
文十年了,幾乎每天都看,尤其到了颱風季的時候,都是小
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2014-09-10T11:46
弟學習、吸收知識的時間,也謝謝大家一起參與討論,有
大氣版跟大家真好^^"
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2014-09-11T12:49
如果有比較新來的版友,想參考颱風的一些知識,可以去
精華區看看哦,有收錄不少卡大、Z版主等的精闢分析^^
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2014-09-12T13:51
大推啊!! 從奇摩家族跟到PTT 沒想到已經10年了!!
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2014-09-13T14:54
其實印象中卡大在2001年的納莉颱風就有在奇摩家族分
析了(後來有收錄到奇摩家族精華區)
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2014-09-14T15:56
推卡大!
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2014-09-15T16:58
十年lol
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2014-09-16T18:01
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2014-09-17T19:03
沒有卡大就不會穿衣服了啦~
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2014-09-18T20:06
樓上好糟糕......
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2014-09-19T21:08
彰化下大雨 聽到雷聲響
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2014-09-20T22:10
台中大里炸裂中~
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2014-09-21T23:13
有卡大在我不會穿衣服(害羞>///<)
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2014-09-23T00:15
台中大雨中
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2014-09-24T01:18
推卡大
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2014-09-25T02:20
我是說我自己10年啦XDD
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2014-09-26T03:22
昨天等好久結果都沒下雨~ 北部好悶
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2014-09-27T04:25
南投暴雨
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2014-09-28T05:27
新竹目前太陽中
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2014-09-29T06:30
嘉義大雨
Delia avatar
By Delia
at 2014-09-30T07:32
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2014-10-01T08:34
台中北屯暴雨 跟颱風一樣
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2014-10-02T09:37
大里二度炸裂 !!!!!!! 陽台淹水了
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2014-10-03T10:39
台中剛剛一度超大雨
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2014-10-04T11:42
曾文水庫下滿多的 超過50毫米
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2014-10-05T12:44
今天總算是下對地方了
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2014-10-06T13:46
推卡大~ 加推 yuar: 沒有卡大就不會穿衣服了啦~
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2014-10-07T14:49
感謝卡大 & 辛苦了~
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2014-10-08T15:51
3q
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2014-10-09T16:54
謝謝卡大~~

天氣小觀:未來一周,孟加拉灣之西南季風報到

Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2014-05-11T13:23
天氣小觀:未來一周,孟加拉灣之西南季風報到 模式預報,未來一周,夏季西南季風開始陸續來到亞洲報到了 首先是孟加拉灣西南季風的爆發,泰國緬甸進入大雨季節。 源頭自南半球東南印度洋上的冷高壓吹向赤道,越赤道後轉向孟加拉灣, 形成首支來到亞洲的西南季風。 事實上,往年這地區也是率先出現西南季風,緊跟著就是南海西南 ...

變形聖嬰跟颱風的關係(賈新興)

Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2014-05-10T21:39
賈新興博士對於今年夏天聖嬰現象與颱風關係的預估 轉自賈博士的臉書發文 https://www.facebook.com/climatechia?fref=ts 變形聖嬰和颱風的關係: 約略在2007年分別由日本的學者Ashok等以及台灣的留美學者余進義等都發表了關於聖嬰 現象的變形,日本人稱作ENSO ...

明晚鋒面接近,周一周二天氣不穩定~2014/05/10

Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2014-05-10T20:57
今天隨著雲雨帶向東遠離,台灣附近雲量雖然還是較多了些, 但是天氣已經如預期的趨於穩定下來, 清晨過後大多數地方都恢復多雲可見陽光的天氣型態, 雲嘉南一帶在上午還有一塊較厚的雲層移入下了點雨,不過雨量有限, 午後在北部、東北部山區有熱對流發展,雨勢不是很大, 琉球附近有非常旺盛的強烈對流爆發,還有中尺 ...

颮線對流系統接近 南部慎防雷擊、冰雹

Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2014-05-09T21:34
http://www.nownews.com/n/2014/05/09/1226596 NOWnews 生活中心 2014 年 05 月 09 日 15:25 (圖/氣象局) http://goo.gl/pkvTp3 記者李鴻典/台北報導 中央氣象局今(9)日下午發布即時天氣訊息指出,台灣海峽南部有 ...

周末注意午後雷雨,下周一鋒面靠近~2014/05/09

Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2014-05-09T17:40
受到華南水氣移入的影響,雖然目前鋒面的位置已經北移到長江流域, 但是今天台灣的天氣仍然不穩定,普遍出現降雨的狀況。 清晨到上午期間中部以北地區降雨較多, 下午開始受到海峽南部強對流發展接近影響,中部以南地區的降雨也持續增加, 有看到颮線以及中小尺度渦漩環流的現象, 屏東到恆春半島一帶受影響最大,出現 ...